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Consider a time-varying collection of n points on the positive real axis, modeled as exponentials of n Brownian motions whose drift vector at every time point is determined by the relative ranks of the coordinate processes at that time. If…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-06 Sourav Chatterjee , Soumik Pal

Based on discrete observations $X_0,X_{\Delta},\dots, X_{n\Delta}$ for $\Delta=n^{-\gamma}$ with $\gamma\in [0,1)$ of the null-recurrent dynamic $dX_t = \sigma(X_t)dW_t$ with a Brownian motion $W$ and $\sigma(x)=\alpha\mathbb{1}\{x<\rho\} +…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Johannes Brutsche , Sebastian Hahn , Angelika Rohde

In this work, we investigate how to develop sharp concentration inequalities for sub-Weibull random variables, including sub-Gaussian and sub-exponential distributions. Although the random variables may not be sub-Guassian, the tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Yinan Shen , Jinchi Lv

We investigate a class of optimal stopping problems arising in, for example, studies considering the timing of an irreversible investment when the underlying follows a skew Brownian motion. Our results indicate that the local directional…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-17 Luis H. R. Alvarez E. , Paavo Salminen

We derive a three-term asymptotic expansion for the expected lifetime of Brownian motion and for the torsional rigidity on thin domains in R^n, and a two-term expansion for the maximum (and corresponding maximizer) of the expected lifetime.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-04-27 Denis Borisov , Pedro Freitas

In the context of order statistics of discrete time random walks (RW), we investigate the statistics of the gap, $G_n$, and the number of time steps, $L_n$, between the two highest positions of a Markovian one-dimensional random walker,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-17 Satya N. Majumdar , Philippe Mounaix , Gregory Schehr

We consider a one-dimensional Brownian motion of fixed duration $T$. Using a path-integral technique, we compute exactly the probability distribution of the difference $\tau=t_{\min}-t_{\max}$ between the time $t_{\min}$ of the global…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-13 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

Identifying groups of variables that may be large simultaneously amounts to finding out which joint tail dependence coefficients of a multivariate distribution are positive. The asymptotic distribution of a vector of nonparametric,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Maël Chiapino , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

We investigate the tail behaviour of the steady state distribution of a stochastic recursion that generalises Lindley's recursion. This recursion arises in queuing systems with dependent interarrival and service times, and includes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Maria Vlasiou , Zbigniew Palmowski

We study the one-dimensional branching random walk in the case when the step size distribution has a stretched exponential tail, and, in particular, no finite exponential moments. The tail of the step size $X$ decays as $\mathbb{P}[X \geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Thomas Höfelsauer

We show that Sine$_\beta$, the bulk limit of the Gaussian $\beta$-ensembles is the spectrum of a self-adjoint random differential operator \[ f\to 2 {R_t^{-1}} \left[ \begin{array}{cc} 0 &-\tfrac{d}{dt} \tfrac{d}{dt} &0 \end{array} \right]…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Benedek Valkó , Bálint Virág

We study extreme-value statistics of Brownian trajectories in one dimension. We define the maximum as the largest position to date and compare maxima of two particles undergoing independent Brownian motion. We focus on the probability P(t)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-07-29 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

In the context of communication networks, the framework of stochastic event graphs allows a modeling of control mechanisms induced by the communication protocol and an analysis of its performances. We concentrate on the logarithmic tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Lelarge

The asymptotic tail behaviour of sums of independent subexponential random variables is well understood, one of the main characteristics being the principle of the single big jump. We study the case of dependent subexponential random…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Andrew Richards

Given a standard Brownian motion $B^{\mu}=(B_t^{\mu})_{0\le t\le T}$ with drift $\mu \in \mathbb{R}$ and letting $S_t^{\mu}=\max_{0\le s\le t}B_s^{\mu}$ for $0\le t\le T$, we consider the optimal prediction problem: \[V=\inf_{0\le \tau \le…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. du Toit , G. Peskir

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the steady-state queue length distribution under generalized max-weight scheduling in the presence of heavy-tailed traffic. We consider a system consisting of two parallel queues, served by a single…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-07-27 Krishna Jagannathan , Mihalis Markakis , Eytan Modiano , John N. Tsitsiklis

Let $Q_n(x)=\sum_{i=0}^{n} A_{i}x^{i}$ be a random algebraic polynomial where the coefficients $A_0,A_1,... $ form a sequence of centered Gaussian random variables. Moreover, assume that the increments $\Delta_j=A_j-A_{j-1}$, $j=0,1,2,...$…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 S. Shemehsavar , S. Rezakhah

We study the asymptotic tail behaviour of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for asymptotically $\alpha$-stable L\'evy processes with $\alpha<1$. Our main result states that if the left tail of the L\'evy measure is regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Frank Aurzada , Tanja Kramm

This note is devoted to the study of the maximum of the excursion of a random walk with negative drift and light-tailed increments. More precisely, we determine the local asymptotics of the joint distribution of the length, maximum and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We propose a Bayesian copula-based framework to quantify clinically interpretable joint tail risks from paired continuous biomarkers. After converting each biomarker margin to rank-based pseudo-observations, we model dependence using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Agnideep Aich , Md. Monzur Murshed , Sameera Hewage , Ashit Baran Aich