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A framework for deriving probabilistic data-driven closure models is proposed for coarse-grained numerical simulations of turbulence in statistically stationary state. The approach unites the ideal large-eddy simulation model and data…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-25 Sagy Ephrati

This paper presents a data-driven approach to model planar pushing interaction to predict both the most likely outcome of a push and its expected variability. The learned models rely on a variation of Gaussian processes with input-dependent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Maria Bauza , Alberto Rodriguez

In different fields of applications including, but not limited to, behavioral, environmental, medical sciences and econometrics, the use of panel data regression models has become increasingly popular as a general framework for making…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-15 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

We propose a distributionally robust data-driven predictive control framework for stochastic linear time-invariant systems with unknown dynamics and disturbance distributions. We use an offline trajectory to fit the subspace predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Mirhan Urkmez , Shahab Heshmati-Alamdari

Accurate state estimation is a crucial requirement for the reliable operation and control of electric power systems. Here, we construct a data-driven, numerical method to infer missing power load values in large-scale power grids. Given…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-23 Philippe Jacquod , Laurent Pagnier , Daniel J. Gauthier

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

We present a data-driven approach to efficiently approximate nonlinear transient dynamics in solid-state systems. Our proposed machine-learning model combines a dimensionality reduction stage with a nonlinear vector autoregression scheme.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Stefan Meinecke , Felix Köster , Dominik Christiansen , Kathy Lüdge , Andreas Knorr , Malte Selig

In this paper, we develop a distributionally robust chance-constrained formulation of the Optimal Power Flow problem (OPF) whereby the system operator can leverage contextual information. For this purpose, we exploit an ambiguity set based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

An important monitoring task for power systems is accurate estimation of the system operation state. Under the nonlinear AC power flow model, the state estimation (SE) problem is inherently nonconvex giving rise to many local optima. In…

Applications · Statistics 2012-06-22 Hao Zhu , Georgios B. Giannakis

A distribution system can flexibly adjust its substation-level power output by aggregating its local distributed energy resources (DERs). Due to DER and network constraints, characterizing the exact feasible power output region is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Qi Li , Jianzhe Liu , Bai Cui , Wenzhan Song , Jin Ye

Data-driven models analyze power grids under incomplete physical information, and their accuracy has been mostly validated empirically using certain training and testing datasets. This paper explores error bounds for data-driven models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Yuxiao Liu , Bolun Xu , Audun Botterud , Ning Zhang , Chongqing Kang

We propose a new method to efficiently compute load-flows (the steady-state of the power-grid for given productions, consumptions and grid topology), substituting conventional simulators based on differential equation solvers. We use a deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-31 Benjamin Donnot , Isabelle Guyon , Marc Schoenauer , Antoine Marot , Patrick Panciatici

Controllable building loads have the potential to increase the flexibility of power systems. A key step in developing effective and attainable load control policies is modeling the set of feasible building load profiles. In this paper, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Jesus E. Contreras-Ocaña , Miguel A. Ortega-Vazquez , Daniel Kirschen , Baosen Zhang

Many scientific and engineering problems require accurate models of dynamical systems with rare and extreme events. Such problems present a challenging task for data-driven modelling, with many naive machine learning methods failing to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Samuel Rudy , Themistoklis Sapsis

We propose a robust data-driven output feedback control algorithm that explicitly incorporates inherent finite-sample model estimate uncertainties into the control design. The algorithm has three components: (1) a subspace identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-12 Benjamin Gravell , Iman Shames , Tyler Summers

The thesis focuses on developing a data-driven algorithm, based on machine learning, to solve the stochastic alternating current (AC) chance-constrained (CC) Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem. Although the AC CC-OPF problem has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Mile Mitrovic

We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

The stochastic differential equation (SDE)-based random process models of volatile renewable energy sources (RESs) jointly capture the evolving probability distribution and temporal correlation in continuous time. It has enabled recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Yiwei Qiu , Jin Lin , Zhipeng Zhou , Ningyi Dai , Feng Liu , Yonghua Song

This paper proposes a data-driven approach to detect the switching actions and topology transitions in distribution networks. It is based on the real time analysis of time-series voltages measurements. The analysis approach draws on data…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Guido Cavraro , Reza Arghandeh , Alexandra von Meier , Kameshwar Poolla

We consider the problem of direct data-driven predictive control for unknown stochastic linear time-invariant (LTI) systems with partial state observation. Building upon our previous research on data-driven stochastic control, this paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Ruiqi Li , John W. Simpson-Porco , Stephen L. Smith