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In the online multiple testing problem, p-values corresponding to different null hypotheses are observed one by one, and the decision of whether or not to reject the current hypothesis must be made immediately, after which the next p-value…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-03 Aaditya Ramdas , Fanny Yang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

We introduce a method based on Conformal Prediction (CP) to quantify the uncertainty of full ranking algorithms. We focus on a specific scenario where $n+m$ items are to be ranked by some ``black box'' algorithm. It is assumed that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Pierre Humbert , Gilles Blanchard

Controlling False Discovery Rate (FDR) while leveraging the side information of multiple hypothesis testing is an emerging research topic in modern data science. Existing methods rely on the test-level covariates while ignoring metrics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-10 Lin Qiu , Nils Murrugarra-Llerena , Vítor Silva , Lin Lin , Vernon M. Chinchilli

Penalized regression methods are an attractive tool for high-dimensional data analysis, but their widespread adoption has been hampered by the difficulty of applying inferential tools. In particular, the question "How reliable is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Patrick Breheny

False discovery rate (FDR) is commonly used for correction for multiple testing in neuroimaging studies. However, when using two-tailed tests, making directional inferences about the results can lead to a vastly inflated error rate, even…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Anderson M. Winkler , Paul A. Taylor , Thomas E. Nichols , Chris Rorden

We propose a new method for novelty detection that can tolerate high corruption of the training points, whereas previous works assumed either no or very low corruption. Our method trains a robust variational autoencoder (VAE), which aims to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Chieh-Hsin Lai , Dongmian Zou , Gilad Lerman

Motivation: In microarray analysis, special consideration must be given to the issues of multiple statistical tests and typically p-values are adjusted to control family-wise error rate (FWER) or false discovery rate (FDR). FDR metrics have…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Rishi L. Khan , Rajanikanth Vadigepalli , Guang Gao , James S. Schwaber

The early and robust detection of anomalies occurring in discrete manufacturing processes allows operators to prevent harm, e.g. defects in production machinery or products. While current approaches for data-driven anomaly detection provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Benjamin Maschler , Thi Thu Huong Pham , Michael Weyrich

In large scale multiple testing problems, a two-class empirical Bayes approach can be used to control the false discovery rate (Fdr) for the entire array of hypotheses under study. A sample splitting step is incorporated to modify that…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-13 Paramita Chakraborty , Chong Ma , John Grego , James Lynch

Most estimators collapse all uncertainty modes into a single confidence score, preventing reliable reasoning about when to allocate more compute or adjust inference. We introduce Uncertainty-Guided Inference-Time Selection, a lightweight…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Divake Kumar , Patrick Poggi , Sina Tayebati , Devashri Naik , Nilesh Ahuja , Amit Ranjan Trivedi

Recently, anomaly scores have been formulated using reconstruction loss of the adversarially learned generators and/or classification loss of discriminators. Unavailability of anomaly examples in the training data makes optimization of such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Muhammad Zaigham Zaheer , Jin Ha Lee , Arif Mahmood , Marcella Astrid , Seung-Ik Lee

Usually considered as a classification problem, entity resolution (ER) can be very challenging on real data due to the prevalence of dirty values. The state-of-the-art solutions for ER were built on a variety of learning models (most…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-06-17 Boyi Hou , Qun Chen , Yanyan Wang , Youcef Nafa , Zhanhuai Li

We develop a distribution-free, unsupervised anomaly detection method called ECAD, which wraps around any regression algorithm and sequentially detects anomalies. Rooted in conformal prediction, ECAD does not require data exchangeability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-04 Chen Xu , Yao Xie

The covariate shift is a challenging problem in supervised learning that results from the discrepancy between the training and test distributions. An effective approach which recently drew a considerable attention in the research community…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-27 Yun-Qian Miao , Ahmed K. Farahat , Mohamed S. Kamel

We develop scalable methods for producing conformal Bayesian predictive intervals with finite sample calibration guarantees. Bayesian posterior predictive distributions, $p(y \mid x)$, characterize subjective beliefs on outcomes of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes

We attempt to recover an $n$-dimensional vector observed in white noise, where $n$ is large and the vector is known to be sparse, but the degree of sparsity is unknown. We consider three different ways of defining sparsity of a vector:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Felix Abramovich , Yoav Benjamini , David L. Donoho , Iain M. Johnstone

As causal ground truth is incredibly rare, causal discovery algorithms are commonly only evaluated on simulated data. This is concerning, given that simulations reflect preconceptions about generating processes regarding noise…

In many statistical problems the hypotheses are naturally divided into groups, and the investigators are interested to perform group-level inference, possibly along with inference on individual hypotheses. We consider the goal of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Marina Bogomolov

Existing approaches for training neural networks with user-level differential privacy (e.g., DP Federated Averaging) in federated learning (FL) settings involve bounding the contribution of each user's model update by clipping it to some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Galen Andrew , Om Thakkar , H. Brendan McMahan , Swaroop Ramaswamy

We present a robust generalization of the synthetic control method for comparative case studies. Like the classical method, we present an algorithm to estimate the unobservable counterfactual of a treatment unit. A distinguishing feature of…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-11-21 Muhammad Jehangir Amjad , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen
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