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The space missions MOST, COROT and Kepler are going to provide us with high-precision optical photometry of solar-like stars with time series extending from tens of days to several years. They can be modelled to obtain information on…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 A. F. Lanza , A. S. Bonomo , M. Rodono'

Total solar irradiance variations, about 0.1% between solar activity maximum and minimum, are available from accurate satellite measurements since 1978 and thus do not provide useful information on longer-term secular trends. Recently,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-05-23 S. Sello

Early observations of sunspot were realised by the naked eye. Possible utilization of these records for studying the long-term change in the Sun is discussed here. Other historical sunspot observations with camera obscuras are also…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 J. M. Vaquero

Solar cycles are studied with the Version 2 monthly smoothed international sunspot number, the variations of which are found to be well represented by the modified logistic differential equation with four parameters: maximum cumulative…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-19 G. Qin , S. -S. Wu

Solar energy is one of important renewable energy sources and simulation of solar irradiance can be used as input for simulation of photovoltaic (PV) generation. This paper proposes a simulation algorithm of multi-station solar irradiance…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-18 Xingbo Fu , Feng Gao , Jiang Wu , Ruanming Huang , Yichao Huang , Fei Fei

Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-09 Dhaval Dalal , Anamitra Pal , Philip Augustin

In 2015 the calculation of the International (Zurich) sunspot number was cancelled, and it was replaced by a new "recalibrated" series. A new data series was proposed also for the Group sunspot number. As a result, these two series which…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-24 Katya Georgieva , Ali Kilcik , Yury Nagovitsyn , Boian Kirov

A novel method for real-time solar generation forecast using weather data, while exploiting both spatial and temporal structural dependencies is proposed. The network observed over time is projected to a lower-dimensional representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Mohammad Alqudah , Tatjana Dokic , Mladen Kezunovic , Zoran Obradovic

To study and forecast the solar activity data a quite perspective method of singular spectrum analysis (SSA) is proposed. As known, data of the solar activity are usually presented via the Wolf numbers associated with the effective amount…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Loskutov , I. A. Istomin , K. M. Kuzanyan , O. L. Kotlyarov

The paper shows the recurrence and cross recurrence plots of three time series, concerning data of the solar activity. The data are the sunspot number and the values of solar radio flux at 10.7 cm and of solar total irradiance, which are…

Popular Physics · Physics 2008-04-14 Amelia Sparavigna

Sunspot numbers provide the longest continuous record of solar activity and remain a key index for heliophysical research and space-weather applications. Standard sunspot determination relies on visual inspection and algorithmic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-25 Fabian C. Quintero-Pareja , Diederik A. Montano-Burbano , Santiago Quintero-Pareja , D. Sierra-Porta

The Schwabe (~11 yr) value for the annual sunspot number is sometimes uncritically applied to other measures of solar activity, direct and indirect, including the 10.7 cm radio flux, the inflow of galactic cosmic rays, solar flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-08 Claudio Vita-Finzi

In 1981, the production of the international Sunspot Number moved from the Z\"{u}rich Observatory to the Royal Observatory of Belgium, marking a very important transition in the history of the Sunspot Number. Those recent decades are…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Frédéric Clette , Laure Lefèvre , Marco Cagnotti , Sergio Cortesi , Andreas Bulling

Improving irradiance forecasting is critical to further increase the share of solar in the energy mix. On a short time scale, fish-eye cameras on the ground are used to capture cloud displacements causing the local variability of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

The use of different solar activity indices like sunspot numbers, sunspot areas, flare index, magnetic fields, etc., allows us to investigate the time evolution of some specific features of the solar activity and the underlying dynamo…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-10-11 Stefano Sello

We compare four sunspot-number data sequences against geomagnetic and terrestrial auroral observations. The comparisons are made for the original SIDC composite of Wolf-Zurich-International sunspot number [$R_{ISNv1}$], the group sunspot…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-29 Mike Lockwood , Mathew J. Owens , Luke A Barnard , Chris J. Scott , Ilya G. Usoskin , Heikki Nevanlinna

Building a reliable forecast of solar activity is a long-standing problem that requires to accurately describe past and current global dynamics. However, synoptic observations of magnetic fields and subsurface flows became available…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-14 Irina N. Kitiashvili

We applied the method of continuous wavelet-transform to high-quality time-frequency analysis to the sets of observations of relative sunspot numbers. Wavelet analysis of these data reveals the following pattern: at the same time there are…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-12-15 A. A. Borisov , E. A. Bruevich , V. V. Bruevich , I. K. Rozgacheva , E. V. Shimanovskaya

Data from three solar observatories, Learmonth, Holloman, and San Vito, are used to study the variations in the average number of sunspots per sunspot group. It is found that the different types of sunspot groups and the number of sunspots…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-06 K. Georgieva , A. Kilcik , Yu. Nagovitsyn , B. Kirov

The difference between consecutive daily Sunspot Numbers was analysed. Its distribution was approximated on a large time scale with an exponential law. In order to verify this approximation a Maximum Entropy distribution was generated by a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-01-31 Mihail-Ioan Pop