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Financial portfolio optimization is a widely studied problem in mathematics, statistics, financial and computational literature. It adheres to determining an optimal combination of weights associated with financial assets held in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-21 Ankit Dangi

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

In this work we introduce the class of beta autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average models for continuous random variables taking values in the continuous unit interval $(0,1)$. The proposed model accommodates a set of…

We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Active portfolio management tries to incorporate any source of meaningful information into the asset selection process. In this contribution we consider qualitative views specified as total orders of the expected asset returns and discuss…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Eranda Çela , Stephan Hafner , Roland Mestel , Ulrich Pferschy

A transformation group approach to the prior for the parameters of the beta distribution is suggested which accounts for finite sets of data by imposing a limit to the range of parameter values under consideration. The relationship between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-10-18 Robert W. Johnson

Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-13 Angela Gu , Patrick Zeng

Sequential portfolio selection has attracted increasing interests in the machine learning and quantitative finance communities in recent years. As a mathematical framework for reinforcement learning policies, the stochastic multi-armed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-14 Xiaoguang Huo , Feng Fu

We focus on a behavioral model, that has been recently proposed in the literature, whose rational can be traced back to the Half-Full/Half-Empty glass metaphor. More precisely, we generalize the Half-Full/Half-Empty approach to the context…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-19 Francesco Cesarone , Massimiliano Corradini , Lorenzo Lampariello , Jessica Riccioni

Many popular Bayesian nonparametric priors can be characterized in terms of exchangeable species sampling sequences. However, in some applications, exchangeability may not be appropriate. We introduce a {novel and probabilistically coherent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Edoardo M. Airoldi , Thiago Costa , Federico Bassetti , Fabrizio Leisen , Michele Guindani

Embedding value investment in portfolio optimization models has always been a challenge. In this paper, we attempt to incorporate it by employing principal component analysis to filter out dominant financial ratios from each sector and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-23 Vrinda Dhingra , Amita Sharma , Shiv K. Gupta

This paper investigates how to measure common market risk factors using newly proposed Panel Quantile Regression Model for Returns. By exploring the fact that volatility crosses all quantiles of the return distribution and using penalized…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-30 Frantisek Cech , Jozef Barunik

For the past two decades investors have observed long memory and highly correlated behavior of asset classes that does not fit into the framework of Modern Portfolio Theory. Custom correlation and standard deviation estimators consider…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-18 Sergey Kamenshchikov , Ilia Drozdov

Decision theories offer principled methods for making choices under various types of uncertainty. Algorithms that implement these theories have been successfully applied to a wide range of real-world problems, including materials and drug…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Agustinus Kristiadi

We analyze characteristics' joint predictive information through the lens of out-of-sample power utility functions. Linking weights to characteristics to form optimal portfolios suffers from estimation error which we mitigate by maximizing…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Christopher G. Lamoureux , Huacheng Zhang

This research paper introduces innovative approaches for multivariate time series forecasting based on different variations of the combined regression strategy. We use specific data preprocessing techniques which makes a radical change in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-09 Aryan Bhambu , Arabin Kumar Dey

Algorithm portfolios represent a strategy of composing multiple heuristic algorithms, each suited to a different class of problems, within a single general solver that will choose the best suited algorithm for each input. This approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-16 Petr Baudiš

The family of admissible positions in a transaction costs model is a random closed set, which is convex in case of proportional transaction costs. However, the convexity fails, e.g. in case of fixed transaction costs or when only a finite…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-15 Andreas Haier , Ilya Molchanov

This paper presents a model selection technique of estimation in semiparametric regression models of the type Y_i=\beta^{\prime}\underbarX_i+f(T_i)+W_i, i=1,...,n. The parametric and nonparametric components are estimated simultaneously by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Florentina Bunea

It is shown that the axioms for coherent risk measures imply that whenever there is an asset in a portfolio that dominates the others in a given sample (which happens with finite probability even for large samples), then this portfolio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits
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