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In the presence of multiscale dynamics in a reaction network, direct simulation methods become inefficient as they can only advance the system on the smallest scale. This work presents stochastic averaging techniques to accelerate…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 Araz Hashemi , Marcel Nunez , Petr Plechac , Dionisios G. Vlachos

Interest in equilibrium-based sampling methods has grown with recent advances in computational hardware and Markov state modeling (MSM) methods, yet outstanding questions remain that hinder widespread adoption. Namely, how do sampling…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-15 Maxwell I. Zimmerman , Justin R. Porter , Xianqiang Sun , Roseane R. Silva , Gregory R. Bowman

We present three algorithms for calculating rate constants and sampling transition paths for rare events in simulations with stochastic dynamics. The methods do not require a priori knowledge of the phase space density and are suitable for…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Rosalind J. Allen , Daan Frenkel , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

Markov state models (MSMs) have been broadly adopted for analyzing molecular dynamics trajectories, but the approximate nature of the models that results from coarse-graining into discrete states is a long-known limitation. We show…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-31 John D. Russo , Jeremy Copperman , David Aristoff , Gideon Simpson , Daniel M. Zuckerman

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of observations related to the state is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-25 Benjamin Cox , Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

Stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems can undergo rapid transitions relative to the change in their forcing, for example due to the occurrence of multiple equilibrium solutions for a specific interval of parameters. In this paper, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-12 S. Baars , D. Castellana , F. W. Wubs , H. A. Dijkstra

Many enhanced sampling techniques rely on the identification of a number of collective variables that describe all the slow modes of the system. By constructing a bias potential in this reduced space one is then able to sample efficiently…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-03-05 Michele Invernizzi , Michele Parrinello

This work is motivated by the challenges of applying the sample average approximation (SAA) method to multistage stochastic programming with an unknown continuous-state Markov process. While SAA is widely used in static and two-stage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Hyuk Park , Grani A. Hanasusanto

Bayesian adaptive designs enable flexible clinical trials by adapting features based on accumulating data. Among these, Bayesian Response-Adaptive Randomization (BRAR) skews patient allocation towards more promising treatments based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Daniel Kaddaj , Stef Baas , Edwin Y. N. Tang , David S. Robertson , Lukas Pin , Sofía S. Villar

Random matrix theory (RMT) provides a successful model for quantum systems, whose classical counterpart has a chaotic dynamics. It is based on two assumptions: (1) matrix-element independence, and (2) base invariance. Last decade witnessed…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-09-27 A. Y. Abul-Magd

The quasi-steady-state approximation (or stochastic averaging principle) is a useful tool in the study of multiscale stochastic systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of degrees of freedom in a model. The method is…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman , Matthew J. Smith

Transition path sampling is a rare-event method that estimates state-to-state timecorrelation functions in many-body systems from samples of short trajectories. In this framework, it is proposed to bias the importance function using the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-03-13 Manuel Athènes , Mihai-Cosmin Marinica , Thomas Jourdan

There are multiple ways in which a stochastic system can be out of statistical equilibrium. It might be subject to time-varying forcing; or be in a transient phase on its way towards equilibrium; it might even be in equilibrium without us…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Péter Koltai , Hao Wu , Frank Noé , Christof Schütte

The basic problem in equilibrium statistical mechanics is to compute phase space average, in which Monte Carlo method plays a very important role. We begin with a review of nonlocal algorithms for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jian-Sheng Wang

Efficient analysis and simulation of multiscale stochastic systems of chemical kinetics is an ongoing area for research, and is the source of many theoretical and computational challenges. In this paper, we present a significant improvement…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Simon Cotter

Bayes additive regression trees(BART) is a nonparametric regression model which has gained wide-spread popularity in recent years due to its flexibility and high accuracy of estimation. Soft BART,one variation of BART,improves both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-24 Hao Ran , Yang Bai

A system's internal dynamics and its interaction with the environment can be determined by tracking how external perturbations affect its transition rates between states. Quantitative measurements of these rates are crucial for optimizing…

Metadynamics is a commonly used and successful enhanced sampling method. By the introduction of a history dependent bias which depends on a restricted number of collective variables(CVs) it can explore complex free energy surfaces…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-06 Pratyush Tiwary , Michele Parrinello

We show that two widely accepted model reduction techniques, Balanced Truncation and Balanced Singular Perturbation Approximation, can be derived as limiting approximations of a carefully constructed parameterization of Linear Time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-10 Philip E. Paré , David Grimsman , Alma T. Wilson , Mark K. Transtrum , Sean Warnick