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Related papers: Quantifying Tipping Risks in Power Grids and beyon…

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Power system operators routinely perform N-1 contingency analysis, yet conventional tools provide limited guidance on which lines or transformers deserve heightened attention during fast post-fault transients. In particular, static…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Ayrton Almada , Laurent Pagnier , Igal Goldshtein , Saif R. Kazi , Michael , Chertkov

Catastrophic transitions, where a system shifts abruptly between alternate steady states, are a generic feature of many nonlinear systems. Recently these regime shift were suggested as the mechanism underlies many ecological catastrophes,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Haim Weissmann , Nadav M. Shnerb

If a disturbance rocks a low-inertia power system, the frequency decline may be too rapid to arrest before it triggers undesirable responses from generators and loads. In the worst case, this instability could lead to blackout and major…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-08 Adam B. Birchfield

Event-triggered approach to networked control systems is used to reduce the workload of the communication network. For the static output-feedback continuous event-trigger may generate an infinite number of sampling instants in finite time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Anton Selivanov , Emilia Fridman

Multipurpose batch processes become increasingly popular in manufacturing industries since they adapt to low-volume, high-value products and shifting demands. These processes often operate in a dynamic environment, which faces disturbances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Taicheng Zheng , Dan Li , Jie Li

We introduce a new microscopic model of the outages in transmission power grids. This model accounts for the automatic response of the grid to load fluctuations that take place on the scale of minutes, when the optimum power flow…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 René Pfitzner , Konstantin Turitsyn , Michael Chertkov

External and internal factors may cause a system's parameter to vary with time before it stabilizes. This drift induces a regime shift when the parameter crosses a bifurcation. Here, we study the case of an infinite dimensional system: a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-14 Julia Cantisán , Jesús M. Seoane , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

The dynamic response of power grids to small transient events or persistent stochastic disturbances influences their stable operation. This paper studies the effect of topology on the linear time-invariant dynamics of power networks. For a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-21 Siddharth Bhela , Deepjyoti Deka , Harsha Nagarajan , Vassilis Kekatos

Various subsystems of the Earth system may undergo critical transitions by passing a so-called tipping point, under sustained changes to forcing. For example, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is of particular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-01 Kerstin Lux , Peter Ashwin , Richard Wood , Christian Kuehn

This paper investigates the nonlinear dynamics and phase transitions in power packet network connected with routers, conceptualized as macroscopic information-ratchets. In the emerging paradigm of cyber-physical energy systems, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Takashi Hikihara

Measures of power grid vulnerability are often assessed by the amount of damage an adversary can exact on the network. However, the cascading impact of such attacks is often overlooked, even though cascades are one of the primary causes of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Albert Lam , Mihai Anitescu , Anirudh Subramanyam

Tipping points occur in many real-world systems, at which the system shifts suddenly from one state to another. The ability to predict the occurrence of tipping points from time series data remains an outstanding challenge and a major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Chengzuo Zhuge , Jiawei Li , Wei Chen

In the last few years, the dynamical characterization of the power output of a wind turbine by means of a Langevin equation has been well established. For this approach, temporally highly resolved measurements of wind speed and power output…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-27 Christian Wiedemann , Henrik M. Bette , Matthias Wächter , Jan A. Freund , Thomas Guhr , Joachim Peinke

Incorporating renewable energy sources into modern power grids has significantly decreased system inertia, which has raised concerns about power system vulnerability to disturbances and frequency instability. The conventional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-29 Negar Monir , Mahdieh S. Sadabadi , Sadegh Soudjani

Public transportation systems often suffer from unexpected fluctuations in demand and disruptions, such as mechanical failures and medical emergencies. These fluctuations and disruptions lead to delays and overcrowding, which are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Chaeeun Han , Jose Paolo Talusan , Dan Freudberg , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Abhishek Dubey , Aron Laszka

With rising global temperatures Earth's tipping elements are becoming increasingly more vulnerable to crossing their critical thresholds. The reaching of such tipping points does not only impact other tipping elements through their…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-05-08 Tom Bdolach , Jürgen Kurths , Serhiy Yanchuk

A wide body of work has applied the concept of critical slowing down to estimate the stability of different Earth system components. Most of them -- such as global vegetation -- are inherently non-stationary, for example due to strong…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-28 Taylor Smith , Andreas Morr , Christof Schötz , Niklas Boers

Cascading failure of a power transmission system are initiated by an exogenous event that disable a set of elements (e.g., lines) followed by a sequence of interrelated failures (or more precisely, trips) of overloaded elements caused by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-21 Daniel Bienstock , Guy Grebla

The identification of Linear Time-Varying (LTV) systems from input-output data is a fundamental yet challenging ill-posed inverse problem. This work introduces a unified Bayesian framework that models the system's impulse response, $h(t,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yaniv Shulman

Throughput and energy efficiency in fading channels are studied in the presence of randomly arriving data and statistical queueing constraints. In particular, Markovian arrival models including discrete-time Markov, Markov fluid, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-15 Mustafa Ozmen , M. Cenk Gursoy