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We study the problem of mismatched likelihood ratio test. We analyze the type-\RNum{1} and \RNum{2} error exponents when the actual distributions generating the observation are different from the distributions used in the test. We derive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Parham Boroumand , Albert Guillen i Fabregas

We consider the problem of defining the significance of an itemset. We say that the itemset is significant if we are surprised by its frequency when compared to the frequencies of its sub-itemsets. In other words, we estimate the frequency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Nikolaj Tatti

Data-driven most powerful tests are statistical hypothesis decision-making tools that deliver the greatest power against a fixed null hypothesis among all corresponding data-based tests of a given size. When the underlying data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-15 Albert Vexler , Alan D. Hutson

The Cross Entropy method is a well-known adaptive importance sampling method for rare-event probability estimation, which requires estimating an optimal importance sampling density within a parametric class. In this article we estimate an…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Z. I. Botev , A. Ridder , L. Rojas-Nandayapa

This paper describes the Elliptical Quartic Exponential distribution in $\mathbb{R}^D$, obtained via a maximum entropy construction by imposing second and fourth moment constraints. I discuss relationships to related work, analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-11 Christopher K I Williams

We revisit the outlier hypothesis testing framework of Li \emph{et al.} (TIT 2014) and derive fundamental limits for the optimal test. In outlier hypothesis testing, one is given multiple observed sequences, where most sequences are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Lin Zhou , Yun Wei , Alfred Hero

In prior work we have introduced an asymptotic threshold of sufficient randomness for causal inference from observational data. In this paper we extend that prior work in three main ways. First, we show how to empirically estimate a lower…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-07 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Placede Tshiaba

Several statistics used by physicists to declare the signal observability over the background are compared. It is shown that the frequentist method of testing a precise hypothesis allows one to estimate the power value of criteria with…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov

In this paper three new characterizing theorems of exponential distribution are presented. They are based on equidistribution of some functions of order statistics. All of them include the median of sample of size three.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-31 Marko Obradović

In this paper, we introduce a new two-parameter lifetime distribution, called the exponential-generalized truncated logarithmic (EGTL) distribution, by compounding the exponential and generalized truncated logarithmic distributions. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Mohieddine Rahmouni , Ayman Orabi

The efficiency of Monte Carlo samplers is dictated not only by energetic effects, such as large barriers, but also by entropic effects that are due to the sheer volume that is sampled. The latter effects appear in the form of an entropic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Cristian Predescu

The limitation of permutation tests is that they assume exchangeability. It is shown that in generalized linear models one can construct permutation tests from score statistics in particular cases. When under the null hypothesis the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-05 Daniel Commenges

Closed-form stochastic filtering equations can be derived in a general setting where probability distributions are replaced by some specific outer measures. In this article, we study how the principles of the sequential Monte Carlo method…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Jeremie Houssineau , Branko Ristic

Monte-Carlo simulations are routinely used for estimating the scaling exponents of complex systems. However, due to finite-size effects, determining the exponent values is often difficult and not reliable. Here we present a novel technique…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-03-05 Indrek Mandre , Jaan Kalda

Exponential distributions appear in a wide range of applications including chemistry, nuclear physics, time series analyses, and stock market trends. There are conceivable circumstances in which one would be interested in the cumulative…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-03-23 Cecilia Chirenti , M. Coleman Miller

The off-resonant hyperpolarizability is calculated using the dipole-free sum-over-stats expression from a randomly chosen set of energies and transition dipole moments that are forced to be consistent with the sum rules. The process is…

Optics · Physics 2009-11-13 Mark C. Kuzyk , Mark G. Kuzyk

The entropy of an ergodic finite-alphabet process can be computed from a single typical sample path x_1^n using the entropy of the k-block empirical probability and letting k grow with $n$ roughly like log n. We further assume that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 J. -R. Chazottes , D. Gabrielli

Let $\mathbf{X}_1,...,\mathbf{X}_n$ be a random sample from a $p$-dimensional population distribution. Assume that $c_1n^{\alpha}\leq p\leq c_2n^{\alpha}$ for some positive constants $c_1,c_2$ and $\alpha$. In this paper we introduce a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-19 Wei-Dong Liu , Zhengyan Lin , Qi-Man Shao

We employ a general Monte Carlo method to test composite hypotheses of goodness-of-fit for several popular multivariate models that can accommodate both asymmetry and heavy tails. Specifically, we consider weighted L2-type tests based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Maicon J. Karling , Marc G. Genton , Simos G. Meintanis

The Shannon entropy, and related quantities such as mutual information, can be used to quantify uncertainty and relevance. However, in practice, it can be difficult to compute these quantities for arbitrary probability distributions,…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-11 Brendon J. Brewer