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This article is a presentation of specific recent results describing scaling limits of individual-based models. Thanks to them, we wish to relate the time-scales typical of demographic dynamics and natural selection to the parameters of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

Public opinion polling is usually done by random sampling from the entire population, treating individual opinions as independent. In the real world, individuals' opinions are often correlated, e.g., among friends in a social network. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Weiran Huang , Liang Li , Wei Chen

It is high time to openly and without finalism define the dangerous but needed term 'purposeful information', whose quantity is an Eigen information value. Using the term 'biological information' in its stead forces one into an…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-12-01 Andrzej Gecow

The recent growth of digital interventions for mental well-being prompts a call-to-arms to explore the delivery of personalised recommendations from a user's perspective. In a randomised placebo study with a two-way factorial design, we…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Svenja Pieritz , Mohammed Khwaja , A. Aldo Faisal , Aleksandar Matic

A comparison between human and Generative AI decision-making attributes in complex health services is a knowledge gap in the literature, at present. Humans may possess unique attributes beneficial to decision-making in complex health…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Nandini Doreswamy , Louise Horstmanshof

Decision-making with information displays is a key focus of research in areas like human-AI collaboration and data visualization. However, what constitutes a decision problem, and what is required for an experiment to conclude that…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Jessica Hullman , Alex Kale , Jason Hartline

We consider the problem of estimating personalized treatment policies that are "externally valid" or "generalizable": they perform well in target populations that differ from the experimental (or training) population from which the data are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-10 Christopher Adjaho , Timothy Christensen

Typically, a randomized experiment is designed to test a hypothesis about the average treatment effect and sometimes hypotheses about treatment effect variation. The results of such a study may then be used to inform policy and practice for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Elizabeth Tipton , Michalis Mamakos

In designing an intelligent system that must be able to explain its reasoning to a human user, or to provide generalizations that the human user finds reasonable, it may be useful to take into consideration psychological data on what types…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 James E. Corter , Mark A. Gluck

The provision of information can improve individual judgments but also fail to make group decisions more accurate; if individuals choose to attend to the same information in the same manner, the predictive diversity that enables crowd…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-29 Jon Atwell , Marlon Twyman

We introduce a new metric for measuring how well a model personalizes to a user's specific preferences. We define personalization as a weighting between performance on user specific data and performance on a more general global dataset that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Reuben Brasher , Nat Roth , Justin Wagle

In this study, we present a novel clinical decision support system and discuss its interpretability-related properties. It combines a decision set of rules with a machine learning scheme to offer global and local interpretability. More…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Francisco Valente , Simão Paredes , Jorge Henriques

Decisions by humans depend on their estimations given some uncertain sensory data. These decisions can also be influenced by the behavior of others. Here we present a mathematical model to quantify this influence, inviting a further study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 Gabriel Madirolas , Alfonso Perez-Escudero , Gonzalo G. de Polavieja

Individual human decision-makers may benefit from different forms of support to improve decision outcomes, but when each form of support will yield better outcomes? In this work, we posit that personalizing access to decision support tools…

Artificial Intelligence is being employed by humans to collaboratively solve complicated tasks for search and rescue, manufacturing, etc. Efficient teamwork can be achieved by understanding user preferences and recommending different…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Lakshita Dodeja , Pradyumna Tambwekar , Erin Hedlund-Botti , Matthew Gombolay

In this commentary, we highlight the importance of: (1) carefully considering and clarifying whether a marginal or conditional treatment effect is of interest in a population-adjusted indirect treatment comparison; and (2) developing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-05 Antonio Remiro-Azócar , Anna Heath , Gianluca Baio

Unmeasured confounding is a threat to causal inference and gives rise to biased estimates. In this article, we consider the problem of individualized decision-making under partial identification. Firstly, we argue that when faced with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Yifan Cui

Many classical models of collective behavior assume that emergent dynamics result from external and observable interactions among individuals. However, how collective dynamics in human populations depend on the internal psychological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-27 Alice C Schwarze , Mari Kawakatsu , Sarah Iams , Nina H Fefferman , Tahra L Eissa

Prediction is critical for decision-making under uncertainty and lends validity to statistical inference. With targeted prediction, the goal is to optimize predictions for specific decision tasks of interest, which we represent via…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-18 Daniel R. Kowal

This essay looks at decision-making with interval-valued probability measures. Existing decision methods have either supplemented expected utility methods with additional criteria of optimality, or have attempted to supplement the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ronald P. Loui