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A new methodology has been introduced to clean the correlation matrix of single stocks returns based on a constrained principal component analysis using financial data. Portfolios were introduced, namely "Fundamental Maximum Variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-27 Sebastien Valeyre

Integer variables allow the treatment of some portfolio optimization problems in a more realistic way and introduce the possibility of adding some natural features to the model. We propose an algebraic approach to maximize the expected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-04-07 F. Castro , J. Gago , I. Hartillo , J. Puerto , J. M. Ucha

For a long investment time horizon, it is preferable to rebalance the portfolio weights at intermediate times. This necessitates a multi-period market model in which portfolio optimization is usually done through dynamic programming.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Shubhangi Sikaria , Rituparna Sen , Neelesh S. Upadhye

We introduce a novel covariance estimator for portfolio selection that adapts to the non-stationary or persistent heteroskedastic environments of financial time series by employing exponentially weighted averages and nonlinearly shrinking…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Vincent Tan , Stefan Zohren

We investigate entropy as a financial risk measure. Entropy explains the equity premium of securities and portfolios in a simpler way and, at the same time, with higher explanatory power than the beta parameter of the capital asset pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-07 Mihaly Ormos , David Zibriczky

This paper aims to develop new mathematical and computational tools for modeling the distribution of portfolio returns across portfolios. We establish relevant mathematical formulas and propose efficient algorithms, drawing upon powerful…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Ludovic Calès , Apostolos Chalkis , Ioannis Z. Emiris

Classical mean-variance portfolio theory tells us how to construct a portfolio of assets which has the greatest expected return for a given level of return volatility. Utility theory then allows an investor to choose the point along this…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-21 Alex Dannenberg

We study empirical covariance matrices in finance. Due to the limited amount of available input information, these objects incorporate a huge amount of noise, so their naive use in optimization procedures, such as portfolio selection, may…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Gabor Papp , Szilard Pafka , Maciej A. Nowak , Imre Kondor

Robust estimation for modern portfolio selection on a large set of assets becomes more important due to large deviation of empirical inference on big data. We propose a distributionally robust methodology for high-dimensional mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang , Han Lin Shang , Huanjun Zhu

In financial asset management, choosing a portfolio requires balancing returns, risk, exposure, liquidity, volatility and other factors. These concerns are difficult to compare explicitly, with many asset managers using an intuitive or…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-08-28 Kevin Tee , Michael McCourt , Ruben Martinez-Cantin , Ian Dewancker , Frank Liu

We discuss the Bayesian emulation approach to computational solution of multi-step portfolio studies in financial time series. "Bayesian emulation for decisions" involves mapping the technical structure of a decision analysis problem to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Kaoru Irie , Mike West

We address the issue of model selection in beta regressions with varying dispersion. The model consists of two submodels, namely: for the mean and for the dispersion. Our focus is on the selection of the covariates for each submodel. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-08 Fábio M. Bayer , Francisco Cribari-Neto

Investment returns naturally reside on irregular domains, however, standard multivariate portfolio optimization methods are agnostic to data structure. To this end, we investigate ways for domain knowledge to be conveniently incorporated…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-17 Bruno Scalzo Dees , Ljubisa Stankovic , Anthony G. Constantinides , Danilo P. Mandic

In this paper, we implement and evaluate a conditional diffusion model for asset return prediction and portfolio construction on large-scale equity data. Our method models the full distribution of future returns conditioned on firm…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Avi Bagchi , Michael Tesfaye , Om Shastri

We extend and test empirically the multifractal model of asset returns based on a multiplicative cascade of volatilities from large to small time scales. The multifractal description of asset fluctuations is generalized into a multivariate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette , J. Delour , A. Arneodo

In order to estimate the conditional risk of a portfolio's return, two strategies can be advocated. A multivariate strategy requires estimating a dynamic model for the vector of risk factors, which is often challenging, when at all…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-12 Christian Francq , Jean-Michel Zakoian

This study examines portfolio selection using predictive models for portfolio returns. Portfolio selection is a fundamental task in finance, and a variety of methods have been developed to achieve this goal. For instance, the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Masahiro Kato

This paper is concerned with portfolio optimization models for creating high-quality lists of recommended items to balance the accuracy and diversity of recommendations. However, the statistics (i.e., expectation and covariance of ratings)…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Tomoya Yanagi , Shunnosuke Ikeda , Yuichi Takano

We provide a comprehensive analysis of the two-parameter Beta distributions seen from the perspective of second-order stochastic dominance. By changing its parameters through a bijective mapping, we work with a bounded subset D instead of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-01 Yann Braouezec , John Cagnol

We consider the problem of the statistical uncertainty of the correlation matrix in the optimization of a financial portfolio. We show that the use of clustering algorithms can improve the reliability of the portfolio in terms of the ratio…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Vincenzo Tola , Fabrizio Lillo , Mauro Gallegati , Rosario N. Mantegna