Related papers: Parameter estimation and model selection for stoch…
We deal with the problem of parameter estimation in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in a partially observed framework. We aim to design a method working for both elliptic and hypoelliptic SDEs, the latters being characterized by…
Linear birth-and-death processes (LBDPs) are foundational stochastic models in population dynamics, evolutionary biology, and hematopoiesis. Estimating parameters from discretely observed data is computationally demanding due to irregular…
Stochastic differential equations such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process have long been used to model realworld probablistic events such as stock prices and temperature fluctuations. While statistical methods such as Maximum Likelihood…
Extracting governing stochastic differential equation models from elusive data is crucial to understand and forecast dynamics for complex systems. We devise a method to extract the drift term and estimate the diffusion coefficient of a…
We introduce stochastic normalizing flows, an extension of continuous normalizing flows for maximum likelihood estimation and variational inference (VI) using stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Using the theory of rough paths, the…
Claeskens and Hjort (2003) constructed the focused information criterion (FIC) and developed frequentist model averaging methods using maximum likelihood estimators assuming the observations to be independent and identically distributed.…
We introduce a guided stochastic sampling method that augments sampling from diffusion models with physics-based guidance derived from partial differential equation (PDE) residuals and observational constraints, ensuring generated samples…
To study the nonlinear properties of complex natural phenomena, the evolution of the quantity of interest can be often represented by systems of coupled nonlinear stochastic differential equations (SDEs). These SDEs typically contain…
We propose an unbiased Monte-Carlo estimator for $\mathbb{E}[g(X_{t_1}, \cdots, X_{t_n})]$, where $X$ is a diffusion process defined by a multi-dimensional stochastic differential equation (SDE). The main idea is to start instead from a…
The purpose of this paper is to study some properties of solutions to one dimensional as well as multidimensional stochastic differential equations (SDEs in short) with super-linear growth conditions on the coefficients. Taking inspiration…
Stochastic differential equations and stochastic dynamics are good models to describe stochastic phenomena in real world. In this paper, we study N independent stochastic processes Xi(t) with real entries and the processes are determined by…
Score-based generative models are a popular class of generative modelling techniques relying on stochastic differential equations (SDE). From their inception, it was realized that it was also possible to perform generation using ordinary…
In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…
In this paper, we consider stochastic optimal control of systems driven by stochastic differential equations with irregular drift coefficient. We establish a necessary and sufficient stochastic maximum principle. To achieve this, we first…
We give a new take on the error analysis of approximations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), utilizing and developing the stochastic sewing lemma of L\^e (2020). This approach allows one to exploit regularization by noise effects…
Estimation-of-distribution algorithms (EDAs) are optimization algorithms that learn a distribution on the search space from which good solutions can be sampled easily. A key parameter of most EDAs is the sample size (population size). If…
We develop the method of stochastic modified equations (SME), in which stochastic gradient algorithms are approximated in the weak sense by continuous-time stochastic differential equations. We exploit the continuous formulation together…
Drifts of asset returns are notoriously difficult to model accurately and, yet, trading strategies obtained from portfolio optimization are very sensitive to them. To mitigate this well-known phenomenon we study robust growth-optimization…
One of the challenges in model-based control of stochastic dynamical systems is that the state transition dynamics are involved, and it is not easy or efficient to make good-quality predictions of the states. Moreover, there are not many…
We propose a novel framework for discovering Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs) from data. The proposed approach combines the concepts of stochastic calculus, variational Bayes theory, and sparse learning. We propose the…