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In the world of multivariate extremes, estimation of the dependence structure still presents a challenge and an interesting problem. A procedure for the bivariate case is presented that opens the road to a similar way of handling the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

Skew-elliptical distributions constitute a large class of multivariate distributions that account for both skewness and a variety of tail properties. This class has simpler representations in terms of densities rather than cumulative…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Harry Joe , Haijun Li

Additive white noise may significantly increase the response of bistable systems to a periodic driving signal. We consider two classes of double-well potentials, symmetric and asymmetric, modulated periodically in time with period $1/\eps$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nils Berglund , Barbara Gentz

This article introduces a non-parametric information-theoretic approach to inference about the tail of a continuous or a discrete distribution. Leveraging a new concept named tail profile -- a set of information-theoretic quantities…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

We propose a model to flexibly estimate joint tail properties by exploiting the convergence of an appropriately scaled point cloud onto a compact limit set. Characteristics of the shape of the limit set correspond to key tail dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Reetam Majumder , Benjamin A. Shaby , Brian J. Reich , Daniel Cooley

We characterise the learning of a mixture of two clouds of data points with generic centroids via empirical risk minimisation in the high dimensional regime, under the assumptions of generic convex loss and convex regularisation. Each cloud…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Urte Adomaityte , Gabriele Sicuro , Pierpaolo Vivo

A ubiquitous feature of data of our era is their extra-large sizes and dimensions. Analyzing such high-dimensional data poses significant challenges, since the feature dimension is often much larger than the sample size. This thesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-11 Kai Yang

In general, obtaining the exact steady-state distribution of queue lengths is not feasible. Therefore, we establish bounds for the tail probabilities of queue lengths. Specifically, we examine queueing systems under Heavy-Traffic (HT)…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Prakirt Raj Jhunjhunwala , Daniela Hurtado-Lange , Siva Theja Maguluri

Many Bayesian inference problems require exploring the posterior distribution of high-dimensional parameters that represent the discretization of an underlying function. This work introduces a family of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-03 Tiangang Cui , Kody J. H. Law , Youssef M. Marzouk

In the environmental modeling field, the exploratory analysis of responses often exhibits spatial correlation as well as some non-Gaussian attributes such as skewness and/or heavy-tailedness. Consequently, we propose a general spatial model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Behzad Mahmoudian

The time-dependent work probability distribution function $P(W)$ is investigated analytically for a diffusing particle trapped by an anisotropic harmonic potential and driven by a nonconservative drift force in two dimensions. We find that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Jae Dong Noh , Chulan Kwon , Hyunggyu Park

The classical tail dependence coefficient (TDC) may fail to capture non-exchangeable features of tail dependence due to its restrictive focus on the diagonal of the underlying copula. To address this limitation, the framework of path-based…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Takaaki Koike , Marius Hofert , Haruki Tsunekawa

In the present work the dynamics of a continuous inextensible chain is studied. The chain is regarded as a system of small particles subjected to constraints on their reciprocal distances. It is proposed a treatment of systems of this kind…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Franco Ferrari , Maciej Pyrka

We extend a result of Goldreich and Ron about estimating the collision probability of a hash function. Their estimate has a polynomial tail. We prove that when the load factor is greater than a certain constant, the estimator has a gaussian…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Dawei Hong , Jean-Camille Birget , Shushuang Man

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

Recent empirical and theoretical analyses of several commonly used prediction procedures reveal a peculiar risk behavior in high dimensions, referred to as double/multiple descent, in which the asymptotic risk is a non-monotonic function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Pratik Patil , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Yuting Wei , Alessandro Rinaldo

We develop a novel characterization of extremal dependence between two cortical regions of the brain when its signals display extremely large amplitudes. We show that connectivity in the tails of the distribution reveals unique features of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-09 Mara Sherlin Talento , Jordan Richards , Raphael Huser , Hernando Ombao

The increasing penetration of embedded renewables makes forecasting net-load, consumption less embedded generation, a significant and growing challenge. Here a framework for producing probabilistic forecasts of net-load is proposed with…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-06 Jethro Browell , Matteo Fasiolo

Concentration inequalities form an essential toolkit in the study of high dimensional (HD) statistical methods. Most of the relevant statistics literature in this regard is based on sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential tail assumptions. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Abhishek Chakrabortty

This is a preprint of Chapter 2 in the following work: Marta Lewicka, A Course on Tug-of-War Games with Random Noise, 2020, Springer, reproduced with permission of Springer Nature Switzerland AG. We present the basic relation between the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-24 Marta Lewicka
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