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We develop a method to decompose causal effects on a social network into an indirect effect mediated by the network, and a direct effect independent of the social network. To handle the complexity of network structures, we assume that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-07 Alex Hayes , Mark M. Fredrickson , Keith Levin

The autoregressive (AR) model is a widely used model to understand time series data. Traditionally, the innovation noise of the AR is modeled as Gaussian. However, many time series applications, for example, financial time series data, are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-27 Junyan Liu , Sandeep Kumar , Daniel P. Palomar

We consider the problem of sequential evaluation, in which an evaluator observes candidates in a sequence and assigns scores to these candidates in an online, irrevocable fashion. Motivated by the psychology literature that has studied…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-20 Jingyan Wang , Ashwin Pananjady

Matrix time series, which consist of matrix-valued data observed over time, are prevalent in various fields such as economics, finance, and engineering. Such matrix time series data are often observed in high dimensions. Matrix factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Ruofan Yu , Rong Chen , Han Xiao , Yuefeng Han

Modern technological advances have enabled an unprecedented amount of structured data with complex temporal dependence, urging the need for new methods to efficiently model and forecast high-dimensional tensor-valued time series. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Di Wang , Yao Zheng , Guodong Li

In this study, a longitudinal regression model for covariance matrix outcomes is introduced. The proposal considers a multilevel generalized linear model for regressing covariance matrices on (time-varying) predictors. This model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Yi Zhao , Brian S. Caffo , Xi Luo

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

This paper introduces a new methodology to analyse bipartite and unipartite networks with nonnegative edge values. The proposed approach combines and adapts a number of ideas from the literature on latent variable network models. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-29 Riccardo Rastelli

We consider artificial neurons which will update their weight coefficients with an internal rule based on backpropagation, rather than using it as an external training procedure. To achieve this we include the backpropagation error estimate…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-08-07 M. N. Nazarov

Many important problems can be modeled as a system of interconnected entities, where each entity is recording time-dependent observations or measurements. In order to spot trends, detect anomalies, and interpret the temporal dynamics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-13 David Hallac , Youngsuk Park , Stephen Boyd , Jure Leskovec

Matrix completion and robust principal component analysis have been widely used for the recovery of data suffering from missing entries or outliers. In many real-world applications however, the data is also time-varying, and the naive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-25 Charul , Uttkarsha Bhatt , Pravesh Biyani , Ketan Rajawat

This study proposes the first Bayesian approach for learning high-dimensional linear Bayesian networks. The proposed approach iteratively estimates each element of the topological ordering from backward and its parent using the inverse of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-28 Seyong Hwang , Kyoungjae Lee , Sunmin Oh , Gunwoong Park

This paper presents a new approach for analysing structural properties of time series from complex systems. Starting from the concept of recurrences in phase space, the recurrence matrix of a time series is interpreted as the adjacency…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-03-03 Reik V. Donner , Y. Zou , Jonathan F. Donges , Norbert Marwan , Juergen Kurths

In this article there is no intention to repeat basic concepts about risk management, but we will try to define why often is usefull the time series analysis during the assessment of risks, and how is possible to compute a significative…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-13 Gianluca Rosso

The matrix completion problem aims to reconstruct a low-rank matrix based on a revealed set of possibly noisy entries. Prior works consider completing the entire matrix with generalization error guarantees. However, the completion accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Elad Hazan , Adam Tauman Kalai , Varun Kanade , Clara Mohri , Y. Jennifer Sun

Supervised learning methods with missing data have been extensively studied not just due to the techniques related to low-rank matrix completion. Also in unsupervised learning one often relies on imputation methods. As a matter of fact,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Andreas Elsener , Sara van de Geer

Fitting sparse models to high-dimensional time series is an important area of statistical inference. In this paper we consider sparse vector autoregressive models and develop appropriate bootstrap methods to infer properties of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-25 J. Krampe , J-P. Kreiss , E. Paparoditis

Accurate gene regulatory networks can be used to explain the emergence of different phenotypes, disease mechanisms, and other biological functions. Many methods have been proposed to infer networks from gene expression data but have been…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-11 Phan Nguyen , Rosemary Braun

Ability of deep networks to extract high level features and of recurrent networks to perform time-series inference have been studied. In view of universality of one hidden layer network at approximating functions under weak constraints, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-19 Sharat C. Prasad , Piyush Prasad

We develop a Bayesian methodology aimed at simultaneously estimating low-rank and row-sparse matrices in a high-dimensional multiple-response linear regression model. We consider a carefully devised shrinkage prior on the matrix of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Antik Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Bani K. Mallick
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