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We establish maximal concentration bounds for the iterates generated by stochastic approximation algorithms with general step sizes, where the noise has a finite-state Markovian component plus a Martingale-difference component. When the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Shubhada Agrawal , Siva Theja Maguluri , Martin Zubeldia

Stochastic networks with complex structures are key modelling tools for many important applications. In this paper, we consider a specific type of network: the retrial queueing systems with priority. This type of queueing system is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Bin Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

We quantify the asymptotic behaviour of multidimensional drifltess diffusions in domains unbounded in a single direction, with asymptotically normal reflections from the boundary. We identify the critical growth/contraction rates of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović , Andrew Wade

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

A common assumption when modeling queuing systems is that arrivals behave like a Poisson process with constant parameter. In practice, however, call arrivals are often observed to be significantly overdispersed. This motivates that in this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Mariska Heemskerk , Julia Kuhn , Michel Mandjes

In this paper we derive the asymptotic behaviour of the survival function of both random sum and random maximum of log-normal risks. As for the case of finite sum and maximum investigated in Asmussen and Rojas-Nandaypa (2008) also for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 Enkelejd Hashorva , Dominik Kortschak

The question how the extremal values of a stochastic process achieved on different time intervals are correlated to each other has been discussed within the last few years on examples of the running maximum of a Brownian motion, of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Brandon Annesi , Enzo Marinari , Gleb Oshanin

Consider $n$ real/complex, independent/dependent random variables with respective tail bounds and $g$ a measurable function of the r.v.'s. Consider $f$ the "sharpest" tail bound of $g$ (sharpest in the sense that if $f$ were any less, then…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Stephen Jordan Harrison

Let $M_n$ be the maximum of $n$ zero-mean gaussian variables $X_1,..,X_n$ with covariance matrix of minimum eigenvalue $\lambda$ and maximum eigenvalue $\Lambda$. Then, for $n \ge 70$, $$\Pr\{M_n \ge \lambda \left (2 \log n - 2.5 - \log(2…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-05 J. A. Hartigan

We prove tail estimates for variables $\sum_i f(X_i)$, where $(X_i)_i$ is the trajectory of a random walk on an undirected graph (or, equivalently, a reversible Markov chain). The estimates are in terms of the maximum of the function $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-25 Roy Wagner

We consider a one-dimensional random walk among biased i.i.d. conductances, in the case where the random walk is transient but sub-ballistic: this occurs when the conductances have a heavy-tail at $+\infty$ or at $0$. We prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Quentin Berger , Michele Salvi

Consider a random walk $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ with independent and identically distributed real-valued increments $X_i$ of zero mean and finite variance. Assume that $X_i$ is non-lattice and has a moment of order $2+\delta$. For any $x\geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Ion Grama , Hui Xiao

We consider the sums $S_n=\xi_1+\cdots+\xi_n$ of independent identically distributed random variables. We do not assume that the $\xi$'s have a finite mean. Under subexponential type conditions on distribution of the summands, we find the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 D. Denisov , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

We study Brownian motion in a drifted Brownian potential in the subexponential regime. We prove that the annealed probability of deviating below the almost sure speed has a polynomial rate of decay and compute the exponent in this power…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marina Talet

In this paper, we study critical and subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes, $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. We obtain the exact asymptotic behaviors of the tails of the maximal positions of all subcritical branching $\alpha$-stable processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

We consider two independent random variables with the given tail asymptotic (e.g. power or exponential). We find tail asymptotic for their sum and product. This is done by some cumbersome but purely technical computations and requires the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Andrey Sarantsev

We study the asymptotic behavior as $n\to \infty$ of the sequence $$S_{n}=\sum_{i=0}^{n-1} K(n^{\alpha} B^{H_{1}}_{i}) (B^{H_{2}}_{i+1}-B^{H_{2}}_{i})$$ where $B^{H_{1}}$ and $B^{H_{2}}$ are two independent fractional Brownian motions, $K$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Solesne Bourguin , Ciprian Tudor

We re-examine a lower-tail upper bound for the random variable $$X=\prod_{i=1}^{\infty}\min\left\{\sum_{k=1}^iE_k,1\right\},$$ where $E_1,E_2,\ldots\stackrel{iid}\sim\text{Exp}(1)$. This bound has found use in root-finding and seed-finding…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Sam Justice , N. D. Shyamalkumar

The Sinai model of a tracer diffusing in a quenched Brownian potential is a much studied problem exhibiting a logarithmically slow anomalous diffusion due to the growth of energy barriers with the system size. However, if the potential is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-05 David S. Dean , Antonio Iorio , Enzo Marinari , Gleb Oshanin

Let $(B_t)_{0\leq t\leq T}$ be either a Bernoulli random walk or a Brownian motion with drift, and let $M_t:=\max\{B_s: 0\leq s\leq t\}$, $0\leq t\leq T$. This paper solves the general optimal prediction problem \sup_{0\leq\tau\leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-09 Pieter C. Allaart