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In many real world problems, control decisions have to be made with limited information. The controller may have no a priori (or even posteriori) data on the nonlinear system, except from a limited number of points that are obtained over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Tansu Alpcan

Learning-based control methods typically assume stationary system dynamics, an assumption often violated in real-world systems due to drift, wear, or changing operating conditions. We study reinforcement learning for control under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Klemens Iten , Bruce Lee , Chenhao Li , Lenart Treven , Andreas Krause , Bhavya Sukhija

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

We propose a modeling framework for stochastic systems, termed Gaussian behaviors, that describes finite-length trajectories of a system as a Gaussian process. The proposed model naturally quantifies the uncertainty in the trajectories, yet…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 András Sasfi , Ivan Markovsky , Alberto Padoan , Florian Dörfler

Optimization is becoming increasingly common in scientific and engineering domains. Oftentimes, these problems involve various levels of stochasticity or uncertainty in generating proposed solutions. Therefore, optimization in these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-05 Peter D. Tonner , Daniel V. Samarov , A. Gilad Kusne

Within the past two decades, Gaussian process regression has been increasingly used for modeling dynamical systems due to some beneficial properties such as the bias variance trade-off and the strong connection to Bayesian mathematics. As…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-11 Thomas Beckers

This paper introduces a new formulation for stochastic optimal control and stochastic dynamic optimization that ensures safety with respect to state and control constraints. The proposed methodology brings together concepts such as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-19 Marcus Aloysius Pereira , Ziyi Wang , Ioannis Exarchos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

In this paper we propose a new methodology for decision-making under uncertainty using recent advancements in the areas of nonlinear stochastic optimal control theory, applied mathematics, and machine learning. Grounded on the fundamental…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Marcus Pereira , Ziyi Wang , Ioannis Exarchos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Reinforcement learning provides a framework for learning to control which actions to take towards completing a task through trial-and-error. In many applications observing interactions is costly, necessitating sample-efficient learning. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Charles Gadd , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki , Samuel Kaski

Model Predictive Control (MPC) of an unknown system that is modelled by Gaussian Process (GP) techniques is studied in this paper. Using GP, the variances computed during the modelling and inference processes allow us to take model…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Gang Cao , Edmund M-K Lai , Fakhrul Alam

Graph neural networks for molecular property prediction are frequently underspecified by data and fail to generalise to new scaffolds at test time. A potential solution is Bayesian learning, which can capture our uncertainty in the model…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-04 George Lamb , Brooks Paige

Probabilistic models such as Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful tools to learn unknown dynamical systems from data for subsequent use in control design. While learning-based control has the potential to yield superior performance in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-22 Alexander von Rohr , Matthias Neumann-Brosig , Sebastian Trimpe

Diversity of environments is a key challenge that causes learned robotic controllers to fail due to the discrepancies between the training and evaluation conditions. Training from demonstrations in various conditions can mitigate---but not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-15 Sanjay Thakur , Herke van Hoof , Juan Camilo Gamboa Higuera , Doina Precup , David Meger

Tuning control policies manually to meet high-level objectives is often time-consuming. Bayesian optimization provides a data-efficient framework for automating this process using numerical evaluations of an objective function. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Lukas Theiner , Maik Pfefferkorn , Yongpeng Zhao , Sebastian Hirt , Rolf Findeisen

We present a new method to approximate posterior probabilities of Bayesian Network using Deep Neural Network. Experiment results on several public Bayesian Network datasets shows that Deep Neural Network is capable of learning joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-12 Jie Jia , Honggang Zhou , Yunchun Li

In this study, we propose a predictive model composed of a recurrent neural network including parametric bias and stochastic elements, and an environmentally adaptive robot control method including variance minimization using the model.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Kento Kawaharazuka , Koki Shinjo , Yoichiro Kawamura , Kei Okada , Masayuki Inaba

Bayesian optimization is an effective methodology for the global optimization of functions with expensive evaluations. It relies on querying a distribution over functions defined by a relatively cheap surrogate model. An accurate model for…

Stochastic Model Predictive Control addresses uncertainties by incorporating chance constraints that provide probabilistic guarantees of constraint satisfaction. However, simultaneously optimizing over the risk allocation and the feedback…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Filipe Marques Barbosa , Johan Löfberg

We introduce a class of neural networks derived from probabilistic models in the form of Bayesian networks. By imposing additional assumptions about the nature of the probabilistic models represented in the networks, we derive neural…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-04-30 Michael J. Barber , John W. Clark
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