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Computer simulations generate trajectories at a single, well-defined thermodynamic state point. Statistical reweighting offers the means to reweight static and dynamical properties to different equilibrium state points by means of analytic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-12-25 Marius Bause , Timon Wittenstein , Kurt Kremer , Tristan Bereau

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

Response-adaptive randomization (RAR) has been studied extensively in conventional, single-stage clinical trials, where it has been shown to yield ethical and statistical benefits, especially in trials with many treatment arms. However, RAR…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Peter Norwood , Marie Davidian , Eric Laber

Multireference alignment (MRA) refers to the problem of recovering a signal from noisy samples subject to random circular shifts. Expectation--maximization (EM) and variational approaches use statistical modeling to achieve high accuracy at…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Vahid Shahverdi , Emanuel Ström , Joakim Andén

Model agnostic meta-learning (MAML) is a popular state-of-the-art meta-learning algorithm that provides good weight initialization of a model given a variety of learning tasks. The model initialized by provided weight can be fine-tuned to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Thanh Nguyen , Tung Luu , Trung Pham , Sanzhar Rakhimkul , Chang D. Yoo

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a popular Bayesian non-parametric regression model that is commonly used in causal inference and beyond. Its strong predictive performance is supported by well-developed estimation theory,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Yan Shuo Tan , Omer Ronen , Theo Saarinen , Bin Yu

We present a method for enhanced sampling of molecular dynamics simulations using stochastic resetting. Various phenomena, ranging from crystal nucleation to protein folding, occur on timescales that are unreachable in standard simulations.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-02-09 Ofir Blumer , Shlomi Reuveni , Barak Hirshberg

The normalizing constant plays an important role in Bayesian computation, and there is a large literature on methods for computing or approximating normalizing constants that cannot be evaluated in closed form. When the normalizing constant…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-02 Yuling Yao , Collin Cademartori , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

It is proposed to apply modern methods of nonlinear nonequilibrium statistical mechanics to develop software algorithms that will optimally respond to targets within short response times with minimal computer resources. This Statistical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Lester Ingber

Random sample consensus (RANSAC), which is based on a repetitive sampling from a given dataset, is one of the most popular robust estimation methods. In this study, an energy-based model (EBM) for robust estimation that has a similar scheme…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-16 Muneki Yasuda , Nao Watanabe , Kaiji Sekimoto

The estimation of normalizing constants is a fundamental step in probabilistic model comparison. Sequential Monte Carlo methods may be used for this task and have the advantage of being inherently parallelizable. However, the standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-16 Marco Fraccaro , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther

Molecular dynamics is a powerful tool for studying the thermodynamics and kinetics of complex molecular events. However, these simulations can rarely sample the required time scales in practice. Transition path sampling overcomes this…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-07-31 Gianmarco Lazzeri , Hendrik Jung , Peter G. Bolhuis , Roberto Covino

Complex biological processes are usually experimented along time among a collection of individuals. Longitudinal data are then available and the statistical challenge is to better understand the underlying biological mechanisms. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Pierre Barbillon , Célia Barthélémy , Adeline Samson

Calibrating Agent-Based Models (ABMs) is an important optimization problem for simulating the complex social systems, where the goal is to identify the optimal parameter of a given ABM by minimizing the discrepancy between the simulated…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Boquan Jiang , Zhenhua Yang , Chenkai Wang , Muyao Zhong , Heping Fang , Peng Yang

The ability to predict accurate thermodynamic and kinetic properties in biomolecular systems is of both scientific and practical utility. While both remain very difficult, predictions of kinetics are particularly difficult because rates, in…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-06-13 Yong Wang , Omar Valsson , Pratyush Tiwary , Michele Parrinello , Kresten Lindorff-Larsen

Temperature-accelerated sliced sampling (TASS) is a well-established enhanced sampling method that facilitates exhaustive exploration of high-dimensional collective variable (CV) space through directed sampling employing a combination of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-09-08 Sameer Saurav , Debjit Das , Ramsha Javed , Nisanth N. Nair

Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are useful in obtaining thermodynamic and kinetic properties of bio-molecules but are limited by the timescale barrier, i.e., we may be unable to efficiently obtain properties because we need to run…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-08-23 Surl-Hee Ahn , Jay W. Grate , Eric F. Darve

Ensuring a satisfactory statistical convergence of anharmonic thermodynamic properties requires sampling of many atomic configurations, however the methods to obtain those necessarily produce correlated samples, thereby reducing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-07 Erki Metsanurk

Markov State Models (MSM) are widely used to elucidate dynamic properties of molecular systems from unbiased Molecular Dynamics (MD). However, the implementation of reweighting schemes for MSMs to analyze biased simulations, for example…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-11-26 Stefanie Kieninger , Luca Donati , Bettina G. Keller

Empirical force fields employed in molecular dynamics simulations of complex systems can be optimised to reproduce experimentally determined structural and thermodynamic properties. In contrast, experimental knowledge about the rates of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-12 P. G. Bolhuis , Z. F. Brotzakis , B. G. Keller