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In this paper we present an algorithm for pricing barrier options in one-dimensional Markov models. The approach rests on the construction of an approximating continuous-time Markov chain that closely follows the dynamics of the given…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius

Motivated by queues with many servers, we study Brownian steady-state approximations for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs). Our approximations are based on diffusion models (rather than a diffusion limit) whose steady-state, we prove,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Itai Gurvich

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

The challenge to fruitfully merge state-of-the-art techniques from mathematical finance and numerical analysis has inspired researchers to develop fast deterministic option pricing methods. As a result, highly efficient algorithms to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-06 Kathrin Glau

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

We provide a simple algorithm for construction of Brownian paths approximating those of a L\'evy process on a finite time interval. It requires knowledge of the L\'evy process trajectory on a chosen regular grid and the law of its endpoint,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Vladimir Fomichov , Jorge González Cázares , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

This paper develops power series expansions of a general class of moment functions, including transition densities and option prices, of continuous-time Markov processes, including jump--diffusions. The proposed expansions extend the ones…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-21 Dennis Kristensen , Young Jun Lee , Antonio Mele

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the posterior measure over the trajec- tories of a diffusion process from discrete time observations and continuous time constraints. We cast the problem in a Bayesian framework and derive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Botond Cseke , David Schnoerr , Manfred Opper , Guido Sanguinetti

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is the dominant paradigm for posterior computation in Bayesian analysis. It is common to control computation time by making approximations to the Markov transition kernel. Comparatively little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-30 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Sayan Mukherjee , David Dunson

In this paper we examine the numerical approximation of the limiting invariant measure associated with Feynman-Kac formulae. These are expressed in a discrete time formulation and are associated with a Markov chain and a potential function.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Michel Caffarel , Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra

We consider a time-average estimator $f_{k}$ of a functional of a Markov chain. Under a coupling assumption, we show that the expectation of $f_{k}$ has a limit $\mu$ as the number of time-steps goes to infinity. We describe a modification…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Nabil Kahale

We provide a mathematical study of the modified Diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) algorithm introduced in the companion article \cite{DMC}. DMC is a simulation technique that uses branching particle systems to represent expectations associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-11 Martin Hairer , Jonathan Weare

This article provides a new theory for the analysis of forward and backward particle approximations of Feynman-Kac models. Such formulae are found in a wide variety of applications and their numerical (particle) approximation are required…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Hock Peng Chan , Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra

We present a novel algorithm to solve a non-linear system of equations, whose solution can be interpreted as a tight lower bound on the vector of expected hitting times of a Markov chain whose transition probabilities are only partially…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Thomas Krak

We present a new method to sample conditioned trajectories of a system evolving under Langevin dynamics, based on Brownian bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end at a certain point (or in a certain region) in space. The bridge…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-08-17 Patrice Koehl , Henri Orland

This article establishes sufficient conditions for a linear-in-time bound on the non-asymptotic variance of particle approximations of time-homogeneous Feynman-Kac formulae. These formulae appear in a wide variety of applications including…

Computation · Statistics 2012-02-14 Nick Whiteley , Nikolas Kantas , Ajay Jasra

We propose a novel non-compact, positivity-preserving scheme for linear non-divergence form elliptic equations. Based on the Feynman--Kac formula, the solution is represented as a conditional expectation associated with a diffusion…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Haoran Xu , Kunyang Li , Xingye Yue

Many approaches for conducting Bayesian inference on discretely observed diffusions involve imputing diffusion bridges between observations. This can be computationally challenging in settings in which the temporal horizon between…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-07 Marcin Mider , Paul A. Jenkins , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts

Functionals of Brownian motion have diverse applications in physics, mathematics, and other fields. The probability density function (PDF) of Brownian functionals satisfies the Feynman-Kac formula, which is a Schrodinger equation in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-11-25 Shai Carmi , Lior Turgeman , Eli Barkai