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We investigate how the statistics of extremes and records is affected when taking the moving average over a window of width $p$ of a sequence of independent, identically distributed random variables. An asymptotic analysis of the general…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-19 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

We study distributional robustness in the context of Extreme Value Theory (EVT). We provide a data-driven method for estimating extreme quantiles in a manner that is robust against incorrect model assumptions underlying the application of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Jose Blanchet , Fei He , Karthyek R. A. Murthy

Machine learning theory has mostly focused on generalization to samples from the same distribution as the training data. Whereas a better understanding of generalization beyond the training distribution where the observed distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-29 Matias Vera , Pablo Piantanida , Leonardo Rey Vega

Arnold and Villasenor (2013) obtain a series of characterizations of the exponential distribution based on random samples of size two. These results were already applied in constructing goodness-of-fit tests. Extending the techniques from…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 George Yanev

A measure-preserving dynamical system can be approximated by a Markov shift with a bistochastic matrix. This leads to using empirical stochastic matrices to measure and estimate properties of stirring protocols. Specifically, the second…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-10-25 Aaron Carl Smith

The aim of this paper is to describe a new an integrated methodology for project control under uncertainty. This proposal is based on Earned Value Methodology and risk analysis and presents several refinements to previous methodologies.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-06 Fernando Acebes , M Pereda , David Poza , Javier Pajares , Jose M Galan

A test based on tapering is proposed for use in testing a global linear hypothesis under a functional linear model. The test statistic is constructed as a weighted sum of squared linear combinations of Fourier coefficients, a tapered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-09 Dan J. Spitzner

In this article two methods to distinguish between polynomial and exponential tails are introduced. The methods are mainly based on the properties of the residual coefficient of variation for the exponential and non-exponential…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-21 Joan del Castillo , Jalila Daoudi , Richard Lockhart

The extropy measure, first proposed by Lad, Sanfilippo, and Agro in their (2015) paper in Statistical Science, has attracted considerable attention in recent years. Our study introduces a fresh approach to representing weighted extropy in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Pradeep Kumar Sahu , Nitin Gupta

In this note we study the numerical stability problem that may take place when calculating the cumulative distribution function of the {\it Hypoexponential} random variable. This computation is extensively used during the execution of Monte…

Applications · Statistics 2013-06-26 Ilya Gertsbakh , Eyal Neuman , Radislav Vaisman

Based on the median and the median absolute deviation estimators, and the Hodges-Lehmann and Shamos estimators, robustified analogues of the conventional $t$-test statistic are proposed. The asymptotic distributions of these statistics are…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-24 Chanseok Park , Min Wang

Statistical model checking avoids the exponential growth of states associated with probabilistic model checking by estimating properties from multiple executions of a system and by giving results within confidence bounds. Rare properties…

Performance · Computer Science 2012-01-26 Cyrille Jégourel , Axel Legay , Sean Sedwards

The classical combinatorics-based password strength formula provides a result in tens of bits, whereas the NIST Entropy Estimation Suite give a result between 0 and 1 for Min-entropy. In this work, we present a newly developed metric --…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Khan Reaz , Gerhard Wunder

Although the fundamental probabilistic theory of extremes has been well developed, there are many practical considerations that must be addressed in application. The contribution of this thesis is four-fold. The first concerns the choice of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-28 Brian Bader

The numerical computation of the exponentiation of a real matrix has been intensively studied. The main objective of a good numerical method is to deal with round-off errors and computational cost. The situation is more complicated when…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2009-08-28 Alexandre Goldsztejn

We demonstrate how information in the form of observable data and moment constraints are introduced into the method of Maximum relative Entropy (ME). A general example of updating with data and moments is shown. A specific econometric…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-17 Adom Giffin

Identifying future congestion points in electricity distribution networks is an important challenge distribution system operators face. A proven approach for addressing this challenge is to assess distribution grid adequacy using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-12 Julian N. Betge , Barbera Droste , Jacco Heres , Simon H. Tindemans

Extreme value theory provides an asymptotically justified framework for estimation of exceedance probabilities in regions where few or no observations are available. For multivariate tail estimation, the strength of extremal dependence is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

DUS transformation of lifetime distributions received attention by engineers and researchers in recent years. The present study introduces a new class of distribution using exponentiation of DUS transformation. A new distribution using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Beenu Thomas , Chacko V M

Recently Batsidis \textit{et al.} (2011) have presented a new procedure based on divergence measures for testing the hypothesis of the existence of a change point in exponential populations. A simulation study was carried out, in this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Apostolos Batsidis , Nirian Martín , Leandro Pardo , Konstantinos Zografos