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The Lasso is a popular model selection and estimation procedure for linear models that enjoys nice theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the Lasso estimator for fitting autoregressive time series models. We adopt a double…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-09 Yuval Nardi , Alessandro Rinaldo

We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

We study various constraints and conditions on the true coefficient vector and on the design matrix to establish non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for the prediction error, estimation accuracy and variable selection for the Lasso estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Niharika Gauraha

This paper is concerned with inference on the regression function of a high-dimensional linear model when outcomes are missing at random. We propose an estimator which combines a Lasso pilot estimate of the regression function with a bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Yikun Zhang , Alexander Giessing , Yen-Chi Chen

We consider structural equation modeling (SEM) with latent variables for diffusion processes based on high-frequency data. The quasi-likelihood estimators for parameters in the SEM are proposed. The goodness-of-fit test is derived from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

We study supervised multiclass classification for diffusion processes, where each class is characterized by a distinct drift function and trajectories are observed at discrete times. We first derive a multidimensional Bayes rule and then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Yuzhen Zhao , Jiarong Fan , Yating Liu

In this paper we study the diffusion approximation of a swarming model given by a system of interacting Langevin equations with nonlinear friction. The diffusion approximation requires the calculation of the drift and diffusion coefficients…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-08 V. Bonnaillie-Noël , J. A. Carrillo , T. Goudon , G. A. Pavliotis

We study statistical models for one-dimensional diffusions which are recurrent null. A first parameter in the drift is the principal one, and determines regular varying rates of convergence for the score and the information process. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-07 Reinhard Höpfner , Carina Zeller

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

It\^{o} processes are the most common form of continuous semimartingales, and include diffusion processes. This paper is concerned with the nonparametric regression relationship between two such It\^{o} processes. We are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Per Aslak Mykland , Lan Zhang

We consider a process $X^\ve$ that solves a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $\theta^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular, and includes as an example, $K\_0(u)=c u^{\alpha-1/2} \id{u>0}$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

We study high-dimensional drift estimation for L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observations. Assuming sparsity of the drift matrix, we analyze Lasso and Slope estimators constructed from approximate likelihoods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Niklas Dexheimer , Natalia Jeszka

In this paper we propose a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation strategy for discretely observed Wright-Fisher diffusions. Our approach provides an unbiased estimator of the likelihood function and is based on exact simulation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Celia García-Pareja , Fabio Nobile

In this paper we investigate deterministic diffusion in systems which are spatially extended in certain directions but are restricted in size and open in other directions, consequently particles can escape. We introduce besides the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2016-08-31 Z. Kaufmann , H. Lustfeld , A. Nemeth , P. Szepfalusy

We study the effect of stochastic sampling on the estimation of the drift parameter of continuous time AR(1) process. A natural distribution free moment estimator is considered for the drift based on stochastically observed time points. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-29 Radhendushka Srivastava , Ping Li

The smoothing distribution is the conditional distribution of the diffusion process in the space of trajectories given noisy observations made continuously in time. It is generally difficult to sample from this distribution. We use the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Oskar Eklund , Annika Lang , Moritz Schauer

In this paper we revisit the risk bounds of the lasso estimator in the context of transductive and semi-supervised learning. In other terms, the setting under consideration is that of regression with random design under partial labeling.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-09 Pierre C. Bellec , Arnak S. Dalalyan , Edwin Grappin , Quentin Paris

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

We consider high-dimensional inference for potentially misspecified Cox proportional hazard models based on low dimensional results by Lin and Wei [1989]. A de-sparsified Lasso estimator is proposed based on the log partial likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-02 Shengchun Kong , Zhuqing Yu , Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng
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