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This paper presents a new robust data-driven predictive control scheme for unknown linear time-invariant systems by using input-state-output or input-output data based on whether the state is measurable. To remove the need for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-17 Kaijian Hu , Tao Liu

For a timely decarbonization of our economy, power systems need to accommodate increasing numbers of clean but stochastic resources. This requires new operational methods that internalize this stochasticity to ensure safety and efficiency.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Robert Mieth , H. Vincent Poor

This paper proposes a novel methodology for probabilistic dynamic security assessment and enhancement of power systems that considers load and generation variability, N-2 contingencies, and uncertain cascade propagation caused by uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-05 Frédéric Sabot , Pierre-Etienne Labeau , Pierre Henneaux

We present in this paper a model for forecasting short-term power loads based on deep residual networks. The proposed model is able to integrate domain knowledge and researchers' understanding of the task by virtue of different neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-31 Kunjin Chen , Kunlong Chen , Qin Wang , Ziyu He , Jun Hu , Jinliang He

An extreme event is a sudden and violent change in the state of a nonlinear system. In fluid dynamics, extreme events can have adverse effects on the system's optimal design and operability, which calls for accurate methods for their…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-26 Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

In this paper we concentrate on an alternative modeling strategy for positive data that exhibit spatial or spatio-temporal dependence. Specifically we propose to consider stochastic processes obtained trough a monotone transformation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-08 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , C. Gaetan

Strongly nonlinear flows, which commonly arise in geophysical and engineering turbulence, are characterized by persistent and intermittent energy transfer between various spatial and temporal scales. These systems are difficult to model and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Hassan Arbabi , Themistoklis Sapsis

The increasing integration of intermittent renewable generation, especially at the distribution level,necessitates advanced planning and optimisation methodologies contingent on the knowledge of thegrid, specifically the admittance matrix…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-21 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Emanuele Fabbiani , Pulkit Nahata , Keith Moffat , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

We introduce data to predictive control, D2PC, a framework to facilitate the design of robust and predictive controllers from data. The proposed framework is designed for discrete-time stochastic linear systems with output measurements and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

We present a novel data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control formulation for unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant systems affected by unknown and possibly unbounded additive uncertainties. We use off-line collected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Francesco Micheli , Tyler Summers , John Lygeros

This paper presents a new approach to a robust Gaussian process (GP) regression. Most existing approaches replace an outlier-prone Gaussian likelihood with a non-Gaussian likelihood induced from a heavy tail distribution, such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter , Fritz J. Friedersdorf

Machine learning and data analysis have been used in many robotics fields, especially for modelling. Data are usually the result of sensor measurements and, as such, they might be subjected to noise and outliers. The presence of outliers…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-08-26 Francesco Cursi , Guang-Zhong Yang

Health data are often not symmetric to be adequately modeled through the usual normal distributions; most of them exhibit skewed patterns. They can indeed be modeled better through the larger family of skew-normal distributions covering…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-24 Amarnath Nandy , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

Significant outages from weather and climate extremes have highlighted the critical need for resilience-centered risk management of the grid. This paper proposes a multi-stage stochastic robust optimization (SRO) model that advances the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Nariman L. Dehghani , Abdollah Shafieezadeh

The panel data regression models have gained increasing attention in different areas of research including but not limited to econometrics, environmental sciences, epidemiology, behavioral and social sciences. However, the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

The design of data-driven formulations for machine learning and decision-making with good out-of-sample performance is a key challenge. The observation that good in-sample performance does not guarantee good out-of-sample performance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-04 Amine Bennouna , Bart Van Parys , Ryan Lucas

This paper derives a new family of estimators, namely the minimum density power divergence estimators, as a robust generalization of the maximum likelihood estimator for the polytomous logistic regression model. Based on these estimators, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-27 E. Castilla , A. Ghosh , N. Martín , L. Pardo

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Synchrophasor data provide unprecedented opportunities for inferring power system dynamics, such as estimating voltage angles, frequencies, and accelerations along with power injection at all buses. Aligned to this goal, this work puts…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-14 Mana Jalali , Vassilis Kekatos , Siddharth Bhela , Hao Zhu , Virgilio Centeno

With an increasing high penetration of solar photovoltaic generation in electric power grids, voltage phasors and branch power flows experience more severe fluctuations. In this context, probabilistic power flow (PPF) study aims at…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-03 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang