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Related papers: Bayesian Weapon System Reliability Modeling with C…

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We implement a Bayesian inference process for Neural Networks to model the time to failure of highly reliable weapon systems with interval-censored data and time-varying covariates. We analyze and benchmark our approach, LaplaceNN, on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Michael Potter , Miru Jun

We present a novel Bayesian inference tool that uses a neural network to parameterise efficient Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) proposals. The target distribution is first transformed into a diagonal, unit variance Gaussian by a series of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-03 Adam Moss

This research develops a Bayesian framework for analyzing failure times using the Weibull distribution, addressing challenges in prior selection due to the lack of conjugate priors and multi-dimensional sufficient statistics. We propose an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Tobias Oketch , Mohammad Sepehrifar

This paper presents a hierarchical Bayesian approach to the estimation of components' reliability (survival) using a Weibull model for each of them. The proposed method can be used to estimation with general survival censored data, because…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-17 Felipe L. Bhering , Carlos A. de B. Pereira , Adriano Polpo

In this paper, we have investigated the reliability of a K-out-of-N system for the components following Weibull distribution based on the generalized progressive hybrid censored data. We have obtained the maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 Subhankar Dutta , Suchandan Kayal

We present a novel approach using neural networks to recover X-ray spectral model parameters and quantify uncertainties, balancing accuracy and computational efficiency against traditional frequentist and Bayesian methods. Frequentist…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-09 A. Tutone , A. Anitra , E. Ambrosi , R. La Placa , A. D'Aì , C. Pinto , M. Del Santo , F. Pintore , A. Pagliaro , A. Anzalone , T. Di Salvo , R. Iaria , L. Burderi , A. Sanna

In this article, we consider the estimation of unknown parameters of Weibull distribution when the lifetime data are observed in the presence of progressively type-I hybrid censoring scheme. The Newton-Raphson algorithm,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Yasin Asar , R. Arabi Belaghi

Stochastic reaction network models are often used to explain and predict the dynamics of gene regulation in single cells. These models usually involve several parameters, such as the kinetic rates of chemical reactions, that are not…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-07 Thomas A. Catanach , Huy D. Vo , Brian Munsky

We propose a new Bayesian tracking and parameter learning algorithm for non-linear non-Gaussian multiple target tracking (MTT) models. We design a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from the posterior distribution of the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-28 Lan Jiang , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Sinan Yıldırım

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a principled and natural framework for proper uncertainty quantification in the context of deep learning. They address the typical challenges associated with conventional deep learning methods, such as…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-13 Zahra Moslemi , Yang Meng , Shiwei Lan , Babak Shahbaba

We consider the problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for deep neural networks, which is important in problem settings where we may have little data, and/ or where we need accurate posterior predictive densities, e.g., for applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-10 Anoop Korattikara , Vivek Rathod , Kevin Murphy , Max Welling

We study offline change-point estimation for time series data exhibiting nonlinear serial dependence. To address this problem, we propose a copula-based Markov chain model with Weibull marginal distributions, which is suitable for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Li-Hsien Sun , Zong-Yuan Huang , Yi-Ling Huang , Chi-Yang Chiu , Ning Ning

Estimation of reliability and hazard rate is one of the most important problems raised in many applications especially in engineering studies as well as human lifetime. In this regard, different methods of estimation have been used. Each…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-27 Hassan Piriaeia , Omid Shojaee

The Weibull distribution is a commonly adopted choice for modeling the survival of systems subject to maintenance over time. When only proxy indicators and censored observations are available, it becomes necessary to express the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Gabrielle Rives , Olivier Lopez , Nicolas Bousquet

In this article we consider Bayesian estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. This problem features several obstacles to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-23 Ajay Jasra , Amin Wu

Employing Bayesian inference to calibrate constitutive model parameters has grown substantially in recent years. Among the available techniques, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling remains one of the most widely used approaches for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Aricia Rinkens , Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Erik Quaeghebeur , Nick Jaensson , Clemens Verhoosel

In cohort studies binary outcomes are very often analyzed by logistic regression. However, it is well-known that when the goal is to estimate a risk ratio, the logistic regression is inappropriate if the outcome is common. In these cases, a…

Computation · Statistics 2014-04-02 Diego Salmerón , Juan Antonio Cano

Atomistic simulations provide valuable insights into the physical processes governing material behavior. However, their applicability is fundamentally constrained by the limited time scales accessible to brute-force simulations. This…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-16 Michael Kim , Wei Cai

Bayesian inference is a widely used technique for real-time characterization of quantum systems. It excels in experimental characterization in the low data regime, and when the measurements have degrees of freedom. A decisive factor for its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Alexandra Ramôa , Raffaele Santagati , Nathan Wiebe
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