English

Personalised Decision-Making without Counterfactuals

Methodology 2025-03-31 v2 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

This article is a response to recent proposals by Pearl and others for a new approach to personalised treatment decisions, in contrast to the traditional one based on statistical decision theory. We argue that this approach is dangerously misguided and should not be used in practice.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2301.11976,
  title  = {Personalised Decision-Making without Counterfactuals},
  author = {A. Philip Dawid and Stephen Senn},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2301.11976},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

22 pages. Submitted to Observational Studies

R2 v1 2026-06-28T08:24:03.216Z