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We propose a discrete time discrete space Markov chain approximation with a Brownian bridge correction for computing curvilinear boundary crossing probabilities of a general diffusion process on a finite time interval. For broad classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

The Feynman-Kac formula provides a way to understand solutions to elliptic partial differential equations in terms of expectations of continuous time Markov processes. This connection allows for the creation of numerical schemes for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-11 Cameron Martin , Hongyuan Zhang , Julia Costacurta , Mihai Nica , Adam R Stinchcombe

We develop continuous time Markov chain (CTMC) approximation of one-dimensional diffusions with a lower sticky boundary. Approximate solutions to the action of the Feynman-Kac operator associated with a sticky diffusion and first passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Christian Meier , Lingfei Li , Gongqiu Zhang

The Feynman-Kac Operator Expectation Estimator (FKEE) is an innovative method for estimating the target Mathematical Expectation $\mathbb{E}_{X\sim P}[f(X)]$ without relying on a large number of samples, in contrast to the commonly used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-03 Jingyuan Li , Wei Liu

We perform a thorough analysis of the relationship between discrete and series representation path integral methods, which are the main numerical techniques used in connection with the Feynman-Kac formula. First, a new interpretation of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Cristian Predescu , J. D. Doll

We present a numerical method to compute expectations of functionals of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. We discuss time dependent functionals as well as deterministic time horizon problems. Our approach is based on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

This paper introduces a new algorithm for numerically computing equilibrium (i.e. stationary) distributions for Markov chains and Markov jump processes with either a very large finite state space or a countably infinite state space. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn

We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya

In this paper, we introduce an extension of a Brownian bridge with a random length by including uncertainty also in the pinning level of the bridge. The main result of this work is that unlike for deterministic pinning point, the bridge…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Mohammed Louriki

We propose a method based on continuous time Markov chain approximation to compute the distribution of Parisian stopping times and price Parisian options under general one-dimensional Markov processes. We prove the convergence of the method…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Gongqiu Zhang , Lingfei Li

We design a particle interpretation of Feynman-Kac measures on path spaces based on a backward Markovian representation combined with a traditional mean field particle interpretation of the flow of their final time marginals. In contrast to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-19 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

In this paper we propose a new method for approximating the nonstationary moment dynamics of one dimensional Markovian birth-death processes. By expanding the transition probabilities of the Markov process in terms of Poisson-Charlier…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Stefan Engblom , Jamol Pender

The goal of this work is to formally abstract a Markov process evolving in discrete time over a general state space as a finite-state Markov chain, with the objective of precisely approximating its state probability distribution in time,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

The model consists of a signal process $X$ which is a general Brownian diffusion process and an observation process $Y$, also a diffusion process, which is supposed to be correlated to the signal process. We suppose that the process $Y$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Christophe Pofeta , Abass Sagna

This paper proposes and analyses a new multilevel Monte Carlo method for the estimation of mean exit times for multi-dimensional Brownian diffusions, and associated functionals which correspond to solutions to high-dimensional parabolic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Michael B. Giles , Francisco Bernal

An efficient conditioning technique, the so-called Brownian Bridge simulation, has previously been applied to eliminate pricing bias that arises in applications of the standard discrete-time Monte Carlo method to evaluate options written on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-08 P. V. Shevchenko

Estimation of parameters of a diffusion based on discrete time observations poses a difficult problem due to the lack of a closed form expression for the likelihood. From a Bayesian computational perspective it can be casted as a missing…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-30 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

The {\alpha}-stable L\'evy process, commonly used to describe L\'evy flight, is characterized by discontinuous jumps and is widely used to model anomalous transport phenomena. In this study, we investigate the associated exit problem and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Minglei Yang , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Guannan Zhang

Modelling random dynamical systems in continuous time, diffusion processes are a powerful tool in many areas of science. Model parameters can be estimated from time-discretely observed processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-12 Susanne Pieschner , Christiane Fuchs
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