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We study low-rank matrix regression in settings where matrix-valued predictors and scalar responses are observed across multiple individuals. Rather than assuming a fully homogeneous coefficient matrices across individuals, we accommodate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Wenyang Zhang

We study a sequential contextual decision-making problem in which certain covariates are missing but can be imputed using a pre-trained AI model. From a theoretical perspective, we analyze how the presence of such a model influences the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Haichen Hu , David Simchi-Levi

Time series of matrix-valued data are increasingly available in various areas including economics, finance, social science, among others. These data may shed light on the inter-dynamical relationships between two sets of attributes, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Fei Wu , Kung-Sik Chan

The problem of finding the missing values of a matrix given a few of its entries, called matrix completion, has gathered a lot of attention in the recent years. Although the problem under the standard low rank assumption is NP-hard,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-01 Vassilis Kalofolias , Xavier Bresson , Michael Bronstein , Pierre Vandergheynst

Modeling multivariate time series as temporal signals over a (possibly dynamic) graph is an effective representational framework that allows for developing models for time series analysis. In fact, discrete sequences of graphs can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Ivan Marisca , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

Matrix-variate time series data are increasingly popular in economics, statistics, and environmental studies, among other fields. This paper develops regularized estimation methods for analyzing high-dimensional matrix-variate time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Hangjin Jiang , Baining Shen , Yuzhou Li , Zhaoxing Gao

In this paper, we propose a new procedure for unconditional and conditional forecasting in agent-based models. The proposed algorithm is based on the application of amortized neural networks and consists of two steps. The first step…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-14 Denis Koshelev , Alexey Ponomarenko , Sergei Seleznev

An increasing body of research focuses on using neural networks to model time series. A common assumption in training neural networks via maximum likelihood estimation on time series is that the errors across time steps are uncorrelated.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Fan-Keng Sun , Christopher I. Lang , Duane S. Boning

We propose a new method for identifying and estimating the CP-factor models for matrix time series. Unlike the generalized eigenanalysis-based method of Chang et al. (2023) for which the convergence rates of the associated estimators may…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Jinyuan Chang , Yue Du , Guanglin Huang , Qiwei Yao

The objective of transfer learning is to enhance estimation and inference in a target data by leveraging knowledge gained from additional sources. Recent studies have explored transfer learning for independent observations in complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-23 Mingliang Ma Abolfazl Safikhani

We propose a novel approach for analysing time series using complex network theory. We identify the recurrence matrix calculated from time series with the adjacency matrix of a complex network, and apply measures for the characterisation of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-17 N. Marwan , J. F. Donges , Y. Zou , R. V. Donner , J. Kurths

In this paper, we propose a new test for the detection of a change in a non-linear (auto-)regressive time series as well as a corresponding estimator for the unknown time point of the change. To this end, we consider an at-most-one-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Claudia Kirch , Stefanie Schwaar

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

We propose a method that meta-learns a knowledge on matrix factorization from various matrices, and uses the knowledge for factorizing unseen matrices. The proposed method uses a neural network that takes a matrix as input, and generates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-30 Tomoharu Iwata

This paper introduces a flexible time-varying network vector autoregressive model framework for large-scale time series. A latent group structure is imposed on the heterogeneous and node-specific time-varying momentum and network spillover…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Bin Peng , Songqiao Tang , Weibiao Wu

In many applications, data are observed as matrices with temporal dependence. Matrix-variate time series modeling is a new branch of econometrics. Although stylized facts in several fields, the existing models do not account for regime…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Andrea Bucci

A networked time series (NETS) is a family of time series on a given graph, one for each node. It has a wide range of applications from intelligent transportation, environment monitoring to smart grid management. An important task in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Yichen Zhu , Bo Jiang , Haiming Jin , Mengtian Zhang , Feng Gao , Jianqiang Huang , Tao Lin , Xinbing Wang

Network estimation from multi-variate point process or time series data is a problem of fundamental importance. Prior work has focused on parametric approaches that require a known parametric model, which makes estimation procedures less…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-30 Yue Gao , Garvesh Raskutti

We consider a class of vector autoregressive models with banded coefficient matrices. The setting represents a type of sparse structure for high-dimensional time series, though the implied autocovariance matrices are not banded. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-31 Shaojun Guo , Yazhen Wang , Qiwei Yao

This paper addresses the estimation of a time- varying parameter in a network. A group of agents sequentially receive noisy signals about the parameter (or moving target), which does not follow any particular dynamics. The parameter is not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-03 Shahin Shahrampour , Alexander Rakhlin , Ali Jadbabaie