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Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) (Chipman et. al., 2010) is a powerful predictive model that often outperforms alternative models at out-of-sample prediction. BART is especially well-suited to settings with unstructured predictor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-15 Jingyu He , Saar Yalov , P. Richard Hahn

Molecular dynamics simulations have become essential in many areas of atomistic modelling from drug discovery to materials science. They provide critical atomic-level insights into key dynamical events experiments cannot easily capture.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-06-14 Tiejun Wei , Balint Dudas , Edina Rosta

A number of optimization approaches have been proposed for optimizing nonconvex objectives (e.g. deep learning models), such as batch gradient descent, stochastic gradient descent and stochastic variance reduced gradient descent. Theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Jia Bi , Steve R. Gunn

Free energies are fundamental quantities governing phase behavior and thermodynamic stability in polymer systems, yet their accurate computation often requires extensive simulations and post-processing techniques such as the Bennett…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-03-19 Ian Chen , Alfredo Alexander-Katz

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees(BART) is a Bayesian nonparametric approach which has been shown to be competitive with the best modern predictive methods such as random forest and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree.The sum of trees…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Hao Ran , Yang Bai

Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) adjusts models using unlabeled test data to handle dynamic distribution shifts. However, existing methods rely on frequent adaptation and high computational cost, making them unsuitable for resource-constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Hyeongheon Cha , Dong Min Kim , Hye Won Chung , Taesik Gong , Sung-Ju Lee

The minimum action method (MAM) is to calculate the most probable transition path in randomly perturbed stochastic dynamics, based on the idea of action minimization in the path space. The accuracy of the numerical path between different…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-05-26 Y Sun , X Zhou

Computing ratios of normalizing constants plays an important role in statistical modeling. Two important examples are hypothesis testing in latent variables models, and model comparison in Bayesian statistics. In both examples, the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-26 Tom Guédon , Charlotte Baey , Estelle Kuhn

Rare event simulation and estimation for systems in equilibrium are among the most challenging topics in molecular dynamics. As was shown by Jarzynski and others, nonequilibrium forcing can theoretically be used to obtain equilibrium rare…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Carsten Hartmann , Christof Schütte

We study parameter inference in simulation-based stochastic models where the analytical form of the likelihood is unknown. The main difficulty is that score evaluation as a ratio of noisy Monte Carlo estimators induces bias and instability,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Zehao Li , Zhouchen Lin , Yijie Peng

We present two algorithms by which a set of short, unbiased trajectories can be iteratively reweighted to obtain various observables. The first algorithm estimates the stationary (steady state) distribution of a system by iteratively…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-18 John D. Russo , Jeremy Copperman , Daniel M. Zuckerman

In comparison to numerous enhanced sampling methods for equilbrium thermodynamics, accelerating simulations for kinetics and nonequilibrium statistics are relatively rare and less effective. Here we derive a time-reversal path sampling…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-11-10 Zhirong Liu

In this paper, a novel multiagent based state transition optimization algorithm with linear convergence rate named MASTA is constructed. It first generates an initial population randomly and uniformly. Then, it applies the basic state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-08 Xiaojun Zhou

We extend the weighted ensemble (WE) path sampling method to perform rigorous statistical sampling for systems at steady state. The straightforward steady-state implementation of WE is directly practical for simple landscapes, but not when…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-05-14 Divesh Bhatt , Bin W. Zhang , Daniel M. Zuckerman

Meta-analyses require an effect-size estimate and its corresponding sampling variance from primary studies. In some cases, estimators for the sampling variance of a given effect size statistic may not exist, necessitating the derivation of…

In this paper, we focus on activating only a few sensors, among many available, to estimate the state of a stochastic process of interest. This problem is important in applications such as target tracking and simultaneous localization and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Vasileios Tzoumas , Nikolay A. Atanasov , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

Stochastic modeling of transcription is a classic yet long-standing problem in theoretical biophysics. The lack of unified results and a computationally efficient approach for a general, fine-grained transcription model has confined…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-11-17 Yuntao Lu , Yunxin Zhang

Real-time dispatch practices for operating the electric grid in an economic and reliable manner are evolving to accommodate higher levels of renewable energy generation. In particular, stochastic optimization is receiving increased…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-28 Ryan N. King , Matthew Reynolds , Devon Sigler , Wesley Jones

Sampling rare events in metastable dynamical systems is often a computationally expensive task and one needs to resort to enhanced sampling methods such as importance sampling. Since we can formulate the problem of finding optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-05 Enric Ribera Borrell , Jannes Quer , Lorenz Richter , Christof Schütte

In non-linear estimations, it is common to assess sampling uncertainty by bootstrap inference. For complex models, this can be computationally intensive. This paper combines optimization with resampling: turning stochastic optimization into…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-09 Jean-Jacques Forneron