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Interpretable machine learning plays a key role in healthcare because it is challenging in understanding feature importance in deep learning model predictions. We propose a novel framework that uses deep learning to study feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Md Khairul Islam , Di Zhu , Yingzheng Liu , Andrej Erkelens , Nick Daniello , Judy Fox

In this study, we address three important challenges related to disease transmissions such as the COVID-19 pandemic, namely, (a) providing an early warning to likely exposed individuals, (b) identifying individuals who are asymptomatic, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-13 Shashanka Ubaru , Lior Horesh , Guy Cohen

The COVID-19 pandemic has emphasized the need for a robust understanding of epidemic models. Current models of epidemics are classified as either mechanistic or non-mechanistic: mechanistic models make explicit assumptions on the dynamics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Arnab Sarker , Ali Jadbabaie , Devavrat Shah

This study presents a comprehensive assessment of the Italian risk model used during the COVID-19 pandemic to guide regional mobility restrictions through a colour-coded classification system. The research focuses on evaluating the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-04 Giuseppe Drago , Giulia Marcon , Alberto Lombardo , Giuseppe Aiello

The recent coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has dramatically increased the public awareness and appreciation of the utility of dynamic models. At the same time, the dissemination of contradictory model predictions has highlighted…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-26 Gemma Massonis , Julio R. Banga , Alejandro F. Villaverde

The worldwide impact of the recent COVID-19 pandemic has been substantial, necessitating the development of accurate forecasting models to predict the spread and course of a pandemic. Previous methods for outbreak forecasting have faced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Ashutosh Anshul , Jhalak Gupta , Mohammad Zia Ur Rehman , Nagendra Kumar

Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an unprecedented global public health crisis. Given its inherent nature, social distancing measures are proposed as the primary strategies to curb the spread of this pandemic. Therefore, identifying…

The COVID-19 outbreak forced governments worldwide to impose lockdowns and quarantines to prevent virus transmission. As a consequence, there are disruptions in human and economic activities all over the globe. The recovery process is also…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Rodrigo Minetto , Mauricio Pamplona Segundo , Gilbert Rotich , Sudeep Sarkar

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

Understanding the spread of SARS-CoV-2 has been one of the most pressing problems of the recent past. Network models present a potent approach to studying such spreading phenomena because of their ability to represent complex social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Christine Hedde-von Westernhagen , Javier Garcia-Bernardo , Ayoub Bagheri

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought forth the importance of epidemic forecasting for decision makers in multiple domains, ranging from public health to the economy as a whole. While forecasting epidemic progression is frequently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Alexander Rodríguez , Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Pulak Agarwal , Javen Ho , Mira Patel , Suchet Sapre , B. Aditya Prakash

Event data is present in a variety of domains such as electronic health records, daily living activities and web clickstream records. Current visualization methods to explore event data focus on discovering sequential patterns but present…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-08-05 Jessica Magallanes , Lindsey van Gemeren , Steven Wood , Maria-Cruz Villa-Uriol

The rapid spread of COVID-19 disease has had a significant impact on the world. In this paper, we study COVID-19 data interpretation and visualization using open-data sources for 351 cities and towns in Massachusetts from December 6, 2020…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-04 Ru Geng , Yixian Gao , Hongkun Zhang , Jian Zu

Volumetric medical imaging technologies produce detailed 3D representations of anatomical structures. However, effective medical data visualization and exploration pose significant challenges, especially for individuals with limited medical…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Qixuan Liu , Shi Qiu , Yinqiao Wang , Xiwen Wu , Kenneth Siu Ho Chok , Chi-Wing Fu , Pheng-Ann Heng

We introduce a Bayesian sequential data assimilation method for COVID-19 forecasting. It is assumed that suitable transmission, epidemic and observation models are available and previously validated and the transmission and epidemic models…

We introduce a mathematical description of the impact of sociality in the spread of infectious diseases by integrating an epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic modeling of population-based contacts. The kinetic description leads to study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-02 G. Dimarco , B. Perthame , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

The novel corona virus (Covid-19) has introduced significant challenges due to its rapid spreading nature through respiratory transmission. As a result, there is a huge demand for Artificial Intelligence (AI) based quick disease diagnosis…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-24 Thosini Bamunu Mudiyanselage , Nipuna Senanayake , Chunyan Ji , Yi Pan , Yanqing Zhang

In science, we are interested not only in forecasting but also in understanding how predictions are made, specifically what the interpretable underlying model looks like. Data-driven machine learning technology can significantly streamline…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Weiting Liu , Jiaxu Cui , Jiao Hu , En Wang , Bo Yang