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Functional time series whose sample elements are recorded sequentially over time are frequently encountered with increasing technology. Recent studies have shown that analyzing and forecasting of functional time series can be performed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

We propose a data-driven approach for propagating uncertainty in stochastic power grid simulations and apply it to the estimation of transmission line failure probabilities. A reduced-order equation governing the evolution of the observed…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Hongli Zhao , Tyler E. Maltba , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Power system state estimation (PSSE) is commonly formulated as weighted least-square (WLS) algorithm and solved using iterative methods such as Gauss-Newton methods. However, iterative methods have become more sensitive to system operating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Narayan Bhusal , Raj Mani Shukla , Mukesh Gautam , Mohammed Benidris , Shamik Sengupta

Fast and accurate knowledge of power flows and power injections is needed for a variety of applications in the electric grid. Phasor measurement units (PMUs) can be used to directly compute them at high speeds; however, a large number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-11 Satyaprajna Sahoo , Anwarul Islam Sifat , Anamitra Pal

The increasing decentralization of power systems driven by a large number of renewable energy sources poses challenges in power flow optimization. Partially unknown power line properties can render model-based approaches unsuitable. With…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-30 Sebastian Otzen , Hannes M. H. Wolf , Christian A. Hans

The rise of advanced data technologies in electric power distribution systems enables operators to optimize operations but raises concerns about data security and consumer privacy. Resulting data protection mechanisms that alter or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Mehrnoush Ghazanfariharandi , Robert Mieth

In this paper we propose a data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control framework for constrained stochastic systems with unbounded additive disturbances. Recursive feasibility is ensured by optimizing over an linearly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

Increasing penetration of distributed energy resources complicate operations of electric power distribution systems by amplifying volatility of nodal power injections. On the other hand, these resources can provide additional control means…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin

Data cleaning is a crucial part of every data analysis exercise. Yet, the currently available R packages do not provide fast and robust methods for cleaning and preparation of time series data. The open source package tsrobprep introduces…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Michał Narajewski , Jens Kley-Holsteg , Florian Ziel

Data-driven computing in applied mechanics utilizes the material data set directly, and hence is free from errors and uncertainties stemming from the conventional material modeling. This paper presents a data-driven approach that is robust…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Yoshihiro Kanno

In this paper, in an attempt to improve power grid resilience, a machine learning model is proposed to predictively estimate the component states in response to extreme events. The proposed model is based on a multi-dimensional Support…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

Many data-driven modules in smart grid rely on access to high-quality power flow data; however, real-world data are often limited due to privacy and operational constraints. This paper presents a physics-informed generative framework based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Junfei Wang , Darshana Upadhyay , Marzia Zaman , Pirathayini Srikantha

This letter proposes a data-driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion-based surrogate model for the stochastic economic dispatch problem considering uncertainty from wind power. The proposed method can provide accurate estimations for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-20 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , Yunhe Hou , François Bouffard

In this work, we propose a non-parametric probabilistic load flow (NP-PLF) technique based on the Gaussian Process (GP) learning to understand the power system behavior under uncertainty for better operational decisions. The technique can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-19 Parikshit Pareek , Chuan Wang , Hung D. Nguyen

Outliers can seriously distort statistical inference by inducing excessive sensitivity in the likelihood function, thereby compromising the reliability of Bayesian estimation. To address this issue, we develop a robust Bayesian estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Jeongho Lee , Junmo Song

The common approaches to construct a data-driven linear power flow (DD-LPF) model cannot completely eliminate the adverse impacts of outliers in a training dataset. In this letter, a novel outlier-immune DD-LPF model construction method via…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-27 Guoan Yan , Zhengshuo Li

It is of growing concern to ensure resilience in power distribution systems to extreme weather events. However, there are no clear methodologies or metrics available for resilience assessment that allows system planners to assess the impact…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-16 Abodh Poudyal , Anamika Dubey , Shiva Poudel

Extreme weather frequently cause widespread outages in distribution systems (DSs), demonstrating the importance of hardening strategies for resilience enhancement. However, the well-utilization of real-world outage data with associated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Wenlong Shi , Hongyi Li , Zhaoyu Wang

We analyze a power distribution line with high penetration of distributed generation and strong variations of power consumption and generation levels. In the presence of uncertainty the statistical description of the system is required to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-06-02 Konstantin S. Turitsyn