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Although the governing equations of many systems, when derived from first principles, may be viewed as known, it is often too expensive to numerically simulate all the interactions they describe. Therefore researchers often seek simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-03 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

Delattre et al. (2013) investigated asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the population parameters of the random effects associated with n independent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) assuming that the SDEs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-12 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

This paper deals with the problem of inference associated with linear fractional diffusion process with random effects in the drift. In particular we are concerned with the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of the random effect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-04 El Omari Mohamed , Hamid El Maroufy , Christiane Fuchs

In this paper, enlightened by the asymptotic expansion methodology developed by Li(2013b) and Li and Chen (2016), we propose a Taylor-type approximation for the transition densities of the stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-16 Fan Jiang , Xin Zang , Jingping Yang

This paper deals with the problem of efficient sampling from a stochastic differential equation, given the drift function and the diffusion matrix. The proposed approach leverages a recent model for probabilities \cite{rudi2021psd} (the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-25 Anant Raj , Umut Şimşekli , Alessandro Rudi

Delattre et al. (2013) considered a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in a random effects setup. Under the independent and identical (iid) situation, and assuming normal distribution of the random effects, they established…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

In this paper, we consider stochastic differential equations whose drift coefficient is superlinearly growing and piece-wise continuous, and whose diffusion coefficient is superlinearly growing and locally H\"older continuous. We first…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Minh-Thang Do , Hoang-Long Ngo , Nhat-An Pho

We consider parametric estimation for a parabolic linear second order stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) from high frequency data which are observed in time and space. By using thinned data obtained from the high frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-01 Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

Causal discovery is a data-driven paradigm for analyzing complex systems, while physics-based models, such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provide mechanistic structure for real-world dynamical processes. Integrating these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jianhong Chen , Naichen Shi , Xubo Yue

Comparative and evolutive ecologists are interested in the distribution of quantitative traits among related species. The classical framework for these distributions consists of a random process running along the branches of a phylogenetic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-24 Paul Bastide , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin

In this paper, different strands of literature are combined in order to obtain algorithms for semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models that include the modelling of unobserved heterogeneity by using mixing distributions for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-12 Dietmar Bauer , Sebastian Büscher , Manuel Batram

Non-uniform sampling arises when an experimenter does not have full control over the sampling characteristics of the process under investigation. Moreover, it is introduced intentionally in algorithms such as Bayesian optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-03 Stijn de Waele

As a concrete setting where stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are able to model real phenomena, we propose a stochastic Meinhardt model for cell repolarisation and study how parameter estimation techniques developed for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Randolf Altmeyer , Till Bretschneider , Josef Janák , Markus Reiß

We introduce a framework for analyzing ordinary differential equation (ODE) models of biological networks using statistical model checking (SMC). A key aspect of our work is the modeling of single-cell variability by assigning a probability…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-05 Bing Liu , Benjamin M. Gyori , P. S. Thiagarajan

Learning unknown stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from observed data is a significant and challenging task with applications in various fields. Current approaches often use neural networks to represent drift and diffusion functions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Aiqing Zhu , Qianxiao Li

Learning dynamical systems from incomplete or noisy data is inherently ill-posed, as a single observation may correspond to multiple plausible futures. While physics-based ensemble forecasting relies on perturbing initial states to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Siddharth Rout , Eldad Haber , Stephane Gaudreault

We introduce and test methods for the calibration of the diffusion term in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs) describing fluids. We take two approaches, one uses ideas from the singular value decomposition and the Biot-Savart…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-02 James Woodfield

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs), via their induced flow maps, provide a powerful framework to parameterize invertible transformations for the purpose of representing complex probability distributions. While such models have achieved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Youssef Marzouk , Zhi Ren , Sven Wang , Jakob Zech

Many scientific problems focus on observed patterns of change or on how to design a system to achieve particular dynamics. Those problems often require fitting differential equation models to target trajectories. Fitting such models can be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-27 Steven A. Frank