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A primary quantity of interest in the study of infectious diseases is the average number of new infections that an infected person produces. This so-called reproduction number has significant implications for the disease progression. There…

The metapopulation network model is effectively used to study the spatial spread of epidemics with individuals mobility. Considering the time-varying nature of individual activity and the preferences for attractive destinations in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-27 Lang Zeng , Ming Tang , Ying Liu , Seung Yeop Yang , Younghae Do

Realistic human contact networks capable of spreading infectious disease, for example studied in social contact surveys, exhibit both significant degree heterogeneity and clustering, both of which greatly affect epidemic dynamics. To…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-16 A. Bishop , I. Z. Kiss , T. House

The transmission dynamics of some infectious diseases is related to the contact structure between individuals in a network. We used five algorithms to generate contact networks with different topological structure but with the same…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-28 Raul Ossada , José H. H. Grisi-Filho , Fernando Ferreira , Marcos Amaku

The SIR model with spatially inhomogeneous infection rate is studied with numerical simulations in one, two, and three dimensions, considering the case that the infection spreads inhomogeneously in densely populated regions or hot spots. We…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-12-25 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Yuta Nakao

Pairwise models are used widely to model epidemic spread on networks. These include the modelling of susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemics on regular networks and extensions to SIS dynamics and contact tracing on more exotic networks…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-24 István Z. Kiss , Joel C. Miller , Péter L. Simon

Acute respiratory diseases are transmitted over networks of social contacts. Large-scale simulation models are used to predict epidemic dynamics and evaluate the impact of various interventions, but the contact behavior in these models is…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-27 Gail E. Potter , Mark S. Handcock , Ira M. Longini, , M. Elizabeth Halloran

An SIR model with the coinfection of the two infectious agents in a single host population is considered. The model includes the environmental carry capacity in each class of population. A special case of this model is analyzed and several…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Samia Ghersheen , Vladimir Kozlov , Vladimir G. Tkachev , Uno Wennergren

We have designed a computational model of a virus spread near the outbreak threshold. Using computer simulation we studied the Susceptible - Infected - Recovered (SIR) process where in consequence of a force of habit that is manifested by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-23 Jozef Černák

We consider evoSIR, a variant of the SIR model, on Erd\H os-Renyi random graphs in which susceptibles with an infected neighbor break that connection at rate $\rho$ and rewire to a randomly chosen individual. We compute the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Yufeng Jiang , Remy Kassem , Grayson York , Matthew Junge , Rick Durrett

Motivated by analogies between the spreading of human-to-human infections and of chemical processes, we develop a comprehensive model that accounts both for infection and for transport. In this analogy, the three different populations of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-08 Harisankar Ramaswamy , Assad A Oberai , Yannis C Yortsos

Infection spread among individuals is modelled with a continuous time Markov chain, in which subject interactions depend on their distance in space. The well known SIR model and non local variants of the latter are then obtained as large…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Franco Flandoli , Francesco Grotto , Andrea Papini , Cristiano Ricci

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

Disease transmission is studied through disciplines like epidemiology, applied mathematics, and statistics. Mathematical simulation models for transmission have implications in solving public and personal health challenges. The SIR model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-04 R. Jayatilaka , R. Patel , M. Brar , Y. Tang , N. M. Jisrawi , F. Chishtie , J. Drozd , S. R. Valluri

The Covid-19 pandemic has taken millions of lives, demonstrating the tragedy and disruption of respiratory diseases, and how difficult they can be to manage. However, there is still significant debate in the scientific community as to which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Panagiotis Demis , Ishanki De Mel , Hayley Wragg , Michael Short , Oleksiy V. Klymenko

The propagation of infectious diseases and its impact on individuals play a major role in disease dynamics, and it is important to incorporate population heterogeneity into efforts to study diseases. As a simplistic but illustrative…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Juan G. Calvo , Alberto Hernández , Mason A. Porter , Fabio Sanchez

We consider an epidemic model of SIR type set on a homogeneous tree and investigate the spreading properties of the epidemic as a function of the degree of the tree, the intrinsic basic reproduction number and the strength of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Christophe Besse , Grégory Faye

We are interested in describing the infected size of the SIS Epidemic model using Birth-Death Markov process. The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is defined within a population of constant size $M$; the size is kept constant by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-01 A. H. Nzokem

The pattern formation and spatial spread of infectious populations are investigated using a kernel-based Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model applicable across a wide range of basic reproduction numbers $R_o$. The focus is on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-13 Shuolin Li , Craig Henriquez , Gabriel Katul

The importance of modeling the spread of epidemics through a population has led to the development of mathematical models for infectious disease propagation. A number of empirical studies have collected and analyzed data on contacts between…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Rehan Ahmad , Kevin S. Xu