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Recently, partial Bayesian neural networks (pBNNs), which only consider a subset of the parameters to be stochastic, were shown to perform competitively with full Bayesian neural networks. However, pBNNs are often multi-modal in the latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Zheng Zhao , Sebastian Mair , Thomas B. Schön , Jens Sjölund

When people learn mathematical patterns or sequences, they are able to identify the concepts (or rules) underlying those patterns. Having learned the underlying concepts, humans are also able to generalize those concepts to other numbers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Mohith Damarapati , Inavamsi B. Enaganti , Alfred Ajay Aureate Rajakumar

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

Learning-based model predictive control (MPC) can enhance control performance by correcting for model inaccuracies, enabling more precise state trajectory predictions than traditional MPC. A common approach is to model unknown residual…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Lars Bartels , Amon Lahr , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Imitation learning is a data-driven approach to acquiring skills that relies on expert demonstrations to learn a policy that maps observations to actions. When performing demonstrations, experts are not always consistent and might…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Sagar Gubbi Venkatesh , Nihesh Rathod , Shishir Kolathaya , Bharadwaj Amrutur

In this paper, we adopt a Bayesian point of view for predicting real continuous-time processes. We give two equivalent definitions of a Bayesian predictor and study some properties: admissibility, prediction sufficiency, non-unbiasedness,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Delphine Blanke , Denis Bosq

We propose a general Bayesian network model for application in a wide class of problems of therapy monitoring. We discuss the use of stochastic simulation as a computational approach to inference on the proposed class of models. As an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Carlo Berzuini , David J. Spiegelhalter , Riccardo Bellazzi

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

We develop the theory and practice of an approach to modelling and probabilistic inference in causal networks that is suitable when application-specific or analysis-specific constraints should inform such inference or when little or no data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Paul Beaumont , Michael Huth

Complex robot navigation and control problems can be framed as policy search problems. However, interactive learning in uncertain environments can be expensive, requiring the use of data-efficient methods. Bayesian optimization is an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Javier Garcia-Barcos , Ruben Martinez-Cantin

We consider stochastic model predictive control of a multi-agent systems with constraints on the probabilities of inter-agent collisions. We first study a sample-based approximation of the collision probabilities and use this approximation…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-08-17 Daniel Lyons , Jan-P. Calliess , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Process mining is a technique that performs an automatic analysis of business processes from a log of events with the promise of understanding how processes are executed in an organisation. Several models have been proposed to address this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-26 Catarina Moreira

We apply recent methods in stochastic data analysis for discovering a set of few stochastic variables that represent the relevant information on a multivariate stochastic system, used as input for artificial neural networks models for air…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 Ana Russo , Frank Raischel , Pedro G. Lind

Stochastic optimal control with unknown randomness distributions has been studied for a long time, encompassing robust control, distributionally robust control, and adaptive control. We propose a new episodic Bayesian approach that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Alexander Shapiro , Enlu Zhou , Yifan Lin , Yuhao Wang

Attention-based neural networks have achieved state-of-the-art results on a wide range of tasks. Most such models use deterministic attention while stochastic attention is less explored due to the optimization difficulties or complicated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Shujian Zhang , Xinjie Fan , Bo Chen , Mingyuan Zhou

Bayesian neural networks utilize probabilistic layers that capture uncertainty over weights and activations, and are trained using Bayesian inference. Since these probabilistic layers are designed to be drop-in replacement of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Daniel T. Chang

Large neural networks trained on large datasets have become the dominant paradigm in machine learning. These systems rely on maximum likelihood point estimates of their parameters, precluding them from expressing model uncertainty. This may…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-01 Javier Antoran

Deep neural networks have achieved impressive results on a wide variety of tasks. However, quantifying uncertainty in the network's output is a challenging task. Bayesian models offer a mathematical framework to reason about model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Manikanta Srikar Yellapragada , Chandra Prakash Konkimalla

One's ability to learn a generative model of the world without supervision depends on the extent to which one can construct abstract knowledge representations that generalize across experiences. To this end, capturing an accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Zahra Sheikhbahaee , Dongshu Luo , Blake VanBerlo , S. Alex Yun , Adam Safron , Jesse Hoey
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