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In this paper, we derive an explicit upper bound for the Wasserstein distance between a functional of point processes and a Gaussian distribution. Using Stein's method in conjunction with Malliavin's calculus and the Poisson embedding…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Laure Coutin , Benjamin Massat , Anthony Réveillac

We provide upper bounds of the expected Wasserstein distance between a probability measure and its empirical version, generalizing recent results for finite dimensional Euclidean spaces and bounded functional spaces. Such a generalization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Jing Lei

In this article, we fill a gap in the literature on Hawkes processes. In particular, we derive a CLT for a non linear compound marked Hawkes process. We also provide an upper bound on the convergence rate using the functional 1-Wasserstein…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Benjamin Massat

Researchers from different areas have independently defined extensions of the usual weak convergence of laws of stochastic processes with the goal of adequately accounting for the flow of information. Natural approaches are convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Daniel Bartl , Mathias Beiglböck , Gudmund Pammer , Stefan Schrott , Xin Zhang

The convergence rate in Wasserstein distance is estimated for empirical measures of ergodic Markov processes, and the estimate can be sharp in some specific situations. The main result is applied to subordinations of typical models excluded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Feng-Yu Wang

The autocovariance and cross-covariance functions naturally appear in many time series procedures (e.g., autoregression or prediction). Under assumptions, empirical versions of the autocovariance and cross-covariance are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Andreas Anastasiou , Tobias Kley

This paper derives non-asymptotic error bounds for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms in the Wasserstein-$p$ distance. To obtain explicit finite-sample guarantees for the last iterate, we develop a coupling argument that compares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Seo Taek Kong , R. Srikant

We propose a fast and efficient estimation method that is able to accurately recover the parameters of a d-dimensional Hawkes point-process from a set of observations. We exploit a mean-field approximation that is valid when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Emmanuel Bacry , Stéphane Gaïffas , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-François Muzy

We characterize a Hawkes point process with kernel proportional to the probability density function of Mittag-Leffler random variables. This kernel decays as a power law with exponent $\beta +1 \in (1,2]$. Several analytical results can be…

We derive quantitative bounds on the rate of convergence in $L^1$ Wasserstein distance of general M-estimators, with an almost sharp (up to a logarithmic term) behavior in the number of observations. We focus on situations where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 François Bachoc , Max Fathi

The squared Wasserstein distance is a natural quantity to compare probability distributions in a non-parametric setting. This quantity is usually estimated with the plug-in estimator, defined via a discrete optimal transport problem which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Lenaic Chizat , Pierre Roussillon , Flavien Léger , François-Xavier Vialard , Gabriel Peyré

We derive two estimates for the deviation of the $N$-particle, hard-spheres Kac process from the corresponding Boltzmann equation, measured in expected Wasserstein distance. Particular care is paid to the long-time properties of our…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Daniel Heydecker

This paper provides and extends second-order versions of several fundamental theorems on first-order regularly varying functions such as Karamata's theorem/representation and Tauberian's theorem. Our results are used to establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu

We prove that the $k$-th positive integer moment of partial sums of Steinhaus random multiplicative functions over the interval $(x, x+H]$ matches the corresponding Gaussian moment, as long as $H\ll x/(\log x)^{2k^2+2+o(1)}$ and $H$ tends…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Mayank Pandey , Victor Y. Wang , Max Wenqiang Xu

The question of optimally approximating an arbitrary probability measure in the Wasserstein distance by a discrete one with uniform weights is considered. Estimates are obtained for the optimal approximation distance, with an explicit rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Benjamin Seeger

In this article, we give explicit bounds on the Wasserstein and the Kolmogorov distances between random variables lying in the first chaos of the Poisson space and the standard Normal distribution, using the results proved by Last, Peccati…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Mahmoud Khabou , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi

The exponential contraction in $L^1$-Wasserstein distance and exponential convergence in $L^q$-Wasserstein distance ($q\geq 1$) are considered for stochastic differential equations with irregular drift. When the irregular drift drift is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Shao-Qin Zhang

This work studies finite sample approximations of the exact and entropic regularized Wasserstein distances between centered Gaussian processes and, more generally, covariance operators of functional random processes. We first show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-27 Minh Ha Quang

We provide new bounds for the rate of convergence of the multivariate Central Limit Theorem in Wasserstein distances of order $p \geq 2$. In particular, we obtain what we conjecture to be the asymptotically optimal rate whenever the density…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Thomas Bonis
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