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Spatiotemporal time series forecasting plays a key role in a wide range of real-world applications. While significant progress has been made in this area, fully capturing and leveraging spatiotemporal heterogeneity remains a fundamental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Zheng Dong , Renhe Jiang , Haotian Gao , Hangchen Liu , Jinliang Deng , Qingsong Wen , Xuan Song

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

It is typical for a machine learning system to have numerous hyperparameters that affect its learning rate and prediction quality. Finding a good combination of the hyperparameters is, however, a challenging job. This is mainly because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-08 Dobromir Marinov , Daniel Karapetyan

The increasing penetration of renewable generation and distributed energy resources requires new operating practices for power systems, wherein risk is explicitly quantified and managed. However, traditional risk-assessment frameworks are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-05 Wenbo Chen , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Despite significant advancements in video large multimodal models (video-LMMs), achieving effective temporal grounding in long-form videos remains a challenge for existing models. To address this limitation, we propose Temporal Preference…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Rui Li , Xiaohan Wang , Yuhui Zhang , Orr Zohar , Zeyu Wang , Serena Yeung-Levy

As a result of the ever increasing complexity of configuring and fine-tuning machine learning models, the field of automated machine learning (AutoML) has emerged over the past decade. However, software implementations like Auto-WEKA and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Dimitrios Iliadis , Marcel Wever , Bernard De Baets , Willem Waegeman

Adapting pretrained diffusion models to downstream objectives such as inverse problems often requires expensive test-time guidance or optimization. We propose a principled framework for generating high-quality reward-aligned samples at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Kushagra Pandey , Farrin Marouf Sofian , Jan Niklas Groeneveld , Felix Draxler , Stephan Mandt

Deep learning has significantly advanced time series forecasting through its powerful capacity to capture sequence relationships. However, training these models with the Mean Square Error (MSE) loss often results in over-smooth predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Dongyue Chen , Emadeldeen Eldele , Qinghua Hu

Large collections of time series data are commonly organized into structures with different levels of aggregation; examples include product and geographical groupings. It is often important to ensure that the forecasts are coherent so that…

Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) has recently emerged as a promising strategy for tackling the problem of machine learning model robustness under distribution shifts by adapting the model during inference without access to any labels. Because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Sebastian Cygert , Damian Sójka , Tomasz Trzciński , Bartłomiej Twardowski

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Time series forecasting has long been dominated by advances in model architecture, with recent progress driven by deep learning and hybrid statistical techniques. However, as forecasting models approach diminishing returns in accuracy, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Daojun Liang , Qi Li , Yinglong Wang , Jing Chen , Hu Zhang , Xiaoxiao Cui , Qizheng Wang , Shuo Li

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is among the most widely adopted and reliable methods for robot control, relying critically on an accurate dynamics model. However, existing dynamics models used in the gradient-based MPC are limited by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Jan Węgrzynowski , Piotr Kicki , Grzegorz Czechmanowski , Maciej Krupka , Krzysztof Walas

Hierarchical Instruction Following (HIF) refers to the problem of prompting large language models with a priority-ordered stack of instructions. Standard methods like RLHF and DPO typically fail in this problem since they mainly optimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Keru Chen , Jun Luo , Sen Lin , Yingbin Liang , Alvaro Velasquez , Nathaniel Bastian , Shaofeng Zou

This paper proposes a new method for hyperparameter optimization (HPO) that balances exploration and exploitation. While evolutionary algorithms (EAs) show promise in HPO, they often struggle with effective exploitation. To address this, we…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Chul Kim , Inwhee Joe

It is imperative to discern the relationships between multiple time series for accurate forecasting. In particular, for stock prices, components are often divided into groups with the same characteristics, and a model that extracts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Ryo Umagami , Yu Ono , Yusuke Mukuta , Tatsuya Harada

Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) is a powerful paradigm for aligning Large Language Models (LLMs) to human preferences in Machine Translation (MT), but current methods are hindered by two fundamental challenges: (1) flawed reward…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Hao Wang , Linlong Xu , Heng Liu , Yangyang Liu , Xiaohu Zhao , Bo Zeng , Liangying Shao , Longyue Wang , Weihua Luo , Kaifu Zhang

Two-sample hypothesis testing for network comparison presents many significant challenges, including: leveraging repeated network observations and known node registration, but without requiring them to operate; relaxing strong structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-05 Meijia Shao , Dong Xia , Yuan Zhang , Qiong Wu , Shuo Chen

Machine learning has achieved remarkable success over the past couple of decades, often attributed to a combination of algorithmic innovations and the availability of high-quality data available at scale. However, a third critical component…

Time series refer to a series of data points indexed in time order, which can be found in various fields, e.g., transportation, healthcare, and finance. Accurate time series forecasting can enhance optimization planning and decision-making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Ling Chen , Jiahua Cui
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