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We propose an extension to Hawkes processes by treating the levels of self-excitation as a stochastic differential equation. Our new point process allows better approximation in application domains where events and intensities accelerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-23 Young Lee , Kar Wai Lim , Cheng Soon Ong

We compare the rate of convergence to the time average of a function over an integrable Hamiltonian flow with the one obtained by a stochastic perturbation of the same flow. Precisely, we provide detailed estimates in different Fourier…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-07-23 Olga Bernardi , Franco Cardin , Massimiliano Guzzo

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be i.i.d. log-concave random vectors in $\mathbb R^d$ with mean 0 and covariance matrix $\Sigma$. We study the problem of quantifying the normal approximation error for $W=n^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^nX_i$ with explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

The moving average of the complex modulus of the analytic wavelet transform provides a robust time-scale representation for signals to small time shifts and deformation. In this work, we derive the Wiener chaos expansion of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Gi-Ren Liu , Yuan-Chung Sheu , Hau-Tieng Wu

This paper investigates weak convergence of U-statistics via approximation in probability. The classical condition that the second moment of the kernel of the underlying U-statistic exists is relaxed to having 4/3 moments only (modulo a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-16 Masoud M. Nasari

In this paper, we propose an extension of the Hawkes process by incorporating a kernel based on the tempered Mittag-Leffler distribution. This is the generalization of the work presented in [10]. We derive analytical results for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Neha Gupta , Aditya Maheshwari

Convergence rate to the stationary distribution for continuous-time Markov processes can be studied using Lyapunov functions. Recent work by the author provided explicit rates of convergence in special case of a reflected jump-diffusion on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Andrey Sarantsev

We prove abstract bounds on the Wasserstein and Kolmogorov distances between non-randomly centered random sums of real i.i.d. random variables with a finite third moment and the standard normal distribution. Except for the case of mean zero…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-20 Christian Döbler

We show, how the classical Berry-Esseen theorem for normal approximation may be used to derive rates of convergence for random sums of centerd, real-valued random variables with respect to a certain class of probability metrics, including…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-24 Christian Döbler

We study aspects of the Wasserstein distance in the context of self-similar measures. Computing this distance between two measures involves minimising certain moment integrals over the space of \emph{couplings}, which are measures on the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Jonathan M. Fraser

We show that the jumps correlation matrix of a multivariate Hawkes process is related to the Hawkes kernel matrix through a system of Wiener-Hopf integral equations. A Wiener-Hopf argument allows one to prove that this system (in which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-16 Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-Francois Muzy

We derive Berry-Esseen approximation bounds for general functionals of independent random variables, based on chaos expansions methods. Our results apply to $U$-statistics satisfying the weak assumption of decomposability in the Hoeffding…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Nicolas Privault , Grzegorz Serafin

The paper suggests a way of stochastic integration of random integrands with respect to fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter H> 1/2. The integral is defined initially on the processes that are "piecewise" predictable on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We are interested in the approximation in Wasserstein distance with index $\rho\ge 1$ of a probability measure $\mu$ on the real line with finite moment of order $\rho$ by the empirical measure of $N$ deterministic points. The minimal error…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Oumaima Bencheikh , Benjamin Jourdain

Let $ (Z_{n})_{n\geq 0} $ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment. We establish an optimal convergence rate in the Wasserstein-$1$ distance for the process $ (Z_{n})_{n\geq 0} $,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Hao Wu , Xiequan Fan , Zhiqiang Gao , Yinna Ye

By using the spectrum of the underlying symmetric diffusion operator, the convergence in $L^p$-Wasserstein distance $\mathbb W_p (p\ge 1)$ is characterized for the empirical measure $\mu_t$ of non-symmetric subordinated diffusion processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Feng-Yu Wang

The adapted Wasserstein distance is a metric for quantifying distributional uncertainty and assessing the sensitivity of stochastic optimization problems on time series data. A computationally efficient alternative to it, is provided by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Beatrice Acciaio , Songyan Hou , Gudmund Pammer

The Hawking effect -- the spontaneous emission of correlated quanta from horizons -- can be observed in laboratory systems where an acoustic horizon forms when a fluid transitions from subcritical to supercritical flow. Although most…

We present a nonlinear (in the sense of McKean) generalization of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) termed nonlinear HMC (nHMC) capable of sampling from nonlinear probability measures of mean-field type. When the underlying confinement…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Katharina Schuh

We provide a general theorem on the asymptotic behavior of stochastic processes that conform to a relaxed supermartingale condition. The distinguishing feature of our result is that it provides quantitative convergence guarantees at a much…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Morenikeji Neri , Nicholas Pischke , Thomas Powell
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