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We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

We present a framework and algorithms to learn controlled dynamics models using neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) -- SDEs whose drift and diffusion terms are both parametrized by neural networks. We construct the drift term to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Franck Djeumou , Cyrus Neary , Ufuk Topcu

The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-09 Constantino A. García , Abraham Otero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , David G. Márquez

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

Macroscopic traffic flow is stochastic, but the physics-informed deep learning methods currently used in transportation literature embed deterministic PDEs and produce point-valued outputs; the stochasticity of the governing dynamics plays…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-11 Wuping Xin

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a ubiquitous modeling framework that finds applications in physics, biology, engineering, social science, and finance. Due to the availability of large-scale data sets, there is growing interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ziheng Guo , James Greene , Ming Zhong

This paper gives direct derivations of the differential equations and likelihood formulas of diffusion models assuming only knowledge of Gaussian distributions. A VAE analysis derives both forward and backward stochastic differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 David McAllester

Models defined by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) allow for the representation of random variability in dynamical systems. The relevance of this class of models is growing in many applied research areas and is already a standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Umberto Picchini

Traditional probabilistic methods for the simulation of advection-diffusion equations (ADEs) often overlook the entropic contribution of the discretization, e.g., the number of particles, within associated numerical methods. Many times, the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Nhat Thanh Tran , David A. Benson , Michael J. Schmidt , Stephen D. Pankavich

We consider in this work the convergence of a split-step Euler type scheme (SSM) for the numerical simulation of interacting particle Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) systems and McKean-Vlasov Stochastic Differential Equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Xingyuan Chen , Goncalo dos Reis

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

In this paper, we investigate the stochastic evolution equations (SEEs) driven by $\log$-Whittle-Mat$\acute{{\mathrm{e}}}$rn (W-M) random diffusion coefficient field and $Q$-Wiener multiplicative force noise. First, the well-posedness of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-05 X. Qi , M. Azaiez , C. Huang , C. Xu

In this paper, we consider parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations driven by Wiener processes and compound Poisson processes. We assume unknown parameters corresponding to coefficients of the drift term, diffusion term,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Shuntaro Suzuki , Takaaki Wakamatsu , Yasutaka Shimizu

Minimax optimization problems have attracted a lot of attention over the past few years, with applications ranging from economics to machine learning. While advanced optimization methods exist for such problems, characterizing their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Enea Monzio Compagnoni , Antonio Orvieto , Hans Kersting , Frank Norbert Proske , Aurelien Lucchi

Mathematical models are vital interpretive and predictive tools used to assist in the understanding of cell migration. There are typically two approaches to modelling cell migration: either micro-scale, discrete or macro-scale, continuum.…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-16 Enrico Gavagnin , Christian A. Yates

This study investigates the dynamics of Score-based Generative Models (SGMs) by treating the score estimation error as a stochastic source driving the Fokker-Planck equation. Departing from particle-centric SDE analyses, we employ an SPDE…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Junsu Seo

Stochastic mathematical models are essential tools for understanding and predicting complex phenomena. The purpose of this work is to study the exit times of a stochastic dynamical system-specifically, the mean exit time and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Eric José Ávila-Vales , José Villa-Morales
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