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Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) offer the potential for reliable uncertainty quantification and interpretability, which are critical for trustworthy AI in high-stakes domains. However, existing methods often struggle with issues such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Romeo Sommerfeld , Christian Helms , Ralf Herbrich

The rising interest in Bayesian deep learning (BDL) has led to a plethora of methods for estimating the posterior distribution. However, efficient computation of inferences, such as predictions, has been largely overlooked with Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Rui Li , Marcus Klasson , Arno Solin , Martin Trapp

One of the most popular estimation methods in Bayesian neural networks (BNN) is mean-field variational inference (MFVI). In this work, we show that neural networks with ReLU activation function induce posteriors, that are hard to fit with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-28 Piotr Tempczyk , Ksawery Smoczyński , Philip Smolenski-Jensen , Marek Cygan

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have been long considered an ideal, yet unscalable solution for improving the robustness and the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks. While they could capture more accurately the posterior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Gianni Franchi , Andrei Bursuc , Emanuel Aldea , Severine Dubuisson , Isabelle Bloch

Garment simulation is fundamental to various applications in computer vision and graphics, from virtual try-on to digital human modelling. However, conventional physics-based methods remain computationally expensive, hindering their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Aoran Liu , Kun Hu , Clinton Ansun Mo , Qiuxia Wu , Wenxiong Kang , Zhiyong Wang

The Gaussian mixture model is a classic technique for clustering and data modeling that is used in numerous applications. With the rise of big data, there is a need for parameter estimation techniques that can handle streaming data and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-09-20 Priyank Jaini , Pascal Poupart

Both uncertainty estimation and interpretability are important factors for trustworthy machine learning systems. However, there is little work at the intersection of these two areas. We address this gap by proposing a novel method for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Javier Antorán , Umang Bhatt , Tameem Adel , Adrian Weller , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Datasets that exhibit non-Gaussian characteristics are common in many fields, while the current modeling framework and available software for non-Gaussian models is limited. We introduce Linear Latent Non-Gaussian Models (LLnGMs), a unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 David Bolin , Xiaotian Jin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) methods are developed for Casual Inference. Generative methods are simulation-based methods that use a large training dataset to represent posterior distributions as a map (a.k.a. optimal transport) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Maria Nareklishvili , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

We show how the random coefficient logistic demand (BLP) model can be phrased as an automatically differentiable moment function, including the incorporation of numerical safeguards proposed in the literature. This allows gradient-based…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-10 Andrew Chia

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown expressive performance on graph representation learning by aggregating information from neighbors. Recently, some studies have discussed the importance of modeling neighborhood distribution on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Wendong Bi , Lun Du , Qiang Fu , Yanlin Wang , Shi Han , Dongmei Zhang

Most real-world dynamic systems are composed of different components that often evolve at very different rates. In traditional temporal graphical models, such as dynamic Bayesian networks, time is modeled at a fixed granularity, generally…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Suchi Saria , Uri Nodelman , Daphne Koller

Bayesian computation for filtering and forecasting analysis is developed for a broad class of dynamic models. The ability to scale-up such analyses in non-Gaussian, nonlinear multivariate time series models is advanced through the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Andrew Cron , Mike West

We consider the situation where a temporal process is composed of contiguous segments with differing slopes and replicated noise-corrupted time series measurements are observed. The unknown mean of the data generating process is modelled as…

Uncertainty quantification is an important task in machine learning - a task in which standardneural networks (NNs) have traditionally not excelled. This can be a limitation for safety-critical applications, where uncertainty-aware methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Felix Fiedler , Sergio Lucia

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer probability distributions for model parameters, enabling uncertainty quantification in predictions. However, they often underperform compared to deterministic neural networks. Utilizing mutual learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Cuong Pham , Cuong C. Nguyen , Trung Le , Dinh Phung , Gustavo Carneiro , Thanh-Toan Do

Neural nets have become popular to accelerate parameter inferences, especially for the upcoming generation of galaxy surveys in cosmology. As neural nets are approximative by nature, a recurrent question has been how to propagate the neural…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-25 Daniela Grandón , Elena Sellentin

The generalized Gauss-Newton (GGN) approximation is often used to make practical Bayesian deep learning approaches scalable by replacing a second order derivative with a product of first order derivatives. In this paper we argue that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Alexander Immer , Maciej Korzepa , Matthias Bauer

The quest for efficient and robust deep learning models for molecular systems representation is increasingly critical in scientific exploration. The advent of message passing neural networks has marked a transformative era in graph-based…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-01-05 Jian Chang , Shuze Zhu