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In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach for forecasting hierarchical time series. When dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from generating accurate forecasts, one needs to select a suitable method for producing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Paolo Mancuso , Veronica Piccialli , Antonio M. Sudoso

One of the most critical issues in machine learning is the selection of appropriate hyper parameters for training models. Machine learning models may be able to reach the best training performance and may increase the ability to generalize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Caner Erden , Halil Ibrahim Demir , Abdullah Hulusi Kökçam

The task of hyper-parameter optimization (HPO) is burdened with heavy computational costs due to the intractability of optimizing both a model's weights and its hyper-parameters simultaneously. In this work, we introduce a new class of HPO…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Mathieu Tuli , Mahdi S. Hosseini , Konstantinos N. Plataniotis

Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is a critical component of machine learning pipelines, significantly affecting model robustness, stability, and generalization. However, HPO is often a time-consuming and computationally intensive task.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Ruinan Wang , Ian Nabney , Mohammad Golbabaee

Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is increasingly used to automatically tune the predictive performance (e.g., accuracy) of machine learning models. However, in a plethora of real-world applications, accuracy is only one of the multiple --…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-25 Robin Schmucker , Michele Donini , Muhammad Bilal Zafar , David Salinas , Cédric Archambeau

Since deep neural networks were developed, they have made huge contributions to everyday lives. Machine learning provides more rational advice than humans are capable of in almost every aspect of daily life. However, despite this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Tong Yu , Hong Zhu

Diffusion probabilistic models have set a new standard for generative fidelity but are hindered by a slow iterative sampling process. A powerful training-free strategy to accelerate this process is Schedule Optimization, which aims to find…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Aihua Zhu , Rui Su , Qinglin Zhao , Li Feng , Meng Shen , Shibo He

Weather forecasting plays a vital role in numerous sectors, but accurately capturing the complex dynamics of weather systems remains a challenge for traditional statistical models. Apart from Auto Regressive time forecasting models like…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Anuvab Sen , Arul Rhik Mazumder , Dibyarup Dutta , Udayon Sen , Pathikrit Syam , Sandipan Dhar

Despite the recent progress in hyperparameter optimization (HPO), available benchmarks that resemble real-world scenarios consist of a few and very large problem instances that are expensive to solve. This blocks researchers and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Aaron Klein , Zhenwen Dai , Frank Hutter , Neil Lawrence , Javier Gonzalez

Hyperparameter Optimization (HPO) of Deep Learning-based models tends to be a compute resource intensive process as it usually requires to train the target model with many different hyperparameter configurations. We show that integrating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Juan Pablo García Amboage , Eric Wulff , Maria Girone , Tomás F. Pena

The performance of any Machine Learning (ML) algorithm is impacted by the choice of its hyperparameters. As training and evaluating a ML algorithm is usually expensive, the hyperparameter optimization (HPO) method needs to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-12 Alejandro Morales-Hernández , Inneke Van Nieuwenhuyse , Gonzalo Nápoles

Proximal policy optimization (PPO) is one of the most popular state-of-the-art on-policy algorithms that has become a standard baseline in modern reinforcement learning with applications in numerous fields. Though it delivers stable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Qisai Liu , Zhanhong Jiang , Hsin-Jung Yang , Mahsa Khosravi , Joshua R. Waite , Soumik Sarkar

This paper addresses a common problem with hierarchical time series. Time series analysis demands the series for a model to be the sum of multiple series at corresponding sub-levels. Hierarchical Time Series presents a two-fold problem.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-27 Seema Sangari , Xinyan Zhang

To reach high performance with deep learning, hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is essential. This process is usually time-consuming due to costly evaluations of neural networks. Early discarding techniques limit the resources granted to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Romain Egele , Felix Mohr , Tom Viering , Prasanna Balaprakash

At the forefront of state-of-the-art human alignment methods are preference optimization methods (*PO). Prior research has often concentrated on identifying the best-performing method, typically involving a grid search over hyperparameters,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Kian Ahrabian , Xihui Lin , Barun Patra , Vishrav Chaudhary , Alon Benhaim , Jay Pujara , Xia Song

In the context of time series forecasting, it is a common practice to evaluate multiple methods and choose one of these methods or an ensemble for producing the best forecasts. However, choosing among different ensembles over multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

Traditional risk factors like beta, size/value, and momentum often lag behind market dynamics in measuring and predicting stock return volatility. Statistical models like PCA and factor analysis fail to capture hidden nonlinear…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Wenyan Xu , Jiayu Chen , Dawei Xiang , Chen Li , Yonghong Hu , Zhonghua Lu

Metabolic monitoring and reaction rate estimation using hyperpolarized NMR technology requires accurate quantitative analysis of multidimensional data scenarios. Currently, this analysis is often performed in a two-stage procedure, which is…

Gradient-based hyperparameter optimization (HPO) have emerged recently, leveraging bilevel programming techniques to optimize hyperparameter by estimating hypergradient w.r.t. validation loss. Nevertheless, previous theoretical works mainly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Yubo Zhou , Jun Shu , Junmin Liu , Deyu Meng

Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) aims to identify an optimal hyperparameter configuration (HPC) such that the resulting model generalizes well to unseen data. As the expected generalization error cannot be optimized directly, it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Lennart Schneider , Bernd Bischl , Matthias Feurer