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The problem of estimating the eddy diffusivity from Lagrangian observations in the presence of measurement error is studied in this paper. We consider a class of incompressible velocity fields for which is can be rigorously proved that the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-05-01 C. J. Cotter , G. A. Pavliotis

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

The paper considers a linear regression model with multiple change-points occurring at unknown times. The LASSO technique is very interesting since it allows the parametric estimation, including the change-points, and automatic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-19 Gabriela Ciuperca

Usually the problem of drift estimation for a diffusion process is considered under the hypothesis of ergodicity. It is less often considered under the hypothesis of null-recurrence, simply because there are fewer limit theorems and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-25 D. Loukianova , O. Loukianov

The most common way to sample from a probability distribution is to use Monte-Carlo methods. For distributions on a continuous state space, one can find diffusions with the target distribution as equilibrium measure, so that the state of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Chii-Ruey Hwang , Raoul Normand , Sheng-Jhih Wu

By means of rather general arguments, based on an approach due to Derrida that makes use of samples of finite size, we analyse the effective diffusivity and drift tensors in certain types of random medium in which the motion of the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 D S Dean , I T Drummond , R R Horgan

We study the problem of estimating multiple linear regression equations for the purpose of both prediction and variable selection. Following recent work on multi-task learning Argyriou et al. [2008], we assume that the regression vectors…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-21 Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil , Alexandre B. Tsybakov , Sara van de Geer

We study the problem of unbiased estimation of expectations with respect to (w.r.t.) $\pi$ a given, general probability measure on $(\mathbb{R}^d,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d))$ that is absolutely continuous with respect to a standard Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

We propose an update estimation method for a diffusion parameter from high-frequency dependent data under a nuisance drift element. We ensure the asymptotic equivalence of the estimator to the corresponding quasi-MLE, which has the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-30 Yusuke Shimizu

As a starting point we prove a functional central limit theorem for estimators of the invariant measure of a geometrically ergodic Harris-recurrent Markov chain in a multi-scale space. This allows to construct confidence bands for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Jakob Söhl , Mathias Trabs

In this paper, we present a theoretical and computational workflow for the non-parametric Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion functions of autonomous diffusion processes. We base the inference on the partial differential equations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Maximilian Kruse , Sebastian Krumscheid

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

Real data are constrained to finite sampling rates, which calls for a suitable mathematical description of the corrections to the finite-time estimations of the dynamic equations. Often in the literature, lower order discrete time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 C. Anteneodo , R. Riera

We study evolution equations of drift-diffusion type when various parameters are random. Motivated by applications in pedestrian dynamics, we focus on the case when the total mass is, due to boundary or reaction terms, not conserved. After…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Greta Marino , Jan-Frederik Pietschmann , Alois Pichler

Linear diffusions are used to model a large number of stochastic processes in physics, including small mechanical and electrical systems perturbed by thermal noise, as well as Brownian particles controlled by electrical and optical forces.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-10 Johan du Buisson , Hugo Touchette

A particle with internal unobserved states diffusing in a force field will generally display effective advection-diffusion. The drift velocity is proportional to the mobility averaged over the internal states, or effective mobility, while…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-13 Erik Aurell , Stefano Bo

For high-dimensional omics data, sparsity-inducing regularization methods such as the Lasso are widely used and often yield strong predictive performance, even in settings when the assumption of sparsity is likely violated. We demonstrate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Andrea Bratsberg , Magne Thoresen , Jelle J. Goeman

We study the problem of drift estimation for two-scale continuous time series. We set ourselves in the framework of overdamped Langevin equations, for which a single-scale surrogate homogenized equation exists. In this setting, estimating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrew M. Stuart , Andrea Zanoni

We study the estimation capacity of the generalized Lasso, i.e., least squares minimization combined with a (convex) structural constraint. While Lasso-type estimators were originally designed for noisy linear regression problems, it has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Martin Genzel , Gitta Kutyniok

This paper generalizes a part of the theory of $Z$-estimation which has been developed mainly in the context of modern empirical processes to the case of stochastic processes, typically, semimartingales. We present a general theorem to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoichi Nishiyama