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Do Bayesian Neural Networks Improve Weapon System Predictive Maintenance?

Machine Learning 2024-01-09 v2 Applications

Abstract

We implement a Bayesian inference process for Neural Networks to model the time to failure of highly reliable weapon systems with interval-censored data and time-varying covariates. We analyze and benchmark our approach, LaplaceNN, on synthetic and real datasets with standard classification metrics such as Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Area Under Curve (AUC) Precision-Recall (PR) AUC, and reliability curve visualizations.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2312.10494,
  title  = {Do Bayesian Neural Networks Improve Weapon System Predictive Maintenance?},
  author = {Michael Potter and Miru Jun},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.10494},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T13:53:35.226Z