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Novel method of reconstructing dynamical networks from empirically measured time series is proposed. By examining the variable--derivative correlation of network node pairs, we derive a simple equation that directly yields the adjacency…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-09 Zoran Levnajić

High-dimensional time series are a core ingredient of the statistical modeling toolkit, for which numerous estimation methods are known.But when observations are scarce or corrupted, the learning task becomes much harder.The question is:…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-06 Guillaume Dalle , Yohann de Castro

This paper tackles the problem of robust covariance matrix estimation when the data is incomplete. Classical statistical estimation methodologies are usually built upon the Gaussian assumption, whereas existing robust estimation ones assume…

This paper proposes a Matrix Error Correction Model to identify cointegration relations in matrix-valued time series. We hereby allow separate cointegrating relations along the rows and columns of the matrix-valued time series and use…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-27 Alain Hecq , Ivan Ricardo , Ines Wilms

The reconstruction of phase spaces is an essential step to analyze time series according to Dynamical System concepts. A regression performed on such spaces unveils the relationships among system states from which we can derive their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Lucas Pagliosa , Alexandru Telea , Rodrigo Mello

This paper investigates statistical inference for noisy matrix completion in a semi-supervised model when auxiliary covariates are available. The model consists of two parts. One part is a low-rank matrix induced by unobserved latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-27 Shujie Ma , Po-Yao Niu , Yichong Zhang , Yinchu Zhu

Modeling matrix-valued time series is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we extend the method of Chang et al. (2017) to matrix-valued time series. For any given $p\times q$ matrix-valued time series, we look for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 Zhaoxing Gao

High-dimensional time series data exist in numerous areas such as finance, genomics, healthcare, and neuroscience. An unavoidable aspect of all such datasets is missing data, and dealing with this issue has been an important focus in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Amin Jalali , Rebecca Willett

We propose a factor network autoregressive (FNAR) model for time series with complex network structures. The coefficients of the model reflect many different types of connections between economic agents ("multilayer network"), which are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Graziano Moramarco

We describe a method to construct directed networks from multivariate time series which has several advantages over the widely accepted methods. This method is based on an information theoretic reduction of linear (auto-regressive) models.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-13 Toshihiro Tanizawa , Tomomichi Nakamura , Fumihiko Taya , Michael Small

We propose a pseudo-structural framework for analyzing contemporaneous co-movements in reduced-rank matrix autoregressive (RRMAR) models. Unlike conventional vector-autoregressive (VAR) models that would discard the matrix structure, our…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-25 Alain Hecq , Ivan Ricardo , Ines Wilms

Random-effects meta-analyses are very commonly used in medical statistics. Recent methodological developments include multivariate (multiple outcomes) and network (multiple treatments) meta-analysis. Here we provide a new model and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-16 Dan Jackson , Sylwia Bujkiewicz , Martin Law , Richard D Riley , Ian White

Recently, matrix-valued time series data have attracted significant attention in the literature with the recognition of threshold nonlinearity representing a significant advance. However, given the fact that a matrix is a two-array…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Cheng Yu , Dong Li , Xinyu Zhang , Howell Tong

Modeling responses on the nodes of a large-scale network is an important task that arises commonly in practice. This paper proposes a community network vector autoregressive (CNAR) model, which utilizes the network structure to characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-13 Elynn Y. Chen , Jianqing Fan , Xuening Zhu

We consider to model matrix time series based on a tensor CP-decomposition. Instead of using an iterative algorithm which is the standard practice for estimating CP-decompositions, we propose a new and one-pass estimation procedure based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-15 Jinyuan Chang , Jing He , Lin Yang , Qiwei Yao

This paper presents a computationally feasible method to compute rigorous bounds on the interval-generalisation of regression analysis to account for epistemic uncertainty in the output variables. The new iterative method uses machine…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-22 Krasymyr Tretiak , Georg Schollmeyer , Scott Ferson

High-dimensional matrix regression has been studied in various aspects, such as statistical properties, computational efficiency and application to specific instances including multivariate regression, system identification and matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Xin Li , Dongya Wu

A matrix network is a family of matrices, with relatedness modeled by a weighted graph. We consider the task of completing a partially observed matrix network. We assume a novel sampling scheme where a fraction of matrices might be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Qingyun Sun , Mengyuan Yan David Donoho , Stephen Boyd

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is applied towards learning network graph structure. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex system of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

This article studies identification and estimation for the network vector autoregressive model with nonstationary regressors. In particular, network dependence is characterized by a nonstochastic adjacency matrix. The information set…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-09 Christis Katsouris