English

Cluster analysis for portfolio optimization

Physics and Society 2008-12-02 v1 Other Condensed Matter Statistical Finance

Abstract

We consider the problem of the statistical uncertainty of the correlation matrix in the optimization of a financial portfolio. We show that the use of clustering algorithms can improve the reliability of the portfolio in terms of the ratio between predicted and realized risk. Bootstrap analysis indicates that this improvement is obtained in a wide range of the parameters N (number of assets) and T (investment horizon). The predicted and realized risk level and the relative portfolio composition of the selected portfolio for a given value of the portfolio return are also investigated for each considered filtering method.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.physics/0507006,
  title  = {Cluster analysis for portfolio optimization},
  author = {Vincenzo Tola and Fabrizio Lillo and Mauro Gallegati and Rosario N. Mantegna},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:physics/0507006},
  year   = {2008}
}

Comments

10 pages, 7 figures