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This paper investigates the performance of Echo State Networks (ESNs) for univariate time series forecasting using a subset of the M4 Forecasting Competition dataset. Focusing on monthly and quarterly time series, we evaluate whether a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Alexander Häußer

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs), particularly long short-term memory (LSTM), have gained much attention in automatic speech recognition (ASR). Although some successful stories have been reported, training RNNs remains highly challenging,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-21 Zhiyuan Tang , Dong Wang , Zhiyong Zhang

Echo States Networks (ESN) and Long-Short Term Memory networks (LSTM) are two popular architectures of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) to solve machine learning task involving sequential data. However, little have been done to compare their…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Alexandre Variengien , Xavier Hinaut

Automatic speech recognition (ASR) is improving ever more at mimicking human speech processing. The functioning of ASR, however, remains to a large extent obfuscated by the complex structure of the deep neural networks (DNNs) they are based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Karla Markert , Romain Parracone , Mykhailo Kulakov , Philip Sperl , Ching-Yu Kao , Konstantin Böttinger

The performance of automatic speech recognition (ASR) has improved tremendously due to the application of deep neural networks (DNNs). Despite this progress, building a new ASR system remains a challenging task, requiring various resources,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Yajie Miao , Mohammad Gowayyed , Florian Metze

We introduce an interpretable-by-design method, optimized model-analog, that integrates deep learning with model-analog forecasting which generates forecasts from similar initial climate states in a repository of model simulations. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-10 Kinya Toride , Matthew Newman , Andrew Hoell , Antonietta Capotondi , Jakob Schlör , Dillon J. Amaya

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are recurrent neural networks that only train their output layer, thereby precluding the need to backpropagate gradients through time, which leads to significant computational gains. Nevertheless, a common issue…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-03-13 Jacob Reinier Maat , Nikos Gianniotis , Pavlos Protopapas

Deep learning algorithms are growing in popularity in the field of exoplanetary science due to their ability to model highly non-linear relations and solve interesting problems in a data-driven manner. Several works have attempted to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-26 Kai Hou Yip , Quentin Changeat , Nikolaos Nikolaou , Mario Morvan , Billy Edwards , Ingo P. Waldmann , Giovanna Tinetti

Artificial neural networks (ANN) have become the mainstream acoustic modeling technique for large vocabulary automatic speech recognition (ASR). A conventional ANN features a multi-layer architecture that requires massive amounts of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Jibin Wu , Emre Yilmaz , Malu Zhang , Haizhou Li , Kay Chen Tan

The atmosphere is chaotic. This fundamental property of the climate system makes forecasting weather incredibly challenging: it's impossible to expect weather models to ever provide perfect predictions of the Earth system beyond timescales…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-15 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Kirsten Mayer , Benjamin Toms , Zane Martin , Emily Gordon

Neural processes (NPs) learn stochastic processes and predict the distribution of target output adaptively conditioned on a context set of observed input-output pairs. Furthermore, Attentive Neural Process (ANP) improved the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Shenghao Qin , Jiacheng Zhu , Jimmy Qin , Wenshuo Wang , Ding Zhao

Recurrent neural networks are a powerful means to cope with time series. We show how autoregressive linear, i.e., linearly activated recurrent neural networks (LRNNs) can approximate any time-dependent function f(t). The approximation can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Frieder Stolzenburg , Sandra Litz , Olivia Michael , Oliver Obst

While initially devised for image categorization, convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are being increasingly used for the pixelwise semantic labeling of images. However, the proper nature of the most common CNN architectures makes them…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-24 Emmanuel Maggiori , Guillaume Charpiat , Yuliya Tarabalka , Pierre Alliez

The skill of current predictions of the warm phase of the El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) reduces significantly beyond a lag of six months. In this paper, we aim to increase this prediction skill at lags up to one year. The new method…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-15 Peter D. Nooteboom , Qing Yi Feng , Cristóbal López , Emilio Hernández-García , Henk A. Dijkstra

The practical application of deep neural networks are still limited by their lack of transparency. One of the efforts to provide explanation for decisions made by artificial intelligence (AI) is the use of saliency or heat maps highlighting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Erico Tjoa , Guan Cuntai

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a semi-periodic fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) over the tropical central and eastern Pacific Ocean that influences interannual variability in regional hydrology across the world…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-24 Yumin Liu , Kate Duffy , Jennifer G. Dy , Auroop R. Ganguly

The 2022 National Defense Strategy of the United States listed climate change as a serious threat to national security. Climate intervention methods, such as stratospheric aerosol injection, have been proposed as mitigation strategies, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-13 Katherine Goode , Daniel Ries , Kellie McClernon

Recent studies have shown that deep learning (DL) models can skillfully predict the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts over 1.5 years ahead. However, concerns regarding the reliability of predictions made by DL methods persist,…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-12-19 Pumeng Lyu , Tao Tang , Fenghua Ling , Jing-Jia Luo , Niklas Boers , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Background/introduction: Cross-Validation (CV) is still uncommon in time series modeling. Echo State Networks (ESNs), as a prime example of Reservoir Computing (RC) models, are known for their fast and precise one-shot learning, that often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Mantas Lukoševičius , Arnas Uselis

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have been a prominent concept within artificial intelligence. They are inspired by Biological Neural Networks (BNNs) and provide an intuitive and abstract representation of how BNNs work. Derived from the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-03-09 Stefano Nichele , Andreas Molund
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