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Contemporary power grids are being challenged by rapid voltage fluctuations that are caused by large-scale deployment of renewable generation, electric vehicles, and demand response programs. In this context, monitoring the grid's operating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Liang Zhang , Gang Wang , Georgios B. Giannakis

This article emphasizes on inconsistencies in the dynamical estimates obtained by first-order transverse discontinuity mapping (TDM) and direct numerical observations for hybrid dynamical systems. Pitfalls of locally linearizing hybrid…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-21 Rohit Chawla , Aasifa Rounak , Vikram Pakrashi

The prediction of wind in terms of both wind speed and direction, which has a crucial impact on many real-world applications like aviation and wind power generation, is extremely challenging due to the high stochasticity and complicated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Fanling Huang , Yangdong Deng

In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

To fully learn the latent temporal dependencies from post-disturbance system dynamic trajectories, deep learning is utilized for short-term voltage stability (STVS) assessment of power systems in this paper. First of all, a semi-supervised…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-25 Meng Zhang , Jiazheng Li , Yang Li , Runnan Xu

Dynamic time warping (DTW) is an effective dissimilarity measure in many time series applications. Despite its popularity, it is prone to noises and outliers, which leads to singularity problem and bias in the measurement. The time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-04 Xiaomin Song , Qingsong Wen , Yan Li , Liang Sun

Two popular boosted decsion tree (BDT) methods, Adaptive BDT (AdaBDT) and Gradient BDT (GradBDT) are studied in the classification problem of separating signal from background assuming all trees are weak learners. The following results are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-11-13 Li-Gang Xia

As global fossil fuel reserves diminish, there's a growing impetus for nations to transition towards renewable energy sources. Sri Lanka, for instance, aims to generate 70% of its electricity from renewable sources by 2030. Achieving this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Anushka Bandara , Sahan Siriwardena , Akila Wijethunge , Janaka Ekanayake

This paper presents a simple method to boost the robustness of quadrotors in trajectory tracking. The presented method features a high-gain disturbance observer (HGDO) that provides disturbance estimates in real-time. The estimates are then…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Mohammadreza Izadi , Reza Faieghi

Deep learning has achieved impressive prediction performance in the field of sequence learning recently. Dissolved oxygen prediction, as a kind of time-series forecasting, is suitable for this technique. Although many researchers have…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-22 Hongqian Qin

Time series prediction is crucial for understanding and forecasting complex dynamics in various domains, ranging from finance and economics to climate and healthcare. Based on Transformer architecture, one approach involves encoding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Xin Cheng , Xiuying Chen , Shuqi Li , Di Luo , Xun Wang , Dongyan Zhao , Rui Yan

Space weather events may cause damage to several fields, including aviation, satellites, oil and gas industries, and electrical systems, leading to economic and commercial losses. Solar flares are one of the most significant events, and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-25 T. Cinto , A. L. S. Gradvohl , G. P. Coelho , A. E. A. da Silva

Extreme floods pose escalating risks in a changing climate, yet forecasting remains challenging due to peak flow underestimation and high uncertainty. We introduce DRUM, a diffusion-based probabilistic deep learning approach that advances…

Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNN) have emerged as the dominant model for spatio-temporal graph (STG) forecasting. Despite their success, they fail to model intrinsic uncertainties within STG data, which cripples their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Haomin Wen , Youfang Lin , Yutong Xia , Huaiyu Wan , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann , Yuxuan Liang

Predictive control approaches based on deep reinforcement learning (DRL) have gained significant attention in microgrid energy optimization. However, existing research often overlooks the issue of uncertainty stemming from imperfect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Fulong Yao , Wanqing Zhao , Matthew Forshaw

Travel time is a crucial measure in transportation. Accurate travel time prediction is also fundamental for operation and advanced information systems. A variety of solutions exist for short-term travel time predictions such as solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Jihed Khiari , Cristina Olaverri-Monreal

Storm surge forecasting remains a critical challenge in mitigating the impacts of tropical cyclones on coastal regions, particularly given recent trends of rapid intensification and increasing nearshore storm activity. Traditional high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Noujoud Nader , Stefanos Giaremis , Clint Dawson , Carola Kaiser , Karame Mohammadiporshokooh , Hartmut Kaiser

This paper aims to study the prediction of the bank stability index based on the Time Series Transformer model. The bank stability index is an important indicator to measure the health status and risk resistance of financial institutions.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-06 Wenying Sun , Zhen Xu , Wenqing Zhang , Kunyuan Ma , You Wu , Mengfang Sun