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Related papers: Derandomized Novelty Detection with FDR Control vi…

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This paper studies the adversarial robustness of conformal novelty detection. In particular, we focus on two powerful learning-based frameworks that come with finite-sample false discovery rate (FDR) control: one is AdaDetect (by Marandon…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-03 Daofu Zhang , Mehrdad Pournaderi , Hanne M. Clifford , Yu Xiang , Pramod K. Varshney

Multiple resolutions arise across a range of explanatory features due to domain-specific structures, leading to the formation of feature groups. It follows that the simultaneous detection of significant features and groups aimed at a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Chengyao Yu , Ruixing Ming , Min Xiao , Zhanfeng Wang , Bingyi Jing

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

This paper introduces a conformal inference method to evaluate uncertainty in classification by generating prediction sets with valid coverage conditional on adaptively chosen features. These features are carefully selected to reflect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yanfei Zhou , Matteo Sesia

After the seminal Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) procedure for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) was proposed, dozens of papers have attempted to improve its power by adapting to the unknown proportion of nulls. We observe that most null…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

E-values have gained attention as potential alternatives to p-values as measures of uncertainty, significance and evidence. In brief, e-values are realized by random variables with expectation at most one under the null; examples include…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider problems where many, somewhat redundant, hypotheses are tested and we are interested in reporting the most precise rejections, with false discovery rate (FDR) control. This is the case, for example, when researchers are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Paula Gablenz , Chiara Sabatti

Testing composite null hypotheses arises in various applications, such as mediation and replicability analyses. The problem becomes more challenging in high-throughput experiments where tens of thousands of features are examined…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Pengfei Lyu , Xianyang Zhang , Hongyuan Cao

We extend conformal inference to general settings that allow for time series data. Our proposal is developed as a randomization method and accounts for potential serial dependence by including block structures in the permutation scheme. As…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-09 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wuthrich , Yinchu Zhu

Conformal inference is a fundamental and versatile tool that provides distribution-free guarantees for many machine learning tasks. We consider the transductive setting, where decisions are made on a test sample of $m$ new points, giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Ulysse Gazin , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

A scientist tests a continuous stream of hypotheses over time in the course of her investigation -- she does not test a predetermined, fixed number of hypotheses. The scientist wishes to make as many discoveries as possible while ensuring…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Ziyu Xu , Aaditya Ramdas

Simultaneously performing variable selection and inference in high-dimensional regression models is an open challenge in statistics and machine learning. The increasing availability of vast amounts of variables requires the adoption of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Marco Molinari , Magne Thoresen

In regression problems where there is no known true underlying model, conformal prediction methods enable prediction intervals to be constructed without any assumptions on the distribution of the underlying data, except that the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Wenyu Chen , Kelli-Jean Chun , Rina Foygel Barber

This article addresses a fundamental concern, first raised by Efron (2004), regarding the selection of null distributions in large-scale multiple testing. In modern data-intensive applications involving thousands or even millions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-05 Yang Tian , Zinan Zhao , Wenguang Sun

The mitigation of false positives is an important issue when conducting multiple hypothesis testing. The most popular paradigm for false positives mitigation in high-dimensional applications is via the control of the false discovery rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Hien D. Nguyen , Yohan Yee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan , Jason P. Lerch

Conformal prediction is a technique for constructing prediction intervals that attain valid coverage in finite samples, without making distributional assumptions. Despite this appeal, existing conformal methods can be unnecessarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Yaniv Romano , Evan Patterson , Emmanuel J. Candès

Controlling false discovery rate (FDR) while leveraging the side information of multiple hypothesis testing is an emerging research topic in modern data science. Existing methods rely on the test-level covariates while ignoring possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-26 Lin Qiu , Nils Murrugarra-Llerena , Vítor Silva , Lin Lin , Vernon M. Chinchilli

Prediction-powered inference is a recent methodology for the safe use of black-box ML models to impute missing data, strengthening inference of statistical parameters. However, many applications require strong properties besides valid…

This paper introduces novel weighted conformal p-values and methods for model-free selective inference. The problem is as follows: given test units with covariates $X$ and missing responses $Y$, how do we select units for which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-27 Ying Jin , Emmanuel J. Candès

In many scientific applications, hypotheses are generated and tested continuously in a stream. We develop a framework for improving online multiple testing procedures with false discovery rate (FDR) control under arbitrary dependence. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Ziyu Xu , Lasse Fischer , Aaditya Ramdas