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In this paper, we propose a robust non-Gaussian process emulator based on the Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator, which is trained on metered time series of voltage phasors and power injections to perform stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-10 Pooja Algikar , Yijun Xu , Lamine Mili

To limit the probability of unacceptable worst-case linearization errors that might yield risks for power system operations, this letter proposes a robust data-driven linear power flow (RD-LPF) model. It is applicable to both transmission…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-21 Yitong Liu , Zhengshuo Li , Junbo Zhao

Power systems solvers are vital tools in planning, operating, and optimizing electrical distribution networks. The current generation of solvers employ computationally expensive iterative methods to compute sequential solutions. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-07 Siobhan Powell , Alyona Ivanova , David Chassin

Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

In this paper, we propose a risk-based data-driven approach to optimal power flow (DROPF) with dynamic line rating. The risk terms, including penalties for load shedding, wind generation curtailment and line overload, are embedded into the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Cheng Wang , Rui Gao , Feng Qiu , Jianhui Wang , Linwei Xin

Learning-based approaches are increasingly leveraged to manage and coordinate the operation of grid-edge resources in active power distribution networks. Among these, model-based techniques stand out for their superior data efficiency and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-01 Daniel Glover , Parikshit Pareek , Deepjyoti Deka , Anamika Dubey

Traditional power flow methods often adopt certain assumptions designed for passive balanced distribution systems, thus lacking practicality for unbalanced operation. Moreover, their computation accuracy and efficiency are heavily subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-30 Sungjoo Chung , Ying Zhang , Zhaoyu Wang , Fei Ding

This is the second part of a two-part paper on data-based distributionally robust stochastic optimal power flow (OPF). The general problem formulation and methodology have been presented in Part I [1]. Here, we present extensive numerical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Yi Guo , Kyri Baker , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Zechun Hu , Tyler H. Summers

The linearization of a power flow (PF) model is an important approach for simplifying and accelerating the calculation of a power system's control, operation, and optimization. Traditional model-based methods derive linearized PF models by…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-31 Yuxiao Liu , Ning Zhang , Yi Wang , Jingwei Yang , Chongqing Kang

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

Power system resilience is vital to modern society, as outages caused by extreme weather can severely disrupt communities. Existing statistical and simulation-based methods for resilience quantification are either retrospective or rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang

We present a stochastic constrained output-feedback data-driven predictive control scheme for linear time-invariant systems subject to bounded additive disturbances. The approach uses data-driven predictors based on an extension of Willems'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Johannes Teutsch , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We propose a data-based method to solve a multi-stage stochastic optimal power flow (OPF) problem based on limited information about forecast error distributions. The framework explicitly combines multi-stage feedback policies with any…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Yi Guo , Kyri Baker , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Zechun Hu , Tyler H. Summers

We propose a data-driven method to solve a stochastic optimal power flow (OPF) problem based on limited information about forecast error distributions. The objective is to determine power schedules for controllable devices in a power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-22 Yi Guo , Kyri Baker , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Zechun Hu , Tyler Summers

Accurately modeling power distribution grids is crucial for designing effective monitoring and decision making algorithms. This paper addresses the partial observability issue of data-driven distribution modeling in order to improve the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-08 Shanny Lin , Hao Zhu

Distribution power systems (DPSs) are mostly unbalanced, and their loads may have notable static voltage characteristics (ZIP loads). Hence, despite abundant papers on linear single-phase power flow models, it is still necessary to study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-19 Yitong Liu , Zhengshuo Li , Yu Zhou

There is an emerging need for efficient solutions to stochastic AC Optimal Power Flow ({AC-}OPF) to ensure optimal and reliable grid operations in the presence of increasing demand and generation uncertainty. This paper presents a highly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-11 Ilyes Mezghani , Sidhant Misra , Deepjyoti Deka

This paper presents a novel centralized, variational data assimilation approach for calibrating transient dynamic models in electrical power systems, focusing on load model parameters. With the increasing importance of inverter-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Ahmed Attia , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is well-known to be susceptible to outliers. Robust process regression models based on t-process or other heavy-tailed processes have been developed to address the problem. However, due to the nature…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Wang Zhanfeng , Noh Maengseok , Lee Youngjo , Shi Jianqing

This paper explores the effectiveness of data-driven models to predict voltage excursion events in power systems using simple categorical labels. By treating the prediction as a categorical classification task, the workflow is characterized…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Fabrizio De Caro , Adam J. Collin , Alfredo Vaccaro
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