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Experimental work regularly finds that individual choices are not deterministically rationalized by well-defined preferences. Nonetheless, recent work shows that data collected from many individuals can be stochastically rationalized by a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-10-22 Changkuk Im , John Rehbeck

Differentially private statistical estimation has seen a flurry of developments over the last several years. Study has been divided into two schools of thought, focusing on empirical statistics versus population statistics. We suggest that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-04 Gautam Kamath , Jonathan Ullman

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

This article is a response to recent proposals by Pearl and others for a new approach to personalised treatment decisions, in contrast to the traditional one based on statistical decision theory. We argue that this approach is dangerously…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 A. Philip Dawid , Stephen Senn

Human decision making can be challenging to predict because decisions are affected by a number of complex factors. Adding to this complexity, decision-making processes can differ considerably between individuals, and methods aimed at…

The concept of privacy is inherently intertwined with human attitudes and behaviours, as most computer systems are primarily designed for human use. Especially in the case of Recommender Systems, which feed on information provided by…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Sanchit Alekh

Explanation in machine learning and related fields such as artificial intelligence aims at making machine learning models and their decisions understandable to humans. Existing work suggests that personalizing explanations might help to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Johanes Schneider , Joshua Handali

When users stand to gain from certain predictions, they are prone to act strategically to obtain favorable predictive outcomes. Whereas most works on strategic classification consider user actions that manifest as feature modifications, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Guy Horowitz , Yonatan Sommer , Moran Koren , Nir Rosenfeld

The goal of personalized decision making is to map a unit's characteristics to an action tailored to maximize the expected outcome for that unit. Obtaining high-quality mappings of this type is the goal of the dynamic regime literature. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-01 Razieh Nabi , Phyllis Kanki , Ilya Shpitser

Machine learning models are often personalized with information that is protected, sensitive, self-reported, or costly to acquire. These models use information about people but do not facilitate nor inform their consent. Individuals cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Hailey Joren , Chirag Nagpal , Katherine Heller , Berk Ustun

Data-based decisionmaking must account for the manipulation of data by agents who are aware of how decisions are being made and want to affect their allocations. We study a framework in which, due to such manipulation, data becomes less…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-12-29 Alex Frankel , Navin Kartik

We review economic research regarding the decision making processes of individuals in economics, with a particular focus on papers which tried analyzing factors that affect decision making with the evolution of the history of economic…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-08 Amitesh Saha

This paper extends the concept of informative selection, population distribution and sample distribution to a spatial process context. These notions were first defined in a context where the output of the random process of interest consists…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-22 Daniel Bonnery , Francesco Pantalone , M. Giovanna Ranalli

The predictions from an accurate prognostic model can be of great interest to patients and clinicians. When predictions are reported to individuals, they may decide to take action to improve their health or they may simply be comforted by…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-10 Michael C Sachs , Arvid Sjölander , Erin E Gabriel

Background: Adaptive interventions provide a guide for using ongoing information about individuals to decide whether and how to modify the type, amount, delivery modality, or timing of treatment, to improve intervention effectiveness while…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 John J. Dziak , Inbal Nahum-Shani

Automated decision systems (ADS) are broadly deployed to inform and support human decision-making across a wide range of consequential settings. However, various context-specific details complicate the goal of establishing meaningful…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Inioluwa Deborah Raji , Lydia Liu

We study a model of a population making a binary decision based on information spreading within the population, which is fully connected or covering a square grid. We assume that a fraction of the population wants to make the choice of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-24 Petter Holme , Hang-Hyun Jo

We study the subtlety of optimal paternalism when a utilitarian planner has the power to design a discrete choice set for a heterogeneous population with bounded rationality. We first consider the planning problem in abstraction. We show…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-23 Charles F. Manski , Eytan Sheshinski

Data collected about individuals is regularly used to make decisions that impact those same individuals. We consider settings where sensitive personal data is used to decide who will receive resources or benefits. While it is well known…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Satya Kuppam , Ryan Mckenna , David Pujol , Michael Hay , Ashwin Machanavajjhala , Gerome Miklau

Clinical trials usually target average treatment effects, but treatment decisions are made for individuals. This tension motivates a common criticism of evidence-based medicine: a treatment that is beneficial on average may be inappropriate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-29 Zach Shahn , Mats Stensrud
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