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Since early 2020, the world has been dealing with a raging pandemic outbreak: COVID-19. A year later, vaccines have become accessible, but in limited quantities, so that governments needed to devise a strategy to decide which part of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-13 Sander Tonkens , Paul de Klaver , Mauro Salazar

In this paper, we study the optimal control for an SEIR model adapted to the vaccination strategy of susceptible individuals. There are factors associated with a vaccination campaign that make this strategy not only a public health issue…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Nelson L. Santos Junior , João A. M. Gondim

The COVID-19 pandemic has influenced the lives of people globally. In the past year many researchers have proposed different models and approaches to explore in what ways the spread of the disease could be mitigated. One of the models that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-17 Aram Ansary Ogholbake , Hana Khamfroush

Developing robust, quantitative methods to optimize resource allocations in response to epidemics has the potential to save lives and minimize health care costs. In this paper, we develop and apply a computationally efficient algorithm that…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Edwin C. Yuan , David L. Alderson , Sean Stromberg , Jean M. Carlson

We study three different strategies of vaccination in a SEIRS (Susceptible--Exposed--Infected--Recovered--Susceptible) seasonal forced model, which are: ($i$) continuous vaccination; ($ii$) periodic short time localized vaccination and…

Real-time vaccination following an outbreak can effectively mitigate the damage caused by an infectious disease. However, in many cases, available resources are insufficient to vaccinate the entire at-risk population, logistics result in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-29 Chantal Nguyen , Jean M. Carlson

We study an optimal control problem where the objective is to find the best vaccine allocation during an epidemic outbreak. The epidemic dynamics is described by an age-structured SIR model with nonlocal interactions. Both the infection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Luís Almeida , Romain Ducasse , Elisa Paparelli

We consider a SIR model with temporary immunity and time dependent transmission rate. We assume time dependent vaccination which confers the same immunity as natural infection. We study two types of vaccination strategies: i) optimal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-06 Paulo Doutor , Paula Rodrigues , Maria do Céu Soares , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

In this study, we present an immuno-epidemic model to understand mitigation options during an epidemic break. The model incorporates comorbidity and multiple-vaccine doses through a system of coupled integro-differential equations to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Samiran Ghosh , Malay Banerjee , Amit K Chattopadhyay

Given limited supply of approved vaccines and constrained medical resources, design of a vaccination strategy to control a pandemic is an economic problem. We use time-series and panel methods with real-world country-level data to estimate…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-19 Dongwoo Kim , Young Jun Lee

We present a series of SIR-network models, extended with a game-theoretic treatment of imitation dynamics which result from regular population mobility across residential and work areas and the ensuing interactions. Each considered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-14 Sheryl L. Chang , Mahendra Piraveenan , Mikhail Prokopenko

The dynamics of a SIVR model with power relationship incidence rates $(\beta I^p S^q)$ is investigated. It is assumed an individual can be susceptible after receiving the first dose of the vaccine, hence a second dose is required to attain…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-06 Gabriel O. Fosu , Emmanuel K. Mintah

In a world being hit by waves of COVID-19, vaccination is a light on the horizon. However, the roll-out of vaccination strategies and their influence on the pandemic are still open problems. In order to compare the effect of various…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-23 N. L. Barreiro , C. I. Ventura , T. Govezensky , M. Núñez , P. G. Bolcatto , R. A. Barrio

This paper presents a simple continuous-time linear vaccination-based control strategy for a SEIR (susceptible plus infected plus infectious plus removed populations) propagation disease model. The model takes into account the total…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-28 M. De la Sen , A. Ibeas , S. Alonso-Quesada

We consider the SEIRS epidemiology model with such features of the COVID-19 outbreak as: abundance of unidentified infected individuals, limited time of immunity and a possibility of vaccination. The control of the pandemic dynamics is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-31 J. Ilnytskyi , T. Patsahan

How to allocate vaccines over heterogeneous individuals is one of the important policy decisions in pandemic times. This paper develops a procedure to estimate an individualized vaccine allocation policy under limited supply, exploiting…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-25 Toru Kitagawa , Guanyi Wang

How to prevent the spread of human diseases is a great challenge for the scientific community and so far there are many studies in which immunization strategies have been developed. However, these kind of strategies usually do not consider…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-22 M. A. Di Muro , L. G. Alvarez-Zuzek , S. Havlin , L. A. Braunstein

We analyze a periodically-forced dynamical system inspired by the SIR model with impulsive vaccination. We fully characterize its dynamics according to the proportion $p$ of vaccinated individuals and the time $T$ between doses. If the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-02 João P. S. Maurício de Carvalho , Alexandre A. Rodrigues

Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models have been used for decades to understand epidemic outbreak dynamics. We develop an SIR model specifically designed to study the effects of population behavior with respect to health and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-03 Jasmin Nunuvero , Angelique Santiago , Moshe Cohen , Anca Radulescu

There are often multiple diseases with cross immunity competing for vaccination resources. Here we investigate the optimal vaccination program in a two-layer Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, where two diseases with cross immunity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-26 Yang Ye , Qingpeng Zhang , Zhidong Cao , Daniel Dajun Zeng
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