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The purpose of this paper is to estimate the limiting variance of asymptotically stationary Gaussian processes observed at high frequency, using the second moment estimator (SME). We study rates of convergence of the central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Yong Chen

The $L^k$-Wasserstein distance $\mathbb{W}_k (k\ge 1)$ and the probability distance $\mathbb{W}_\psi$ induced by a concave function $\psi$, are estimated between different diffusion processes with singular coefficients. As applications, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Xing Huang , Panpan Ren , Feng-Yu Wang

We obtain explicit Berry-Esseen bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for the normal approximation of non-linear functionals of vectors of independent random variables. Our results are based on the use of Stein's method and of random difference…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Raphaël Lachièze-Rey , Giovanni Peccati

This article details a novel numerical scheme to approximate gradient flows for optimal transport (i.e. Wasserstein) metrics. These flows have proved useful to tackle theoretically and numerically non-linear diffusion equations that model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-10 Gabriel Peyré

We provide non-asymptotic error bounds in the path Wasserstein distance with quadratic integral cost between suitable functionals of the telegraph process and the corresponding functional of Brownian motion with explicit diffusivity…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Gerardo Barrera , Jani Lukkarinen , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We design a new nonparametric method that allows one to estimate the matrix of integrated kernels of a multivariate Hawkes process. This matrix not only encodes the mutual influences of each nodes of the process, but also disentangles the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-31 Massil Achab , Emmanuel Bacry , Stéphane Gaïffas , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-Francois Muzy

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

Let $\mu_N$ be the empirical measure associated to a $N$-sample of a given probability distribution $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$. We are interested in the rate of convergence of $\mu_N$ to $\mu$, when measured in the Wasserstein distance of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-10 Nicolas Fournier , Arnaud Guillin

The Wigner function of quantum systems is an effective instrument to construct the approximate classical description of the systems for which the classical approximation is possible. During the last time, the Wigner function formalism is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Constantin V. Usenko

As a tool for capturing irregular temporal dependencies (rather than resorting to binning temporal observations to construct time series), Hawkes processes with exponential decay have seen widespread adoption across many application…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Tiago Santos , Florian Lemmerich , Denis Helic

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

We study quantum neural networks where the generated function is the expectation value of the sum of single-qubit observables across all qubits. In [Girardi \emph{et al.}, arXiv:2402.08726], it is proven that the probability distributions…

In this paper, we consider the problem of propagating an uncertain distribution by a possibly non-linear function and quantifying the resulting uncertainty. We measure the uncertainty using the Wasserstein distance, and for a given input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-13 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Luca Laurenti

We study the approximation of a (finite) continuous-time Markov chain by a Markov chain on a reduced state space, and we provide formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions in the Wasserstein distance. These bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Fabian Michel

The purpose of this paper is to present a recursive algorithm and its implementation in Maple and Mathematica for the computation of joint moments and cumulants of Hawkes processes with exponential kernels. Numerical results and computation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Nicolas Privault

We present a new methodology, based on the WKB approximation and Fast Fourier Transforms, for the evaluation of wave propagation through inhomogeneous media. This method can accurately resolve fields containing caustics, while still…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-05 Oscar P. Bruno , Martin D. Maas

The rate of convergence of weighted kernel herding (WKH) and sequential Bayesian quadrature (SBQ), two kernel-based sampling algorithms for estimating integrals with respect to some target probability measure, is investigated. Under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Rajiv Khanna , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

Let $X_t$ be the (reflecting) diffusion process generated by $L:=\Delta+\nabla V$ on a complete connected Riemannian manifold $M$ possibly with a boundary $\partial M$, where $V\in C^1(M)$ such that $\mu(d x):= e^{V(x)}d x$ is a probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Feng-Yu Wang

We introduce a distributionally robust maximum likelihood estimation model with a Wasserstein ambiguity set to infer the inverse covariance matrix of a $p$-dimensional Gaussian random vector from $n$ independent samples. The proposed model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-21 Viet Anh Nguyen , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

We consider additive functionals of systems of random measures whose initial configuration is given by a Poisson point process, and whose individual components evolve according to arbitrary Markovian or non-Markovian measure valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Arturo Jaramillo , Antonio Murillo-Salas
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