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This paper presents a powerful methodology for flexible full-data nonparametric novelty detection that offers distribution-free false discovery rate (FDR) control guarantees. Building on the full conformal inference framework and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Junu Lee , Ilia Popov , Zhimei Ren

This work studies decentralized novelty detection with global false discovery rate (FDR) control across heterogeneous composite null distributions, without sharing the raw data due to privacy and bandwidth considerations. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Kyle Loh , Yu Xiang

Distribution-free predictive inference beyond the construction of prediction sets has gained a lot of interest in recent applications. One such application is the selection task, where the objective is to design a reliable selection rule to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Yonghoon Lee , Zhimei Ren

This paper studies the semi-supervised novelty detection problem where a set of "typical" measurements is available to the researcher. Motivated by recent advances in multiple testing and conformal inference, we propose AdaDetect, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Ariane Marandon , Lihua Lei , David Mary , Etienne Roquain

In modern multiple hypothesis testing, the availability of covariate information alongside the primary test statistics has motivated the development of more powerful and adaptive inference methods. However, most existing approaches rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Taehyoung Kim , Seohwa Hwang , Junyong Park

Conformal prediction is a powerful framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification. The standard approach to conformal prediction relies on comparing the ranks of prediction scores: under exchangeability, the rank of a future…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Etienne Gauthier , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

This paper introduces a novel conformal selection procedure, inspired by the Neyman--Pearson paradigm, to maximize the power of selecting qualified units while maintaining false discovery rate (FDR) control. Existing conformal selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Jing Qin , Yukun Liu , Moming Li , Chiung-Yu Huang

Conformal novelty detection is a classical machine learning task for which uncertainty quantification is essential for providing reliable results. Recent work has shown that the BH procedure applied to conformal p-values controls the false…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Zijun Gao , Etienne Roquain , Daniel Xiang

Monte Carlo tests are widely used for computing valid p-values without requiring known distributions of test statistics. When performing multiple Monte Carlo tests, it is essential to maintain control of the type I error. Some techniques…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Christophe A. N. Biscio , Adrien Mazoyer , Martin V. Vejling

Standard conformal anomaly detection provides marginal finite-sample guarantees under the assumption of exchangeability . However, real-world data often exhibit distribution shifts, necessitating a weighted conformal approach to adapt to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Oliver Hennhöfer , Christine Preisach

Obtaining high-quality labels for large datasets is expensive, requiring massive annotations from human experts. While AI models offer a cost-effective alternative by predicting labels, their label quality is compromised by the unavoidable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Huipeng Huang , Wenbo Liao , Huajun Xi , Hao Zeng , Mengchen Zhao , Hongxin Wei

Stability and reproducibility are essential considerations in various applications of statistical methods. False Discovery Rate (FDR) control methods are able to control false signals in scientific discoveries. However, many FDR control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Jiajun Sun , Zhanrui Cai , Wei Zhong

This paper studies the construction of p-values for nonparametric outlier detection, taking a multiple-testing perspective. The goal is to test whether new independent samples belong to the same distribution as a reference data set or are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Emmanuel Candès , Lihua Lei , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia

Most link prediction methods return estimates of the connection probability of missing edges in a graph. Such output can be used to rank the missing edges from most to least likely to be a true edge, but does not directly provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Ariane Marandon

Model-X knockoffs is a flexible wrapper method for high-dimensional regression algorithms, which provides guaranteed control of the false discovery rate (FDR). Due to the randomness inherent to the method, different runs of model-X…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-01 Zhimei Ren , Rina Foygel Barber

Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated prediction sets with precise coverage guarantees for any classification model. However, its reliance…

This paper develops novel conformal methods to test whether a new observation was sampled from the same distribution as a reference set. Blending inductive and transductive conformal inference in an innovative way, the described methods can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Ziyi Liang , Matteo Sesia , Wenguang Sun

We propose a new method for predicting multiple missing links in partially observed networks while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), a largely unresolved challenge in network analysis. The main difficulty lies in handling complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Wenqin Du , Wanteng Ma , Dong Xia , Yuan Zhang , Wen Zhou

This paper investigates sequential change-point detection in reconfigurable sensor networks. In this problem, data from multiple sensors are observed sequentially. Each sensor can have a unique change point, and the data distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-10 Seungwon Lee , Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

Conformal inference is a versatile tool for building prediction sets in regression or classification. We study the false coverage proportion (FCP) in a simultaneous inference setting with a calibration sample of $n$ points and a test sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Ulysse Gazin
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