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Network defenders face a steady stream of attacks, observed as raw Intrusion Detection System (IDS) alerts. The sheer volume of alerts demands prioritization, typically based on high-level risk classifications. This work expands the scope…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Ambarish Gurjar , L Jean Camp

The estimation of reverberation time from real-world signals plays a central role in a wide range of applications. In many scenarios, acoustic conditions change over time which in turn requires the estimate to be updated continuously.…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-11 Philipp Götz , Cagdas Tuna , Andreas Walther , Emanuël A. P. Habets

This paper addresses the problem of time series forecasting for non-stationary signals and multiple future steps prediction. To handle this challenging task, we introduce DILATE (DIstortion Loss including shApe and TimE), a new objective…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-12 Vincent Le Guen , Nicolas Thome

The escalating overlap between non-geostationary orbit (NGSO) and geostationary orbit (GSO) satellite frequency allocations necessitates accurate interference detection methods that address two pivotal technical gaps: computationally…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-25 Chunyu Yang , Boyu Yang , Kun Qiu , Zhe Chen , Yue Gao

We consider the problem of data-driven stochastic optimal control of an unknown LTI dynamical system. Assuming the process noise is normally distributed, we pose the problem of steering the state's mean and covariance to a target normal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-09 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Short Term Load Forecast (STLF) is necessary for effective scheduling, operation optimization trading, and decision-making for electricity consumers. Modern and efficient machine learning methods are recalled nowadays to manage complicated…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Junjie Hu , Brenda López Cabrera , Awdesch Melzer

Thunderstorm-driven power outages are difficult to predict because most storms do not cause damage, convective processes occur rapidly and chaotically, and the available public data are noisy and incomplete. Severe convective storms now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Iryna Stanishevska , Seth Guikema

Complex systems such as aircraft engines, turbines, and industrial machinery often operate under dynamically changing conditions. These varying operating conditions can substantially influence degradation behavior and make prognostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yuqi Su , Xiaolei Fang

Diffusion models have been used for probabilistic time series forecasting and show strong potential. However, fixed noise schedules often produce intermediate states that are hard to invert and a terminal state that deviates from the near…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Jintao Zhang , Zirui Liu , Mingyue Cheng , Xianquan Wang , Zhiding Liu , Qi Liu

Providing the users of a dynamic tolling system with predictions of tolling prices and the travel time difference between the toll road and the alternative routes enables them to make their travel decisions before starting their trip. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Sara Zahedian , Amir Nohekhan , Kaveh Farokhi Sadabadi

We propose a nonparametric approach for probabilistic prediction of the AL index trained with AL and solar wind ($v B_z$) data. Our framework relies on the diffusion forecasting technique, which views AL and $ v B_z $ data as observables of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-12 Dimitrios Giannakis , Matina Gkioulidou , John Harlim

Similarity measures for time series are important problems for time series classification. To handle the nonlinear time distortions, Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) has been widely used. However, DTW is not learnable and suffers from a trade-off…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Shinnosuke Matsuo , Xiaomeng Wu , Gantugs Atarsaikhan , Akisato Kimura , Kunio Kashino , Brian Kenji Iwana , Seiichi Uchida

Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a key variable for various applications, such as urban climate and ecology studies. Yet, existing satellite-derived LST products provide either high spatial or high temporal resolution, resulting in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Solomiia Kurchaba , Angela Meyer

We consider the problem of system identification of partially observed linear time-invariant (LTI) systems. Given input-output data, we provide non-asymptotic guarantees for identifying the system parameters under general heavy-tailed noise…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-28 Vinay Kanakeri , Aritra Mitra

The reliable operation of modern power grids requires probabilistic load forecasts with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, existing deep learning models produce overconfident point predictions that fail catastrophically under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Sajib Debnath , Md. Uzzal Mia

Research has proven that stress reduces quality of life and causes many diseases. For this reason, several researchers devised stress detection systems based on physiological parameters. However, these systems require that obtrusive sensors…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-10-23 Andrey Bogomolov , Bruno Lepri , Michela Ferron , Fabio Pianesi , Alex , Pentland

Public charging station occupancy prediction plays key importance in developing a smart charging strategy to reduce electric vehicle (EV) operator and user inconvenience. However, existing studies are mainly based on conventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Tai-Yu Ma , Sébastien Faye

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is needed for the rapid development and efficient operation of wind energy resources. This is, however, a very challenging problem. Although on the large scale, the wind speed is related to…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-08 Xinxin Zhu , Kenneth P. Bowman , Marc G. Genton

Researchers in urban and regional studies increasingly deal with spatial data that reflects geographic location and spatial relationships. As a framework for dealing with the unique nature of spatial data, various spatial regression models…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-17 Michael Balzer

Accurate time-series forecasting is crucial in various scientific and industrial domains, yet deep learning models often struggle to capture long-term dependencies and adapt to data distribution shifts over time. We introduce Future-Guided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Skye Gunasekaran , Assel Kembay , Hugo Ladret , Rui-Jie Zhu , Laurent Perrinet , Omid Kavehei , Jason Eshraghian