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This technical report describes a dynamic causal model of the spread of coronavirus through a population. The model is based upon ensemble or population dynamics that generate outcomes, like new cases and deaths over time. The purpose of…

Analyzing and utilizing spatiotemporal big data are essential for studies concerning climate change. However, such data are not fully integrated into climate models owing to limitations in statistical frameworks. Herein, we employ VARENN…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-24 Takeshi Ise , Yurika Oba

Breaking a complex bio-social phenomenon (epidemic) into its components, considering the processes that determine its dynamics, formalizing the accepted hypotheses in mathematical equations, selecting appropriate experimental and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-16 A. V. Sokolov , L. A. Sokolova

The surprisingly mercurial Covid-19 pandemic has highlighted the need to not only accelerate research on infectious disease, but to also study them using novel techniques and perspectives. A major contributor to the difficulty of containing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-21 Aminur Rahman , Angela Peace , Ramesh Kesawan , Souparno Ghosh

Infectious diseases are a threat for human health with tremendous impact on our society at large. The recent COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the SARS-CoV-2, is the latest example of a highly infectious disease ravaging the world, since late…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-17 Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Corentin Cot , Michele Della Morte , Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino , Shahram Vatani

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly challenged traditional epidemiological models due to factors such as delayed diagnosis, asymptomatic transmission, isolation-induced contact changes, and underreported mortality. In response to these…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-10 Wenchen Liu , Chang Liu , Dehui Wang , Yiyuan She

The widespread availability of electronic health records (EHRs) promises to usher in the era of personalized medicine. However, the problem of extracting useful clinical representations from longitudinal EHR data remains challenging. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-27 Zhengping Che , Yu Cheng , Zhaonan Sun , Yan Liu

COVID-19, has led to a global pandemic that strained the healthcare systems. Early and accurate detection is crucial for controlling the spread of the virus. While reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction test is the gold standard…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-15 Mohammed Shabo , Nazar Siddig

Machine learning models built on training data with multiple modalities can reveal new insights that are not accessible through unimodal datasets. For example, cardiac magnetic resonance images (MRIs) and electrocardiograms (ECGs) are both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Bum Chul Kwon , Samuel Friedman , Kai Xu , Steven A Lubitz , Anthony Philippakis , Puneet Batra , Patrick T Ellinor , Kenney Ng

Epidemic forecasting is the key to effective control of epidemic transmission and helps the world mitigate the crisis that threatens public health. To better understand the transmission and evolution of epidemics, we propose EpiGNN, a graph…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-25 Feng Xie , Zhong Zhang , Liang Li , Bin Zhou , Yusong Tan

Some patients with COVID-19 show changes in signs and symptoms such as temperature and oxygen saturation days before being positively tested for SARS-CoV-2, while others remain asymptomatic. It is important to identify these subgroups and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Xiaoran Ma , Wensheng Guo , Mengyang Gu , Len Usvyat , Peter Kotanko , Yuedong Wang

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

Delineating the associations between images and a vector of covariates is of central interest in medical imaging studies. To tackle this problem of image response regression, we propose a novel nonparametric approach in the framework of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-04 Daiwei Zhang , Lexin Li , Chandra Sripada , Jian Kang

Breast cancer remains a leading cause of mortality worldwide and is typically detected via screening programs where healthy people are invited in regular intervals. Automated risk prediction approaches have the potential to improve this…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-25 Zijun Sun , Solveig Thrun , Michael Kampffmeyer

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNs) have shown tremendous promise in addressing data-intensive challenges in recent years. In particular, some attempts have been made to improve predictions of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-07 Petr Kisselev , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

Maps have played an important role in epidemiology and public health since the beginnings of these disciplines. With the advent of geographical information systems and advanced information visualization techniques, interactive maps have…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-14 Saturnino Luz , Masood Masoodian

Accurate forecasting and analysis of emerging pandemics play a crucial role in effective public health management and decision-making. Traditional approaches primarily rely on epidemiological data, overlooking other valuable sources of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Khanh-Tung Tran , Truong Son Hy , Lili Jiang , Xuan-Son Vu

A susceptible-exposed-infected-removed (SEIR) model assumes spatial-/time-varying coefficients to model the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on the regional and temporal distribution of COVID-19 disease epidemics. A…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Huan Zhou , Ralf Schneider

Information visualization significantly enhances human perception by graphically representing complex data sets. The variety of visualization designs makes it challenging to efficiently evaluate all possible designs catering to users'…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Xiaoning Kang , Xiaoyu Chen , Ran Jin , Hao Wu , Xinwei Deng

Graphical models are an important tool in exploring relationships between variables in complex, multivariate data. Methods for learning such graphical models are well developed in the case where all variables are either continuous or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Konstantin Göbler , Anne Miloschewski , Mathias Drton , Sach Mukherjee
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